SIO: KATE - Ex-Tropical

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xtyphooncyclonex
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Re: Re:

#21 Postby xtyphooncyclonex » Sun Dec 28, 2014 9:24 pm

spiral wrote:
Yellow Evan wrote:Excuse me, but this is not 105 knots.


That 105 knots you refer to set by the Australian Bureau of Meteorology was over a 10 min mean wind speed If you convert it to 1 min USA it was = 120 knots (Cat 3 USA)-:wink:

Actually, Yellow Evan is right.

BTW, the 10-min peak of Kate was 90 kts, never went to 105 kts.
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Re: SIO: KATE - Severe Tropical Cyclone

#22 Postby jaguarjace » Mon Dec 29, 2014 2:25 pm

AUSTRALIAN GOVERNMENT BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH

TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TRACK MAP
Severe Tropical Cyclone Kate

Issued at 2:56 am WST Tuesday 30 December 2014.

Image

Image
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#23 Postby CrazyC83 » Mon Dec 29, 2014 3:49 pm

Looks like about 85 kt right now.
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Re: SIO: KATE - Severe Tropical Cyclone

#24 Postby jaguarjace » Mon Dec 29, 2014 9:24 pm

Category 4 again. Final forecast track from BOM.

AUSTRALIAN GOVERNMENT BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH

TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TRACK MAP
Severe Tropical Cyclone Kate

Issued at 8:54 am WST Tuesday 30 December 2014.

Image

Image
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Re: SIO: KATE - Severe Tropical Cyclone

#25 Postby euro6208 » Thu Jan 01, 2015 7:04 am

AN AREA OF CONVECTION (THE REMNANTS OF TC 04S) PREVIOUSLY
LOCATED NEAR 20.5S 86.0E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 22.4S 83.8E,
APPROXIMATELY 1100 NM SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED
MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A WELL DEFINED AND FULLY
EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER WITH ONLY WEAK LINEAR
CONVECTION DISPLACED FROM THE LLCC. A 010313Z ASCAT PASS SHOWED 25
TO 30 KNOT WINDS ABOUT THE LLCC WITH THE BULK OF THE WINDS DISPLACED
TO THE SOUTH. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALED AN UNFAVORABLE
ENVIRONMENT WITH STRONG (40 TO 50 KNOTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WHICH
IS COMPLETELY OFFSETTING POLEWARD OUTFLOW. ALSO, SEA SURFACE
TEMPERATURES IN THE REGION ARE UNFAVORABLE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL
PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1000 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS IS LOW.
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