ATL: DORIAN - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[funster]

Looks like another mini comeback in the works. It sure seems to be moving quickly. Fast moving storms and tropical waves this season.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floater ... imated.gif

[amawea]

I can already see 3 days from now the questions being asked if something develops from the remnants or the area of the remnants: "is this still Dorian", "will it be renamed Dorian", "is this now Erin",etc...To be honest, Dorian didn't sound like a name for a big, bad storm! For some reason Erin does! I have to go back and check the thread of storms that we think are going to be the dangerous ones!

This! He should have been named Dork. If he had of been named Dork, everyone would be saying what a fight that Dork put on.

[Tireman4]

I can already see 3 days from now the questions being asked if something develops from the remnants or the area of the remnants: "is this still Dorian", "will it be renamed Dorian", "is this now Erin",etc...To be honest, Dorian didn't sound like a name for a big, bad storm! For some reason Erin does! I have to go back and check the thread of storms that we think are going to be the dangerous ones!

This! He should have been named Dork. If he had of been named Dork, everyone would be saying what a fight that Dork put on.

Do not forget Don. Don was epic...

[SFLcane]

Dorian remnants should be watched in 3-5 days for redevelopment once north of PR near the Bahamas were it could slow to around 10kts near the Gulfstream.

[galaxy401]

Redevelopment chances are at 10%. Still not ruling out recon though.

TROPICAL STORM DORIAN WEAKENED THIS AFTERNOON AND THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER HAS ISSUED THE LAST ADVISORY. THE REMNANTS OF
DORIAN ARE LOCATED ABOUT 375 MILES EAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD
ISLANDS MOVING WESTWARD AT 15 TO 20 MPH. THIS DISTURBANCE IS
EXPECTED TO PASS NORTH OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO IN A
DAY OR TWO. ALTHOUGH ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE NOT FAVORABLE FOR
REGENERATION...AN AIR FORCE PLANE IS SCHEDULE TO INVESTIGATE THIS
DISTURBANCE ON SUNDAY...IF NECESSARY. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW
CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

[northjaxpro]

Hmm.. Interesting that they still have Recon still tentatively scheduled to fly out on tomorrow.

[Hurricane Alexis]

It doesn't have an LLC so there's no point in recon going. Maybe when the remnants get near the bahamas it will have some chance.


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[Gustywind]

8PM discussion.
Excellent news for those who lived in the Leewards, PR as ex TS Dorian is far away from us and should not not pose any trouble .



THE ONLY COMPROMISE OF THE SURFACE RIDGE IS THE
REMNANTS OF DORIAN LOCATED NEAR 19N54W. HAVING WEAKENED INTO A
TROPICAL WAVE DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS...GALE FORCE WINDS IN THE
NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE PERSIST DUE TO THE STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT
WITH THE SURFACE RIDGE TO THE NORTH. FURTHER WEAKENING OF THE
REMNANTS IS ANTICIPATED DUE TO THE PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED UPPER
LEVEL LOW WHICH WILL PROVIDE AN INCREASED WIND SHEAR
ENVIRONMENT.

[Hurricane Alexis]

Seems as if the trough is moving in tandem with Dorian's remnants.

[Gustywind]

Bye bye Dorian, thanks to you you showed us that July was so special. But right now, let's be on our guard as August is looming...

[ninel conde]

Nam revives dorian!!

Joe Bastardi ‏@BigJoeBastardi 12m

NAM 84 hour radar says Dorian still alive pic.twitter.com/6bczOCXr1g

https://twitter.com/BigJoeBastardi/stat ... 20/photo/1

thats the pic.

[JGrin87]

Deep convection bursts occuring right now

[HURAKAN]

Deep convection bursts occuring right now

Same occurred last night and will probably continue to happen until the wave ever dissipates.

[bamajammer4eva]

84 hr NAM

[Hurricane Alexis]

The NAM is probably depicting what will happen in an alternate world were conditions are favorable.

[bahamaswx]

Flare-up tonight is occurring hours ahead of when it occurred last night, and looks more impressive in size. Not expecting regeneration though--they always refire.

[Blown Away]

00z NAM run for fun...
http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/model-guidance ... mageSize=M

[JabNOLA]

Let's quickly get off that post 666

[thundercam96]

84 hr NAM

http://i43.tinypic.com/2r70sjk.jpg

Correct me if I'm wrong, but the NAM models does poorly for tropical systems doesn't it?


Still fun for entertainment though.

[ozonepete]

Ha ha I just had to post these images since Dorian is risen from the dead once again. I KNOW that it will get shredded by shear tomorrow but I just thought it was funny how much it came back this evening. Amazingly persistent vorticity. Although I'm sure it will get killed tomorrow, I think it was probably written off a day too early.