ATL: CHANTAL - Post-Tropical

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ROCK
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Re: ATL: CHANTAL - Models

#1421 Postby ROCK » Mon Jul 08, 2013 10:43 pm

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Re: ATL: CHANTAL - Models

#1422 Postby Miami Storm Tracker » Mon Jul 08, 2013 10:45 pm

Thanks Rock thought you might have fallen asleep there for a min, Lol. With that run land should bust it up pretty good.
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Re: ATL: CHANTAL - Models

#1423 Postby ROCK » Mon Jul 08, 2013 10:47 pm

Miami Storm Tracker wrote:Thanks Rock thought you might have fallen asleep there for a min, Lol. With that run land should bust it up pretty good.



:lol: nah my PC is running slow on pic uploads.....that track would do some damage.
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Re: ATL: CHANTAL - Models

#1424 Postby floridasun78 » Mon Jul 08, 2013 10:48 pm

ROCK wrote:Image

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gfs still want keep it as ts after hitting DOMINICAN REPUBLIC maybe why nhc keepit as ts after it cross
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Re: ATL: CHANTAL - Models

#1425 Postby Miami Storm Tracker » Mon Jul 08, 2013 10:48 pm

ROCK wrote:
Miami Storm Tracker wrote:Thanks Rock thought you might have fallen asleep there for a min, Lol. With that run land should bust it up pretty good.



:lol: nah my PC is running slow on pic uploads.....that track would do some damage.


I also notice the high still looks strong on that run, not a lot of room for error for us here in S Fla.
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#1426 Postby fendie » Mon Jul 08, 2013 10:48 pm

WPC Day 6-7 Surface Analysis Forecast has Low moving from west to east across the Florida Panhandle into the Eastern GOM.

http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/medr/medr.shtml
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Re: ATL: CHANTAL - Models

#1427 Postby ROCK » Mon Jul 08, 2013 10:49 pm

66 hr

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Re: ATL: CHANTAL - Models

#1428 Postby Blown Away » Mon Jul 08, 2013 10:49 pm

00z GFS looks like less Hispaniola land interaction than previous runs...
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Re: ATL: CHANTAL - Models

#1429 Postby ROCK » Mon Jul 08, 2013 10:51 pm

http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?mode ... ort_ht.gif

72hr...close to 18Z some what....
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Re: ATL: CHANTAL - Models

#1430 Postby floridasun78 » Mon Jul 08, 2013 10:53 pm

ROCK wrote:http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?model=gfs&area=atlantic&param=850_vort_ht&cycle=00&image=gfs%2F00%2Fgfs_atlantic_072_850_vort_ht.gif

72hr...close to 18Z some what....

that look like strong ts
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Re: ATL: CHANTAL - Models

#1431 Postby Stormlover2012 » Mon Jul 08, 2013 10:54 pm

How does the high look?
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Re: ATL: CHANTAL - Models

#1432 Postby floridasun78 » Mon Jul 08, 2013 10:56 pm

Stormlover2012 wrote:How does the high look?

what i see that map their weakness in 72 hours
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Re: ATL: CHANTAL - Models

#1433 Postby Miami Storm Tracker » Mon Jul 08, 2013 10:56 pm

Stormlover2012 wrote:How does the high look?


I am not a Met was hoping Rock would respond to my post on one of his maps unless I am reading it wrong looks to still be strong.
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#1434 Postby meriland23 » Mon Jul 08, 2013 10:56 pm

gfs run this time is almost the same except for it is a touch to the east past hisp
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Re: ATL: CHANTAL - Models

#1435 Postby ROCK » Mon Jul 08, 2013 10:57 pm

Stormlover2012 wrote:How does the high look?



looks like earlier runs to me...slight ridging left at 93hrs

http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?mode ... ort_ht.gif
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Re: ATL: CHANTAL - Models

#1436 Postby Miami Storm Tracker » Mon Jul 08, 2013 10:58 pm

ROCK wrote:
Stormlover2012 wrote:How does the high look?



looks like earlier runs to me...slight ridging left at 93hrs

http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?mode ... ort_ht.gif


Enough to turn it west as it builds back in or if stronger maybe a little south of west?
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Re: ATL: CHANTAL - Models

#1437 Postby ROCK » Mon Jul 08, 2013 10:59 pm

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Re: ATL: CHANTAL - Models

#1438 Postby Bocadude85 » Mon Jul 08, 2013 11:00 pm

Miami Storm Tracker wrote:
ROCK wrote:
Stormlover2012 wrote:How does the high look?



looks like earlier runs to me...slight ridging left at 93hrs

http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?mode ... ort_ht.gif


Enough to turn it west as it builds back in or if stronger maybe a little south of west?


So far this run looks similar to the 18z run.. will probably show landfall in N. Florida again
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Re: ATL: CHANTAL - Models

#1439 Postby floridasun78 » Mon Jul 08, 2013 11:03 pm

Stormlover2012 wrote:How does the high look?

what i see that map their weakness in 72 hours[/quote]The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by storm2k.org.
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Re: ATL: CHANTAL - Models

#1440 Postby ROCK » Mon Jul 08, 2013 11:03 pm

http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?mode ... ort_ht.gif

108hr
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