CPAC: ANA - Recon

[Chris_in_Tampa]

Thanks for the reply. And that looks like a nifty tool .

Just the ruler in Google Earth. (Tools > Ruler)

The previous vortex icons I just have from previous mission data on my site.

[Chris_in_Tampa]

12 hour movement is 315 degrees now too.

[Kingarabian]

12 hour movement is 315 degrees now too.

Yeah. On the main thread I pointed the shift that that the European model had in movement. This may be it. Glad we have recon.

[Chris_in_Tampa]

URPN12 KNHC 181204
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE CP022014
A. 18/11:37:50Z
B. 18 deg 12 min N
157 deg 47 min W
C. 700 mb 2989 m
D. 66 kt
E. 285 deg 7 nm
F. 032 deg 62 kt
G. 289 deg 10 nm
H. 986 mb
I. 11 C / 3047 m
J. 18 C / 3041 m
K. NA / NA
L. NA
M. NA
N. 12345 / 7
O. 0.02 / 1 nm
P. AF307 0602C ANA OB 02
MAX OUTBOUND AND MAX FL WIND 74 KT 117 / 14 NM 11:43:00Z
CNTR DROPSONDE SFC WIND 125 / 26 KTS
SPIRAL BANDING NORTH OF CENTER
OCCASIONAL LIGHTNING NW OF CENTER



Product: Air Force Vortex Message (URPN12 KNHC)
Transmitted: 18th day of the month at 12:04Z
Agency: United States Air Force
Aircraft: Lockheed WC-130J Hercules with reg. number AF98-5307
Storm Number & Year: 02 in 2014
Storm Name: Ana (flight in the North Central Pacific basin)
Mission Number: 6
Observation Number: 02
A. Time of Center Fix: 18th day of the month at 11:37:50Z
B. Center Fix Coordinates: 18°12'N 157°47'W (18.2N 157.7833W)
C. Minimum Height at Standard Level: 2,989m (9,806ft) at 700mb
D. Estimated (by SFMR or visually) Maximum Surface Wind: 66kts (~ 76.0mph)
E. Location of the Estimated Maximum Surface Wind: 7 nautical miles (8 statute miles) to the WNW (285°) of center fix
F. Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: From 32° at 62kts (From the NNE at ~ 71.3mph)
G. Location of Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: 10 nautical miles (12 statute miles) to the WNW (289°) of center fix
H. Minimum Sea Level Pressure: 986mb (29.12 inHg)
I. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Outside Eye: 11°C (52°F) at a pressure alt. of 3,047m (9,997ft)
J. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Inside Eye: 18°C (64°F) at a pressure alt. of 3,041m (9,977ft)
K. Dewpoint Temp & Sea Surface Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): Not Available
L. Eye Character: Not Available
M. Eye Shape: Not Available
N. Fix Determined By: Penetration, Radar, Wind, Pressure and Temperature
N. Fix Level: 700mb
O. Navigational Fix Accuracy: 0.02 nautical miles
O. Meteorological Accuracy: 1 nautical mile

Remarks Section - Remarks That Were Decoded...
Maximum Outbound and Flight Level Wind: 74kts (~ 85.2mph) which was observed 14 nautical miles (16 statute miles) to the ESE (117°) from the flight level center at 11:43:00Z
Dropsonde Surface Wind at Center: From 125° at 26kts (From the SE at 30mph)

Remarks Section - Additional Remarks...
SPIRAL BANDING NORTH OF CENTER
OCCASIONAL LIGHTNING NW OF CENTER

[Chris_in_Tampa]

Vortex sonde:

UZPN13 KNHC 181206
XXAA 68127 99182 71578 05287 99986 26819 12526 00623 ///// /////
92565 23010 13532 85304 22256 14017 70981 14848 13013 88999 77999
31313 09608 81137
61616 AF307 0602C ANA OB 03
62626 EYE MBL WND 13033 AEV 07775 DLM WND 14520 985697 WL150 1303
2 084 REL 1820N15776W 113758 SPG 1822N15778W 114233 =
XXBB 68128 99182 71578 05287 00986 26819 11913 22412 22850 22256
33793 21659 44711 16656 55697 14445
21212 00986 12526 11973 13536 22954 13036 33919 13533 44901 14528
55893 14021 66884 12523 77850 14017 88834 13512 99824 16013 11798
19519 22708 13015 33697 13513
31313 09608 81137
61616 AF307 0602C ANA OB 03
62626 EYE MBL WND 13033 AEV 07775 DLM WND 14520 985697 WL150 1303
2 084 REL 1820N15776W 113758 SPG 1822N15778W 114233 =

[Chris_in_Tampa]

51kts at the surface, highest wind was 83 knots at 889mb level. Dropped just to the east/SSE of center.

UZPN13 KNHC 181207
XXAA 68127 99182 71576 05287 99992 25810 13551 00574 ///// /////
92612 22410 15579 85347 19610 16578 70008 14242 17564 88999 77999
31313 09608 81140
61616 AF307 0602C ANA OB 04
62626 MXWNDBND MBL WND 14577 AEV 07775 DLM WND 16073 991697 WL150
14075 084 REL 1817N15763W 114026 SPG 1826N15766W 114509 =
XXBB 68128 99182 71576 05287 00992 25810 11850 19610 22748 15212
33697 14045
21212 00992 13551 11990 13052 22988 13568 33985 14075 44976 14082
55942 15077 66889 16083 77850 16578 88697 18064
31313 09608 81140
61616 AF307 0602C ANA OB 04
62626 MXWNDBND MBL WND 14577 AEV 07775 DLM WND 16073 991697 WL150
14075 084 REL 1817N15763W 114026 SPG 1826N15766W 114509 =

[Kingarabian]

CPHC has the center @ 158.0 west for some reason ignoring that VDM^

[Chris_in_Tampa]

[Chris_in_Tampa]

Since the sonde had winds from the SE of 26kts (the one under the vortex icon), it indicated the low level center was SW of the sonde's splash location. So they went with an estimate. Or, maybe they wrote and released the advisory early instead.

[Chris_in_Tampa]

URPN15 KNHC 181218
AF307 0602C ANA HDOB 15 20141018
120900 1706N 15636W 6967 03198 0094 +101 +052 198036 037 021 000 00
120930 1705N 15635W 6965 03201 0101 +093 +061 199036 036 020 000 00
121000 1704N 15634W 6967 03195 0097 +099 +056 198035 036 019 000 00
121030 1702N 15633W 6969 03195 0101 +094 +067 196036 036 019 000 03
121100 1701N 15632W 6966 03202 0098 +096 +069 193036 036 019 000 00
121130 1700N 15631W 6967 03198 0103 +091 +076 194035 036 017 001 00
121200 1659N 15629W 6967 03197 0104 +090 +083 195034 034 017 000 00
121230 1658N 15628W 6968 03197 0101 +091 +081 194035 035 011 000 01
121300 1656N 15627W 6969 03197 0101 +093 +076 194035 036 014 000 00
121330 1655N 15626W 6971 03193 0103 +093 +070 193034 035 025 004 00
121400 1654N 15625W 6951 03213 0114 +089 //// 199028 034 037 010 05
121430 1653N 15623W 6979 03189 //// +081 //// 188037 037 /// /// 05
121500 1655N 15622W 6966 03208 0106 +094 +074 180036 037 /// /// 03
121530 1657N 15623W 6974 03191 0098 +099 +068 181035 035 025 001 00
121600 1657N 15623W 6974 03191 0101 +094 +084 180035 035 026 001 00
121630 1701N 15623W 6966 03201 0102 +094 +071 180036 036 028 003 00
121700 1703N 15624W 6969 03198 0103 +095 +058 181036 036 028 004 00
121730 1705N 15624W 6967 03199 0097 +099 +062 182035 036 024 000 00
121800 1707N 15624W 6967 03200 0099 +095 +065 182037 037 024 000 00
121830 1709N 15624W 6967 03197 0098 +095 +072 183038 039 023 000 00
$$
;

[Chris_in_Tampa]

[Chris_in_Tampa]

URPN15 KNHC 181228
AF307 0602C ANA HDOB 16 20141018
121900 1712N 15624W 6968 03195 0100 +094 +072 185038 039 023 000 00
121930 1714N 15624W 6965 03198 0097 +092 +086 182040 040 024 000 00
122000 1716N 15624W 6967 03196 0101 +090 +080 182040 040 022 001 00
122030 1718N 15624W 6969 03191 0100 +090 +080 183042 042 021 000 00
122100 1720N 15625W 6967 03198 0103 +088 +074 183043 043 022 000 00
122130 1722N 15625W 6969 03192 0108 +086 +073 181042 043 022 000 00
122200 1724N 15625W 6966 03199 0106 +088 +073 180041 042 025 000 00
122230 1726N 15625W 6967 03195 0106 +088 +070 180041 041 025 000 00
122300 1729N 15625W 6970 03193 0109 +085 +066 179041 041 023 000 00
122330 1731N 15625W 6967 03195 0105 +088 +071 181042 042 024 000 00
122400 1733N 15625W 6970 03193 0106 +085 +065 179041 042 024 000 00
122430 1735N 15626W 6966 03196 0108 +085 +065 180042 042 025 000 00
122500 1737N 15626W 6967 03194 0108 +085 +067 179041 041 025 000 03
122530 1739N 15626W 6966 03196 0108 +085 +067 178042 042 025 000 00
122600 1741N 15626W 6968 03191 0106 +085 +068 178042 043 026 000 00
122630 1743N 15626W 6965 03195 0105 +085 +066 178044 044 025 000 00
122700 1746N 15626W 6968 03189 0105 +085 +068 177045 045 024 000 00
122730 1748N 15626W 6967 03191 0104 +085 +066 176046 046 025 000 03
122800 1750N 15626W 6967 03188 0105 +084 +067 177046 046 027 000 03
122830 1752N 15626W 6967 03191 0106 +081 +069 177047 047 027 000 00

[Chris_in_Tampa]

URPN15 KNHC 181238
AF307 0602C ANA HDOB 17 20141018
122900 1754N 15627W 6967 03187 0102 +085 +072 177047 047 030 000 00
122930 1756N 15627W 6967 03190 0106 +082 +071 175047 047 030 000 00
123000 1759N 15627W 6967 03193 0105 +083 +072 176048 048 030 000 00
123030 1801N 15627W 6965 03193 0103 +085 +074 175048 049 029 000 00
123100 1803N 15627W 6967 03191 0098 +089 +070 174049 049 027 000 03
123130 1805N 15627W 6967 03190 0098 +090 +068 173049 049 028 000 00
123200 1807N 15627W 6967 03192 0099 +088 +073 174050 051 027 000 00
123230 1810N 15628W 6969 03186 0100 +086 +073 173051 051 027 000 00
123300 1812N 15628W 6966 03189 0098 +086 +071 173051 051 026 000 00
123330 1814N 15628W 6970 03182 0098 +088 +068 173052 052 024 000 00
123400 1816N 15628W 6968 03188 0090 +095 +065 169051 051 024 000 00
123430 1818N 15628W 6969 03188 0095 +091 +070 169051 051 025 000 00
123500 1821N 15628W 6967 03186 0093 +090 +075 170051 052 026 000 00
123530 1823N 15628W 6963 03195 0095 +089 +078 171052 053 028 002 00
123600 1825N 15629W 6970 03184 0096 +089 +081 170052 053 028 001 00
123630 1827N 15629W 6968 03190 0095 +089 +082 168052 053 027 000 00
123700 1830N 15629W 6962 03197 0093 +089 +083 166053 053 030 000 00
123730 1832N 15630W 6970 03184 0099 +086 +082 166051 052 031 000 01
123800 1834N 15630W 6969 03188 0102 +085 +078 165050 051 032 000 00
123830 1836N 15630W 6967 03190 0101 +084 +080 164050 050 032 000 00
$$
;

[Chris_in_Tampa]

Molokai radar in this image:

[Chris_in_Tampa]

URPN15 KNHC 181248
AF307 0602C ANA HDOB 18 20141018
123900 1838N 15631W 6966 03192 //// +083 //// 163051 051 032 000 01
123930 1840N 15631W 6966 03191 0102 +084 +083 162051 052 033 001 01
124000 1842N 15632W 6967 03191 //// +071 //// 159049 050 035 000 01
124030 1845N 15633W 6963 03198 //// +067 //// 154053 054 037 003 01
124100 1847N 15633W 6971 03186 0135 +072 //// 161051 054 035 003 01
124130 1849N 15634W 6963 03194 0134 +072 //// 157049 049 036 004 01
124200 1851N 15635W 6971 03188 //// +067 //// 155048 050 037 002 01
124230 1853N 15635W 6961 03202 //// +077 //// 151041 047 038 003 01
124300 1855N 15636W 6963 03196 0135 +069 //// 132041 046 037 004 01
124330 1857N 15636W 6970 03188 0116 +074 +064 137049 050 033 002 00
124400 1859N 15636W 6965 03191 0105 +086 +059 141050 051 030 001 00
124430 1901N 15636W 6965 03190 0102 +084 +076 146052 054 030 003 00
124500 1903N 15636W 6968 03188 0110 +080 +073 146053 054 032 001 00
124530 1905N 15636W 6967 03193 0109 +080 +070 145051 053 030 001 01
124600 1908N 15636W 6963 03195 0113 +080 +070 143055 056 029 000 00
124630 1910N 15635W 6969 03194 0113 +082 +054 140051 055 026 000 00
124700 1912N 15635W 6962 03203 0113 +092 -073 141049 051 024 000 00
124730 1914N 15635W 6970 03196 0114 +089 -020 140047 049 025 000 00
124800 1916N 15635W 6962 03201 0109 +092 +000 140046 046 023 000 00
124830 1918N 15635W 6969 03195 0111 +092 +002 141045 046 022 000 03
$$
;

[Chris_in_Tampa]

[Chris_in_Tampa]

[Chris_in_Tampa]

URPN15 KNHC 181258
AF307 0602C ANA HDOB 19 20141018
124900 1920N 15635W 6965 03201 0111 +091 +001 140045 045 021 000 00
124930 1922N 15635W 6967 03201 0117 +085 +034 140045 046 021 000 00
125000 1924N 15634W 6970 03197 0118 +084 +035 141045 046 020 000 00
125030 1926N 15634W 6968 03196 0113 +085 +058 140043 044 003 000 00
125100 1928N 15634W 6965 03203 0112 +088 +050 141045 047 001 000 03
125130 1930N 15634W 6962 03206 0111 +090 +038 142045 046 000 000 00
125200 1932N 15634W 6970 03197 0112 +089 +046 140043 045 000 001 00
125230 1934N 15634W 6966 03202 0118 +083 +059 139040 041 000 000 03
125300 1936N 15634W 6964 03207 0116 +085 +053 141043 044 004 000 00
125330 1938N 15634W 6967 03204 0121 +083 +054 145044 045 011 000 00
125400 1940N 15633W 6970 03202 0130 +077 +066 148042 044 017 002 03
125430 1942N 15635W 6965 03210 0128 +081 +047 147038 041 /// /// 03
125500 1941N 15636W 6967 03202 0124 +085 +030 145037 037 000 000 00
125530 1940N 15638W 6969 03199 0121 +087 +029 143037 037 000 001 00
125600 1939N 15639W 6965 03208 0117 +091 +009 143037 038 000 000 00
125630 1937N 15640W 6969 03203 0114 +094 -008 144038 038 003 000 03
125700 1936N 15642W 6969 03202 0114 +093 -000 142037 038 004 000 00
125730 1935N 15643W 6965 03202 0113 +091 +019 140038 039 009 000 00
125800 1934N 15644W 6966 03201 0116 +087 +021 138038 038 010 001 00
125830 1932N 15646W 6967 03199 0119 +086 +005 139041 041 014 002 00
$$
;

[Chris_in_Tampa]

I'll be posting the recon until just after the next vortex fix.

[Chris_in_Tampa]

This set:

30s flight level wind: 53kts
10s flight level wind: 54kts
10s estimated surface wind: 51kts

URPN15 KNHC 181308
AF307 0602C ANA HDOB 20 20141018
125900 1931N 15647W 6967 03198 0112 +095 -080 138042 043 013 000 00
125930 1930N 15648W 6967 03196 0113 +093 -073 136041 043 016 001 00
130000 1929N 15649W 6967 03195 0124 +082 -023 131041 042 021 002 00
130030 1928N 15651W 6967 03199 0134 +076 -039 131043 044 021 003 00
130100 1926N 15652W 6969 03194 0127 +074 +051 136041 043 020 004 01
130130 1925N 15653W 6967 03197 //// +073 //// 132041 042 027 005 01
130200 1924N 15655W 6966 03195 //// +070 //// 130043 045 031 005 01
130230 1923N 15656W 6968 03191 0144 +073 +073 126051 052 033 011 00
130300 1921N 15657W 6962 03200 0143 +070 +070 117050 053 039 015 00
130330 1920N 15659W 6958 03196 0141 +083 +083 124040 050 041 012 00
130400 1919N 15700W 6968 03183 0132 +093 +093 128035 040 038 015 00
130430 1917N 15702W 6979 03178 0128 +094 +094 143035 040 041 025 00
130500 1916N 15703W 6978 03180 0109 +085 +084 142042 043 051 016 00
130530 1915N 15704W 6965 03194 0104 +085 +076 143046 047 047 009 00
130600 1914N 15705W 6967 03190 0103 +083 +079 141046 047 026 000 00
130630 1913N 15707W 6967 03191 0106 +080 +078 142048 049 026 000 01
130700 1911N 15708W 6967 03186 //// +075 //// 141048 048 027 002 01
130730 1910N 15709W 6967 03187 0105 +080 +077 141050 050 028 002 00
130800 1909N 15711W 6969 03184 0099 +083 +077 141052 052 029 005 00
130830 1908N 15712W 6966 03186 0095 +084 +077 138053 054 029 005 00
$$
;