CPAC: ANA - Recon

[Kingarabian]

986.7 mb
(~ 29.14 inHg)

[Kingarabian]

000
URPN15 KNHC 180246
AF302 0502C ANA HDOB 34 20141018
023630 1704N 15631W 8440 01382 9883 +188 +184 080024 028 028 007 00
023700 1705N 15632W 8430 01397 9894 +184 +183 072032 034 045 008 00
023730 1706N 15633W 8424 01410 9915 +173 //// 075037 040 055 010 01
023800 1708N 15634W 8425 01413 9927 +181 +181 073060 069 059 015 00
023830 1709N 15636W 8435 01421 9943 +176 +176 071067 073 060 023 00
023900 1710N 15638W 8430 01437 9953 +176 +176 069068 069 058 010 00
023930 1711N 15639W 8424 01453 9963 +172 //// 069069 070 054 009 05
024000 1712N 15641W 8429 01458 9978 +174 //// 069070 072 054 008 01
024030 1713N 15642W 8426 01474 9986 +172 +169 067066 068 052 007 00
024100 1714N 15644W 8430 01480 9999 +169 //// 067063 065 049 006 01
024130 1716N 15645W 8428 01490 0006 +171 +171 067059 062 048 007 00
024200 1717N 15646W 8426 01498 0011 +174 +174 068058 060 043 007 00
024230 1718N 15647W 8430 01497 0015 +174 +174 070054 057 042 008 00
024300 1719N 15649W 8439 01492 0023 +174 +174 069051 054 043 009 00
024330 1721N 15650W 8430 01509 0037 +166 +166 063050 052 044 009 00
024400 1722N 15651W 8430 01510 0038 +165 +165 065049 051 043 010 00
024430 1723N 15653W 8432 01514 0037 +165 +164 068048 050 043 007 00
024500 1724N 15654W 8428 01518 0038 +165 +161 073049 050 042 007 00
024530 1726N 15655W 8428 01519 0043 +162 +158 072052 053 041 005 00
024600 1727N 15657W 8428 01524 0048 +161 +155 073055 058 040 005 00
$$

[Kingarabian]

000
URPN15 KNHC 180256
AF302 0502C ANA HDOB 35 20141018
024630 1728N 15658W 8426 01528 0053 +157 +150 072058 059 039 004 00
024700 1729N 15659W 8426 01533 0059 +156 +151 073057 059 039 005 00
024730 1731N 15701W 8432 01531 0061 +160 +145 072054 055 036 005 00
024800 1732N 15702W 8429 01538 0063 +162 +145 072051 054 035 006 00
024830 1733N 15703W 8428 01538 0063 +164 +148 073052 053 034 005 00
024900 1735N 15705W 8428 01541 0066 +161 +150 076053 054 038 006 00
024930 1736N 15706W 8429 01542 0067 +165 +149 080055 056 039 005 00
025000 1737N 15707W 8434 01538 0070 +166 +150 080052 055 037 005 00
025030 1739N 15709W 8431 01544 0071 +167 +149 079051 052 037 005 00
025100 1740N 15710W 8431 01546 0072 +169 +155 074047 051 034 006 00
025130 1741N 15711W 8429 01550 0075 +167 +156 073046 047 031 005 00
025200 1742N 15713W 8429 01552 0077 +166 +158 070045 046 030 004 00
025230 1744N 15714W 8433 01548 0078 +167 //// 064044 047 029 005 01
025300 1745N 15715W 8429 01554 0081 +168 +168 065042 043 028 006 00
025330 1746N 15716W 8428 01558 0081 +167 //// 063040 041 027 005 01
025400 1747N 15718W 8429 01557 0082 +167 //// 064041 042 027 005 01
025430 1749N 15719W 8429 01557 0091 +167 +167 071037 039 029 009 00
025500 1750N 15720W 8425 01560 0090 +167 +167 073037 038 029 009 00
025530 1751N 15722W 8430 01560 0095 +167 +167 070039 041 033 008 00
025600 1752N 15723W 8431 01555 0092 +168 +168 073042 043 029 009 00
$$
;

[Chris_in_Tampa]

Still the 11am HST track (just posting one image):

[Chris_in_Tampa]

Just posting one image (includes 5pm HST track):



URPN12 KNHC 180416
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE CP022014
A. 18/03:51:00Z
B. 17 deg 11 min N
156 deg 42 min W
C. 850 mb 1311 m
D. 59 kt
E. 281 deg 6 nm
F. 029 deg 64 kt
G. 281 deg 6 nm
H. 988 mb
I. 18 C / 1523 m
J. 21 C / 1515 m
K. 16 C / NA
L. NA
M. NA
N. 1345 / 08
O. 0.02 / 1 nm
P. AF302 0502C ANA OB 20
MAX OUTBOUND AND MAX FL WIND 85 KT 086 / 14 NM 03:55:30Z
CNTR DROPSONDE SFC WIND 065 / 07 KT

[Yellow Evan]

Based on 85 knt FL, I'd go with 75 knts.

[Kingarabian]

83 knots
(~ 95.5 mph)

[Chris_in_Tampa]

With 5pm HST track.



URPN12 KNHC 180601
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE CP022014
A. 18/05:28:10Z
B. 17 deg 26 min N
156 deg 56 min W
C. 850 mb 1317 m
D. 68 kt
E. 078 deg 13 nm
F. 165 deg 83 kt
G. 081 deg 12 nm
H. 987 mb
I. 18 C / 1525 m
J. 23 C / 1515 m
K. 14 C / NA
L. OPEN SW
M. C30
N. 12345 / 8
O. 0.02 / 2 nm
P. AF302 0502C ANA OB 26
MAX OUTBOUND AND MAX FL WIND 92 KT 316 / 8 NM 05:30:30Z
CNTR DROPSONDE SFC WIND 105 / 14 KT

[Chris_in_Tampa]

New mission on the way:

[Chris_in_Tampa]

[Chris_in_Tampa]

[Chris_in_Tampa]

[Kingarabian]

000
URPN15 KNHC 181130
AF307 0602C ANA HDOB 10 20141018
111900 1853N 15837W 6967 03187 //// +074 //// 064027 027 027 001 05
111930 1852N 15836W 6966 03191 0106 +079 +075 059027 028 027 000 03
112000 1850N 15835W 6968 03186 0106 +078 +075 061028 029 026 000 05
112030 1849N 15833W 6965 03187 //// +081 //// 066031 034 027 000 05
112100 1848N 15832W 6969 03186 0095 +085 +079 071039 040 028 000 03
112130 1847N 15831W 6963 03188 0091 +086 +080 071039 040 030 000 03
112200 1846N 15830W 6965 03183 0088 +087 +082 071040 042 030 000 03
112230 1845N 15829W 6967 03178 //// +085 //// 070041 042 031 001 01
112300 1843N 15827W 6970 03175 //// +087 //// 070042 042 032 000 01
112330 1842N 15826W 6967 03178 0079 +091 +081 068042 043 031 001 00
112400 1841N 15825W 6966 03175 0078 +090 +084 066044 045 033 000 03
112430 1840N 15824W 6969 03170 0072 +092 +082 063044 045 032 001 03
112500 1839N 15822W 6966 03173 0074 +090 +083 062042 044 031 001 03
112530 1838N 15821W 6967 03170 0071 +090 +086 062041 042 031 000 03
112600 1837N 15820W 6969 03164 0066 +090 +087 061042 042 032 001 01
112630 1835N 15819W 6967 03162 //// +090 //// 060042 043 033 001 01
112700 1834N 15818W 6968 03162 //// +087 //// 060040 042 034 000 05
112730 1833N 15816W 6966 03158 //// +088 //// 057039 040 037 002 01
112800 1832N 15815W 6967 03153 //// +088 //// 056041 042 037 003 05
112830 1831N 15814W 6967 03152 //// +084 //// 054040 042 037 002 01
$$
;

[Chris_in_Tampa]

This set:

30s flight level wind: 60kts
10s flight level wind: 62kts
10s estimated surface wind: 66kts
Lowest estimated surface pressure: 981.1mb

URPN15 KNHC 181139
AF307 0602C ANA HDOB 11 20141018
112900 1829N 15813W 6966 03155 0042 +097 +078 050040 041 036 001 03
112930 1828N 15811W 6967 03152 0043 +095 +082 049043 043 039 000 03
113000 1827N 15810W 6968 03145 0039 +094 +085 045042 043 038 000 03
113030 1826N 15809W 6965 03146 0033 +096 +082 042042 043 039 001 03
113100 1824N 15807W 6966 03137 0023 +101 +080 040043 044 040 001 00
113130 1823N 15806W 6968 03134 0021 +096 +091 041043 044 041 001 05
113200 1822N 15805W 6969 03127 0011 +099 +094 041047 048 043 003 00
113230 1821N 15803W 6963 03127 0002 +097 +087 041048 049 045 000 01
113300 1819N 15802W 6970 03115 9998 +100 +086 036048 049 047 001 03
113330 1818N 15801W 6973 03100 9980 +105 +097 036052 053 047 001 00
113400 1817N 15759W 6963 03104 9964 +109 +088 032054 055 049 001 00
113430 1816N 15758W 6966 03088 9934 +123 +082 030059 059 057 005 00
113500 1815N 15756W 6960 03077 9888 +148 +072 032060 062 064 007 00
113530 1814N 15754W 6970 03047 9845 +171 +072 028058 060 064 005 00
113600 1814N 15753W 6967 03030 9820 +175 +082 016052 057 066 002 00
113630 1813N 15751W 6972 03021 9811 +177 +082 018032 050 059 005 00
113700 1812N 15749W 6964 03027 9841 +147 +098 023019 023 032 005 00
113730 1812N 15748W 6959 03037 9849 +141 +101 008009 014 026 005 03
113800 1812N 15746W 6974 03019 9845 +144 +100 131012 016 031 001 03
113830 1812N 15744W 6961 03031 9855 +133 +101 167019 021 035 001 00

[Kingarabian]

981.1 mb
(~ 28.98 inHg)

[Kingarabian]

Chris is the movement still NW?

[Chris_in_Tampa]

30s flight level wind: 73kts
10s flight level wind: 74kts
10s estimated surface wind: A lot of suspect values (54 knots highest non suspect, 63kts was suspect)

URPN15 KNHC 181148
AF307 0602C ANA HDOB 12 20141018
113900 1812N 15742W 6964 03031 9869 +125 +104 179027 030 041 000 03
113930 1812N 15740W 6967 03041 9880 +125 +102 172033 034 059 001 03
114000 1811N 15739W 6977 03037 9878 +133 +106 176043 053 062 002 03
114030 1810N 15738W 6970 03047 9883 +135 +102 178064 066 063 000 03
114100 1809N 15737W 6961 03067 9897 +119 +112 180066 066 063 001 05
114130 1809N 15737W 6961 03067 9925 +115 +105 184066 067 061 001 05
114200 1807N 15735W 6961 03090 //// +105 //// 189069 074 058 001 05
114230 1806N 15734W 6970 03082 //// +101 //// 192073 074 057 001 05
114300 1805N 15733W 6968 03094 9982 +098 +093 193073 074 054 002 01
114330 1804N 15732W 6963 03107 9989 +095 +090 196072 073 051 002 00
114400 1803N 15731W 6970 03109 9993 +100 +084 198068 071 050 000 03
114430 1802N 15730W 6974 03110 0003 +099 +086 198066 067 049 002 00
114500 1801N 15729W 6966 03125 0008 +097 +086 201063 065 048 001 00
114530 1800N 15728W 6969 03130 //// +095 //// 199060 062 046 001 05
114600 1759N 15727W 6967 03130 //// +090 //// 195059 059 044 000 05
114630 1758N 15725W 6967 03139 0028 +093 +085 194057 059 042 001 01
114700 1757N 15724W 6968 03142 0030 +094 +084 197057 057 042 002 00
114730 1755N 15723W 6967 03141 0037 +091 +087 195056 057 043 002 03
114800 1754N 15722W 6969 03143 0032 +098 +079 191054 055 043 001 00
114830 1753N 15721W 6967 03146 0031 +102 +078 193053 054 042 002 00
$$
;

[Chris_in_Tampa]

Looks like about 315 degrees rather than 310, but still NW.

That movement from 3:51:00Z vortex to 11:38:00Z wind shift.

[Kingarabian]

Looks like about 315 degrees rather than 310, but still NW.

Thanks for the reply. And that looks like a nifty tool .

[Chris_in_Tampa]

URPN15 KNHC 181158
AF307 0602C ANA HDOB 13 20141018
114900 1752N 15720W 6966 03149 0037 +100 +080 196053 054 042 001 03
114930 1751N 15719W 6969 03146 0036 +096 +094 196054 055 045 002 01
115000 1750N 15718W 6968 03155 //// +097 //// 193052 054 046 002 01
115030 1749N 15717W 6965 03157 0066 +101 //// 195050 052 046 005 01
115100 1748N 15716W 6967 03155 0073 +107 +107 196047 051 045 006 00
115130 1747N 15715W 6971 03157 0076 +102 +102 191043 045 045 007 03
115200 1745N 15714W 6967 03163 0073 +093 //// 192040 043 043 006 01
115230 1744N 15713W 6972 03150 //// +083 //// 193039 040 043 002 01
115300 1743N 15711W 6963 03172 0088 +093 //// 200041 044 043 005 01
115330 1742N 15710W 6968 03166 0099 +097 +097 200047 052 043 007 00
115400 1741N 15709W 6976 03157 0099 +097 +097 200053 055 045 010 03
115430 1740N 15708W 6965 03173 0101 +092 //// 199051 053 042 009 01
115500 1738N 15707W 6967 03175 0086 +084 //// 196053 053 039 004 01
115530 1737N 15706W 6966 03176 //// +084 //// 195051 052 039 002 01
115600 1736N 15705W 6965 03179 0081 +089 +084 195049 050 038 001 00
115630 1735N 15704W 6967 03181 //// +086 //// 195048 048 038 003 01
115700 1734N 15703W 6969 03176 0089 +089 //// 192047 048 038 003 01
115730 1734N 15703W 6969 03176 0081 +093 +084 193048 049 037 005 00
115800 1732N 15701W 6969 03181 0082 +095 +076 194047 048 037 004 00
115830 1731N 15700W 6967 03185 0082 +096 +073 194044 047 037 004 00