EPAC: INVEST 96E

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cycloneye
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Re: EPAC: INVEST 96E

#21 Postby cycloneye » Mon Nov 10, 2014 6:36 pm

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
400 PM PST MON NOV 10 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Shower and thunderstorm activity has become a little less
organized in association with an area of low pressure located about
240 miles south of the southern tip of the Baja California
peninsula. While this system could still become a tropical
depression tonight, upper-level winds are forecast to become
unfavorable for tropical cyclone formation by early Tuesday.
Regardless of development, this system could bring rain and gusty
winds to portions of the west coast of mainland Mexico through
Tuesday while it moves northeastward at about 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

Forecaster Blake
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#22 Postby Yellow Evan » Tue Nov 11, 2014 12:40 pm

Disorganized showers and thunderstorms over portions of western
Mexico are associated with an area of low pressure located about
250 miles west of Manzanillo. Although development of this system
is unlikely due to strong upper-level winds, locally heavy rains and
gusty winds could continue over portions of western Mexico through
tonight.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.
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#23 Postby Yellow Evan » Wed Nov 12, 2014 12:21 am

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 120516
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1000 PM PST TUE NOV 11 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

A low pressure area located about 150 miles west of Manzanillo,
Mexico, is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms well to
its northeast and east, along and near the southwestern coast of
Mexico. This system has continued to become less organized over the
past several hours, and tropical cyclone development is not expected
due to strong upper-level winds. However, locally heavy rainfall
and gusty winds of 35 to 40 mph could occur over portions of
southwestern Mexico tonight and early Wednesday morning while the
low drifts eastward or remains nearly stationary offshore of the
coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

$$
Forecaster Stewart
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Re: EPAC: INVEST 96E

#24 Postby cycloneye » Wed Nov 12, 2014 7:00 am

Is over.

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
400 AM PST WED NOV 12 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Shower activity associated with a low pressure area located about
150 miles west-northwest of Manzanillo, Mexico has diminished, and
no development is anticipated.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent.

Forecaster Beven
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