ATL: INVEST 92L

[SouthDadeFish]

This was from 02Z today:



This was from 14Z today:



Both passes show a closed circulation center..

[floridasun78]

why make this invest if shear high ahead unless their see some thing ahead of it could gave it chance

[jlauderdal]

why make this invest if shear high ahead unless their see some thing ahead of it could gave it chance

Its based on the present situation not what might happen in the future

[floridasun78]

http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/w ... oom=&time= shear doping in area decreasing symbol on map

[cycloneye]

Maybe they will go back at post season to upgrade it as unnamed storm?

[Aric Dunn]

Maybe they will go back at post season to upgrade it as unnamed storm?

that would be the right thing to do...

[ozonepete]

Maybe they will go back at post season to upgrade it as unnamed storm?

that would be the right thing to do...

I agree. And I agree with wxman57, this is impressive for June. Another sign of what kind of season it's going to be...

[johngaltfla]

If this keeps up, 27 storms isn't unrealistic.

[Cyclenall]

http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/windmain.php?&basin=atlantic&sat=wg8&prod=sht&zoom=&time= shear doping in area decreasing symbol on map

What I don't get with this is how it is still intact now after going through 35 knots of wind shear leading up to present. I wonder if these maps are even valid sometimes.

They should just get the name Berry out of the way now, can't take the name seriously lol.

[Aric Dunn]

floater

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floater ... -long.html

[Alyono]

where is there proof this is a tropical storm? There is NONE!

One could argue we now have a TD, but this is in no way, shape, or form a TS.

We don't need to overstate intensities. It is impressive enough as it is, a likely TD in the central Atlantic in June

[CrazyC83]

Unless they can find consensus Dvorak readings of 2.5 or higher, or an ASCAT pass showing winds supporting 35 kt, there is no way it will be upgraded.

[cycloneye]

Unless they can find consensus Dvorak readings of 2.5 or higher, or an ASCAT pass showing winds supporting 35 kt, there is no way it will be upgraded.

I saved this bouy reading at 35kts.

http://oi42.tinypic.com/npro80.jpg

[SouthDadeFish]

where is there proof this is a tropical storm? There is NONE!

One could argue we now have a TD, but this is in no way, shape, or form a TS.

We don't need to overstate intensities. It is impressive enough as it is, a likely TD in the central Atlantic in June

There is no clear-cut evidence of a TS. However, there were multiple uncontaminated 30 knot wind barbs from the OSCAT pass earlier, and some rain-contaminated values higher than that. Chances are TS force winds were occurring somewhere in the deep convection. Nonetheless, there is no clear evidence.

[Alyono]

Unless they can find consensus Dvorak readings of 2.5 or higher, or an ASCAT pass showing winds supporting 35 kt, there is no way it will be upgraded.

I saved this bouy reading at 35kts.

http://oi42.tinypic.com/npro80.jpg

That was a gust to 35 KT. Sustained winds were under 30 KT

[Aric Dunn]

Unless they can find consensus Dvorak readings of 2.5 or higher, or an ASCAT pass showing winds supporting 35 kt, there is no way it will be upgraded.

I saved this bouy reading at 35kts.

http://oi42.tinypic.com/npro80.jpg

That was a gust to 35 KT. Sustained winds were under 30 KT

that bouy was nearly 70 miles away at the time outside convection. also plenty of uncontaminated scat passes to support it.

[Hurricaneman]

This is not going to be anything in this region do to shear, but I would watch this in a few days as it heads towards the western Caribbean due to decreasing shear

[floridasun78]

not many model run yet for 92l

[cycloneye]

The only factor that is favorable for 92L is not a lot of sal.

[hurricanehunter69]

You can put me down for betting on this one being upgraded in post season analysis!