ATL: CHANTAL - Post-Tropical

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storm4u
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Re: ATL: CHANTAL - Models

#1441 Postby storm4u » Mon Jul 08, 2013 11:04 pm

i think this run will end up in south carolina ridge is weaker
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#1442 Postby floridasun78 » Mon Jul 08, 2013 11:04 pm

look like going up east coast people in nj and ny wont like that unless move ne
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Re: ATL: CHANTAL - Models

#1443 Postby ROCK » Mon Jul 08, 2013 11:05 pm

reminds me of Jeanne to be honest.....

117hr slowed way down

http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?mode ... ort_ht.gif
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Re: ATL: CHANTAL - Models

#1444 Postby Miami Storm Tracker » Mon Jul 08, 2013 11:06 pm

storm4u wrote:i think this run will end up in south carolina ridge is weaker



I am a bit surprised at the 108 hr, I would have to agree with you further east than I would have thought.
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Re: ATL: CHANTAL - Models

#1445 Postby Miami Storm Tracker » Mon Jul 08, 2013 11:08 pm

ROCK wrote:reminds me of Jeanne to be honest.....

117hr slowed way down

http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?mode ... ort_ht.gif


It might be the door closing on any more northerly direction, just an observation.
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Re: ATL: CHANTAL - Models

#1446 Postby boca » Mon Jul 08, 2013 11:08 pm

Now I know why the NHC didnt buy into the west bend after all.
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#1447 Postby ROCK » Mon Jul 08, 2013 11:08 pm

http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?mode ... ort_ht.gif

126hr.....still crawling

http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?mode ... ort_ht.gif
Last edited by ROCK on Mon Jul 08, 2013 11:10 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#1448 Postby Aric Dunn » Mon Jul 08, 2013 11:08 pm

compelet break down of steering around 108 to 120 hr
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#1449 Postby Miami Storm Tracker » Mon Jul 08, 2013 11:09 pm

Hey Rock,

Thank you so much for posting the run. Going to crash will be looking tomorrow morning to see what your favorite model shows.
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#1450 Postby Aric Dunn » Mon Jul 08, 2013 11:10 pm

if you watch the loop you can see a good deal more right skirting the right side of DR then the steering breaks down then strong ridge builds from the NE and turns west south of the 18z pretty same as 12z then starts to drift and intensify

http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Imageanis.php
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Re: ATL: CHANTAL - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1451 Postby ConvergenceZone » Mon Jul 08, 2013 11:10 pm

I know nobody is talking about this yet since it's so far away from the US Mainland, but if it takes the turn the NHC is saying it will, is it then forecasted to miss the USA completely? I can't really tell by the forecast map since it doesn't extend out that far...
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Re:

#1452 Postby ROCK » Mon Jul 08, 2013 11:11 pm

Miami Storm Tracker wrote:Hey Rock,

Thank you so much for posting the run. Going to crash will be looking tomorrow morning to see what your favorite model shows.



:lol: yeah me too...the EURO is too late for me tonight.... :D
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Re: ATL: CHANTAL - Models

#1453 Postby AtlanticWind » Mon Jul 08, 2013 11:12 pm

Turning west into florida
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Re: ATL: CHANTAL - Models

#1454 Postby WeatherEmperor » Mon Jul 08, 2013 11:12 pm

ROCK wrote:
Miami Storm Tracker wrote:Hey Rock,

Thank you so much for posting the run. Going to crash will be looking tomorrow morning to see what your favorite model shows.



:lol: yeah me too...the EURO is too late more me tonight.... :D


Nonsense. I dont want to hear any excuses from you Rock. Post the Euro run!

Sent from my HTC EVO 4G LTE
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Re: ATL: CHANTAL - Models

#1455 Postby ROCK » Mon Jul 08, 2013 11:13 pm

http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?mode ... ort_ht.gif

now drifting west....at 135hr
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Re: ATL: CHANTAL - Models

#1456 Postby Miami Storm Tracker » Mon Jul 08, 2013 11:13 pm

WeatherEmperor wrote:
ROCK wrote:
Miami Storm Tracker wrote:Hey Rock,

Thank you so much for posting the run. Going to crash will be looking tomorrow morning to see what your favorite model shows.



:lol: yeah me too...the EURO is too late more me tonight.... :D


Nonsense. I dont want to hear any excuses from you Rock. Post the Euro run!

Sent from my HTC EVO 4G LTE


Lol
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Re: ATL: CHANTAL - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1457 Postby caribepr » Mon Jul 08, 2013 11:13 pm

SouthFloridawx wrote:I wouldn't start getting excited about this one until after it crosses Hispaniola.


Well, unless you live in the island chain... :roll:
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Re: ATL: CHANTAL - Models

#1458 Postby meriland23 » Mon Jul 08, 2013 11:13 pm

WeatherEmperor wrote:
ROCK wrote:
Miami Storm Tracker wrote:Hey Rock,

Thank you so much for posting the run. Going to crash will be looking tomorrow morning to see what your favorite model shows.



:lol: yeah me too...the EURO is too late more me tonight.... :D


Nonsense. I dont want to hear any excuses from you Rock. Post the Euro run!

Sent from my HTC EVO 4G LTE



I'll do it, just got a cup of coffee after all LOL
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Re: ATL: CHANTAL - Models

#1459 Postby ROCK » Mon Jul 08, 2013 11:14 pm

http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?mode ... ort_ht.gif


yep west we go into the EC of FL.....this is more central coast than up near Jacksonville...I think....
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Re:

#1460 Postby floridasun78 » Mon Jul 08, 2013 11:16 pm

Aric Dunn wrote:if you watch the loop you can see a good deal more right skirting the right side of DR then the steering breaks down then strong ridge builds from the NE and turns west south of the 18z pretty same as 12z then starts to drift and intensify

http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Imageanis.php

link dont show not thing
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