ATL: CHANTAL - Post-Tropical

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meriland23
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#1501 Postby meriland23 » Mon Jul 08, 2013 11:40 pm

On another note.. this is the one behind it at 288 hrs

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and 372 hrs

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Re: ATL: CHANTAL - Models

#1502 Postby Aric Dunn » Mon Jul 08, 2013 11:40 pm

ROCK wrote:
Aric Dunn wrote:
ROCK wrote:180hr dipping Sw over FL....about to come out into the GOM....

http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?mode ... ort_ht.gif



just when you think the ridge cant get any stronger the GFS does it.. lol

though none of this will matter much if it does not survive.. DR



agree..... :lol: its a weird run for sure....


not really weird at all. again its a large feature and the global models had been forecasting it even before chantal formed. days ago.. its not likely anything major will change .. just north or south and faster or slower each run..
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Re: Re:

#1503 Postby floridasun78 » Mon Jul 08, 2013 11:41 pm

CYCLONE MIKE wrote:
meriland23 wrote:I have a hard time believing anything would be left after it crosses the entire central part of FL and gets into the GOm



More than likely there would be unless it stalls and dies. There have been several storms that have crossed Florida that have kept their inner core intact only to restrengthen once they make it into the gulf.

one was kartina got stronger west of keywest after hitting south fl on east coast
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Re: ATL: CHANTAL - Models

#1504 Postby Jevo » Mon Jul 08, 2013 11:45 pm

ROCK wrote:someone can post the rest of the run.....its la la land anyway after about 160hr :lol: ....240hr it heads across the GOM into LA and works all the way across to Texas (inland)


After 7 days go with the Loop... It keeps them busy with pretty pictures ;)

http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis ... _watl.html
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#1505 Postby floridasun78 » Mon Jul 08, 2013 11:45 pm

hope all ready for ts and safe now in view of radar of islands
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#1506 Postby Aric Dunn » Mon Jul 08, 2013 11:46 pm

popcorn convection beginning to fire on the northern side very near the center... could see a large burst of convection over the next few hours
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#1507 Postby floridasun78 » Mon Jul 08, 2013 11:47 pm

other one go by keywest :cry: :cry: :cry:
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Re: ATL: CHANTAL - Models

#1508 Postby ROCK » Mon Jul 08, 2013 11:49 pm

http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?mode ... ort_ht.gif[/quote]


just when you think the ridge cant get any stronger the GFS does it.. lol

though none of this will matter much if it does not survive.. DR[/quote]


agree..... :lol: its a weird run for sure....[/quote]



Start brewing some coffee. You are posting the Euro next :-)

Sent from my HTC EVO 4G LTE[/quote]


:lol: bro if I can I will try....long day tomorrow...
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Re: ATL: CHANTAL - Models

#1509 Postby ROCK » Mon Jul 08, 2013 11:51 pm

Jevo wrote:
ROCK wrote:someone can post the rest of the run.....its la la land anyway after about 160hr :lol: ....240hr it heads across the GOM into LA and works all the way across to Texas (inland)


After 7 days go with the Loop... It keeps them busy with pretty pictures ;)

http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis ... _watl.html


I was waiting on you to post the 0Z!! :lol:
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Re: ATL: CHANTAL - Models

#1510 Postby Stormlover2012 » Mon Jul 08, 2013 11:52 pm

Come on rock u are the Man U gotta do the euro also!!
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Re: ATL: CHANTAL - Models

#1511 Postby ROCK » Mon Jul 08, 2013 11:53 pm

0Z NAVGEM out 120hr.....

https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/wxmap_cgi/cg ... t=Tropical
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Re: ATL: CHANTAL - Models

#1512 Postby Aric Dunn » Mon Jul 08, 2013 11:53 pm

GFS hr 150 at landfall.. has 990 very likely a decent hurricane .. given the high background pressure.. if 1010 is 50 mph then 990 may be ... 100... of course to far out to be certain.. but the trend is for a favorable environment to develop..

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Image
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#1513 Postby Jevo » Mon Jul 08, 2013 11:53 pm

0z NAVGEM +24

Image

0z NAVGEM +48

Image
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#1514 Postby Jevo » Mon Jul 08, 2013 11:54 pm

0z NAVGEM +72

Image
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Re: ATL: CHANTAL - Models

#1515 Postby ROCK » Mon Jul 08, 2013 11:55 pm

Stormlover2012 wrote:Come on rock u are the Man U gotta do the euro also!!



Jevo has got it.....I need a break!!... :D
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#1516 Postby floridasun78 » Tue Jul 09, 2013 12:01 am

NAVGEM want take it all way south cuba
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Re: ATL: CHANTAL - Models

#1517 Postby floridasun78 » Tue Jul 09, 2013 12:02 am

going bed be later today good night
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Re: ATL: CHANTAL - Models

#1518 Postby Jevo » Tue Jul 09, 2013 12:02 am

ROCK wrote:
Stormlover2012 wrote:Come on rock u are the Man U gotta do the euro also!!



Jevo has got it.....I need a break!!... :D


I don't stay away for anything less that a Cat 3 .. Meri has it :D
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#1519 Postby floridasun78 » Tue Jul 09, 2013 12:03 am

going bed be later today good night
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Re: ATL: CHANTAL - Models

#1520 Postby Jevo » Tue Jul 09, 2013 12:04 am

ROCK wrote:
Stormlover2012 wrote:Come on rock u are the Man U gotta do the euro also!!



Jevo has got it.....I need a break!!... :D


I don't stay away for anything less that a Cat 3 .. Meri has it :D
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Disclaimer: 50% of the time I have no clue of what I am talking about. Chances are I am taking a less than educated guess that sounds good because 10 years ago I stole Mike Watkins book 'The Hurricane and its Impact'. For official information please direct yourself to the NHC and their cadre of weather geniuses.
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