ATL: CHANTAL - Post-Tropical

[cycloneye]

Barbados radar.

http://oi43.tinypic.com/midx50.jpg

I'm assuming that's the CoC at 11 o'clock from the radar? Do you have a loop link?

http://www.barbadosweather.org/barbados ... Driver.php

[abajan]

Do we have any members in Martinique? Looks like that island will feel the greatest impact from Chantal, insofar as the winds are concerned.

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

[Airboy]

ime: 11:59:30Z
Coordinates: 13.9333N 60.2333W
Acft. Static Air Press: 969.8 mb (~ 28.64 inHg)
Acft. Geopotential Hgt: 305 meters (~ 1,001 feet)
Extrap. Sfc. Press: 1004.2 mb (~ 29.65 inHg)
D-value: -
Flt. Lvl. Wind (30s): From 195° at 15 knots (From the SSW at ~ 17.2 mph)
Air Temp: 22.6°C (~ 72.7°F)
Dew Pt: 22.3°C (~ 72.1°F)
Peak (10s) Flt. Lvl. Wind: 16 knots (~ 18.4 mph)
SFMR Peak (10s) Sfc. Wind: 23 knots (~ 26.4 mph)
SFMR Rain Rate: 2 mm/hr (~ 0.08 in/hr)

[SouthFloridawx]

[SouthFloridawx]

[Evil Jeremy]

000
URNT15 KNHC 091159
AF302 0203A CHANTAL HDOB 11 20130709
115100 1419N 06020W 9707 00342 0098 +206 //// 072059 063 049 003 05
115130 1418N 06019W 9703 00340 0091 +210 +208 077062 064 052 000 00
115200 1417N 06018W 9704 00335 0087 +210 //// 080062 064 051 000 05
115230 1416N 06017W 9702 00336 0083 +217 +215 084062 063 051 003 00
115300 1415N 06016W 9697 00338 0081 +219 +217 086060 061 050 001 03
115330 1414N 06016W 9693 00340 0077 +220 //// 088055 059 043 004 01
115400 1413N 06016W 9699 00333 0075 +225 +219 092053 054 046 000 03
115430 1411N 06015W 9699 00329 0071 +223 +218 093050 053 042 001 00
115500 1410N 06015W 9696 00328 0067 +224 +216 094048 050 042 002 00
115530 1408N 06015W 9696 00325 0064 +223 +212 095049 050 042 001 00
115600 1407N 06015W 9702 00316 0061 +221 +212 092049 051 041 003 00
115630 1405N 06015W 9699 00314 0055 +220 +213 092048 049 044 001 03
115700 1404N 06015W 9703 00307 0050 +224 +217 094047 049 041 002 00
115730 1402N 06015W 9697 00306 0043 +224 +221 094043 046 040 001 00
115800 1401N 06015W 9699 00299 0035 +224 +224 095038 042 037 004 01
115830 1359N 06014W 9702 00285 0023 +232 +227 095026 036 033 003 00
115900 1358N 06014W 9699 00294 0028 +233 +225 167008 016 020 002 00
115930 1356N 06014W 9698 00305 0042 +226 +223 195015 016 023 002 00
120000 1355N 06014W 9703 00310 0053 +227 +217 196017 019 025 001 00
120030 1354N 06013W 9699 00322 0063 +226 +217 188018 019 024 001 00
$$
;

[Blown Away]

Chantal appears to be crossing 14N and likely will remain on the right side of the forecast track, these slight right adjustments may mean less of an impact on Hispaniola...

[Evil Jeremy]

64kts flight level winds found, pressure down to 1002.3mb per recon. Stay updated with the tracker post linked in my signature.

[NDG]

Recon finds a stronger Chantal!!!!!

[Evil Jeremy]

000
URNT15 KNHC 091210
AF302 0203A CHANTAL HDOB 12 20130709
120100 1352N 06013W 9694 00334 0068 +214 //// 203020 022 034 001 01
120130 1351N 06013W 9700 00335 //// +204 //// 206023 025 031 002 01
120200 1349N 06013W 9706 00335 0088 +213 //// 207023 025 030 002 05
120230 1350N 06014W 9698 00344 0087 +210 +210 208015 021 023 001 01
120300 1351N 06016W 9701 00336 //// +204 //// 210011 016 028 000 01
120330 1352N 06017W 9704 00302 0048 +223 +217 174007 008 021 002 03
120400 1352N 06018W 9695 00300 0032 +224 +217 163001 005 019 001 00
120430 1352N 06020W 9701 00288 0036 +221 +219 350006 009 021 001 01
120500 1352N 06022W 9701 00297 0031 +219 //// 346012 014 022 002 05
120530 1352N 06023W 9694 00305 //// +210 //// 330016 016 020 001 05
120600 1350N 06023W 9706 00300 //// +204 //// 294015 016 024 001 01
120630 1349N 06021W 9701 00319 //// +203 //// 275016 017 023 001 01
120700 1348N 06020W 9699 00333 //// +204 //// 266014 015 022 003 01
120730 1347N 06019W 9701 00339 //// +208 //// 244012 015 020 001 01
120800 1346N 06017W 9699 00347 0092 +212 +208 222015 016 023 002 00
120830 1345N 06016W 9702 00346 0094 +215 +208 203017 018 022 002 00
120900 1344N 06015W 9702 00351 0100 +218 +204 197017 018 024 001 00
120930 1343N 06014W 9687 00368 0104 +218 +204 185018 020 029 003 00
121000 1342N 06012W 9699 00362 0108 +220 +201 179018 019 030 003 00
121030 1341N 06011W 9700 00361 0110 +220 +198 167019 020 030 001 00
$$

[CalmBeforeStorm]

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/hwrftc2. ... =Animation
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
The HWRF at 6z shows a minimal hurricane moving west/northwest into southern florida. It's solution shows a path that just skirts the north DR.

[senorpepr]

Recon finds a stronger Chantal!!!!!

I'm not sure if I'd say "stronger" at this point. SFMR and flight level winds still support 50 kt. Pressure is down to 1002... but how much of that is deepening versus recon missing the lowest pressure on the last mission.

[Evil Jeremy]

[torrea40]

Recon finds a stronger Chantal!!!!!

I'm not sure if I'd say "stronger" at this point. SFMR and flight level winds still support 50 kt. Pressure is down to 1002... but how much of that is deepening versus recon missing the lowest pressure on the last mission.

Strongest Flight Level Winds Found: 64 knots (~ 73.6 mph)
Strongest SFMR Winds Found: 52 knots (~ 59.8 mph)
Lowest Pressure Found: 1002.3mb
VDM Center Fix: Waiting for Center Pass

[northjaxpro]

Well, Chantal is holding her own right now. COC still intact, although some convection is trying to pop near it. Recon diid find 1002 mb presure reading. If Chantal can slow her forward speed just a bit, she can get better vertically stacked.

[madinina972]

Hello,
I'm Martinique.
Here the authorities have announced that we will not pass on red alert and we can go to work ...
They are still debating whether the cycling race will be canceled or postponed ... this afternoon ...
What do you think?
Good day to all,

[Alyono]

a bit surprised at the recon findings

[Blown Away]

If Chantal survives Hispaniola and the persistent high the models are building in, this is setting up a classic track towards SFL, IMO only...

[RL3AO]

a bit surprised at the recon findings

Surprised the pressure dropped so much.

[senorpepr]

Recon finds a stronger Chantal!!!!!

I'm not sure if I'd say "stronger" at this point. SFMR and flight level winds still support 50 kt. Pressure is down to 1002... but how much of that is deepening versus recon missing the lowest pressure on the last mission.

Strongest Flight Level Winds Found: 64 knots (~ 73.6 mph)
Strongest SFMR Winds Found: 52 knots (~ 59.8 mph)
Lowest Pressure Found: 1002.3mb
VDM Center Fix: Waiting for Center Pass

My bad... 50 kt would be an increase. (I had saw a lot of 50 mph reports and was thinking kt in my head.)