WPAC: USAGI - Typhoon

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Re: WPAC: USAGI - Typhoon

#161 Postby wxman57 » Thu Sep 19, 2013 10:04 am

RL3AO wrote:
wxman57 wrote:
euro6208 wrote:2013SEP19 130100 7.5 899.8 155.0 7.5 7.6 7.6 NO LIMIT OFF OFF 8.60 -80.89 EYE 17 IR 73.8 18.32 -127.09 COMBO MTSAT2 29.6

Current Satellite Estimate
Raw T

easily supports an intensity of 155 to 160 knots...


What's the source of this data?


http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/20 ... W-list.txt


Thanks. What's the main website for that data?

Sure looks impressive. Could be very bad for Hong Kong unless it weakens a lot before landfall there.
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Re: WPAC: USAGI - Typhoon

#162 Postby Extratropical94 » Thu Sep 19, 2013 10:08 am

wxman57 wrote:
Thanks. What's the main website for that data?

Sure looks impressive. Could be very bad for Hong Kong unless it weakens a lot before landfall there.


Main website is the SSD's at http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/
Choose Tropical Products, then choose a storm and then click on 'Storm History' at the bottom of the page
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Re: WPAC: USAGI - Typhoon

#163 Postby euro6208 » Thu Sep 19, 2013 10:11 am

Extratropical94 wrote:
wxman57 wrote:
Thanks. What's the main website for that data?

Sure looks impressive. Could be very bad for Hong Kong unless it weakens a lot before landfall there.


Main website is the SSD's at http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/
Choose Tropical Products, then choose a storm and then click on 'Storm History' at the bottom of the page



http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/adt.html

faster shortcut...
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#164 Postby dexterlabio » Thu Sep 19, 2013 10:17 am

I really don't know what will happen to us in Hongkong on Monday. If Usagi remains a very intense cyclone by then, I sure hope the airlines will cancel our flight going there. I wouldn't want to get ourselves trapped in the airport. Storm surge could be a big threat as well.
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Re: WPAC: USAGI - Typhoon

#165 Postby supercane4867 » Thu Sep 19, 2013 10:21 am

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#166 Postby galaxy401 » Thu Sep 19, 2013 10:25 am

Beautiful storm. I'm not sure this storm reached 160 knots but 145-150 makes sense.
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#167 Postby dexterlabio » Thu Sep 19, 2013 10:26 am

what's up with the deep convection south and southeast of the eye? yeah the blowup was impressive but it kinda ruined the symmetry of the CDO, or maybe it is just me..?
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#168 Postby Bailey1777 » Thu Sep 19, 2013 10:52 am

i never come to the pacific side.....but i do have to say that is one awesome system!
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#169 Postby Hurricane_Luis » Thu Sep 19, 2013 11:12 am

Super Typhoon Usagi

Based on this image, I'd go with T8.0. <<This is just an opinion.

Image
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#170 Postby Ntxw » Thu Sep 19, 2013 12:57 pm

Gawjus

Image
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Re:

#171 Postby supercane4867 » Thu Sep 19, 2013 1:02 pm

Hurricane_Luis wrote:Based on this image, I'd go with T8.0. <<This is just an opinion.

T8.0 is not a everyday thing, even Nida09 didn't get into that territory :roll:
Constraint is the biggest lmiting factor in this case
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Re: WPAC: USAGI - Typhoon

#172 Postby cycloneye » Thu Sep 19, 2013 1:46 pm

18z Best Track remains at 140kts.

17W USAGI 130919 1800 18.7N 126.4E WPAC 140 918
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Re: WPAC: USAGI - Typhoon

#173 Postby hurricanes1234 » Thu Sep 19, 2013 2:26 pm

Has the pressure risen since 15z? If so, could someone please post a still visible image of the storm at that time? Thanks.
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Re: WPAC: USAGI - Typhoon

#174 Postby Hurricane_Luis » Thu Sep 19, 2013 3:25 pm

Wow. 898 mbr Minimum Pressure and 155 knot winds.

2013SEP19 193200 7.5 898.6 155.0 7.2 7.3 7.3 NO LIMIT ON OFF -8.11 -79.96 EYE 14 IR 73.8 18.87 -126.04 COMBO MTSAT2 30.9

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/2013/adt/text/17W-list.txt
Last edited by Hurricane_Luis on Thu Sep 19, 2013 3:29 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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Re: WPAC: USAGI - Typhoon

#175 Postby vrif » Thu Sep 19, 2013 3:28 pm

hurricanes1234 wrote:Has the pressure risen since 15z? If so, could someone please post a still visible image of the storm at that time? Thanks.


Sunrise is in 2 hours. 15Z is still nighttime.

edit: should be about 1 - 2 hours.
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Re: WPAC: USAGI - Typhoon

#176 Postby beoumont » Thu Sep 19, 2013 4:50 pm

Kinda the first visible; with second giant disturbance coming together as well. Why couldn't this be the Caribbean Sea?

Image
Last edited by beoumont on Thu Sep 19, 2013 5:53 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: WPAC: USAGI - Typhoon

#177 Postby mrbagyo » Thu Sep 19, 2013 4:59 pm

PAGASA pegged the intensity at 175 kph in their 4:00 am bulletin(PST).. OMG... that's kinda low... :Chit:
JMA has it at 110 knots , that's about 200-205 kph
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Re: WPAC: USAGI - Typhoon

#178 Postby mrbagyo » Thu Sep 19, 2013 5:57 pm

morning visible
Image
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#179 Postby stormkite » Thu Sep 19, 2013 6:43 pm

There is also some evidence of a polygonal eyewall structure consistent with active eyewall mesovortex activity.
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Re: WPAC: USAGI - Typhoon

#180 Postby cycloneye » Thu Sep 19, 2013 7:43 pm

I found this tweet about James going to Taiwan.

Jame Reynolds (@TyphoonFury) flying to Taiwan for first of his hoped for TWO intercepts.
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