ATL: CHANTAL - Post-Tropical

[Evil Jeremy]

Recon mission path with 5pm advisory position for reference:

[CYCLONE MIKE]

Steve, good to see you back. Enjoy reading your insightful posts of potential threats. Don't be a stranger and make more appearances. Who DAT!!!

[Aric Dunn]

hmm they missed the center by far....

[adam0983]

Tropical Storm Chantal looks very weak right now and has a virus. Dr McCoy you might not have long to wait. Captain Kirk can I get permission to go transport to Tropical Storm Chantal soon? Bones be patient.

[Aric Dunn]

anyone else not getting sat images?

[Evil Jeremy]

Tropical Storm Chantal looks very weak right now and has a virus. Dr McCoy you might not have long to wait. Captain Kirk can I permission to go transport to Tropical Storm Chantal soon? Bones be patient.

Bones shouldn't be patient, you should be patient. Stop trying to declare this storm dead. The NHC will do that.

[AtlanticWind]

Cant get Sat pics anywhere.

[ozonepete]

anyone else not getting sat images?

I'm still getting them fine. ???

[AtlanticWind]

Sat PIcs are back up

[Dave]

000
URNT15 KNHC 100018
AF306 0303A CHANTAL HDOB 10 20130710
000800 1515N 06531W 8429 01597 0122 +183 +140 101013 016 024 002 00
000830 1516N 06533W 8432 01596 0125 +181 +149 106017 018 020 000 00
000900 1517N 06534W 8433 01597 0123 +182 +151 093016 017 019 000 00
000930 1518N 06536W 8429 01602 0121 +185 +153 100014 016 020 000 00
001000 1519N 06537W 8428 01603 0121 +186 +154 091011 014 017 000 00
001030 1520N 06539W 8429 01599 0121 +182 +155 098010 010 019 000 00
001100 1520N 06540W 8430 01597 0123 +179 +157 102009 010 019 000 00
001130 1521N 06542W 8430 01595 0120 +182 +151 090011 011 016 000 00
001200 1522N 06544W 8429 01596 0118 +184 +149 086011 012 016 000 00
001230 1523N 06545W 8429 01594 0120 +180 +153 088012 012 016 000 00
001300 1524N 06547W 8430 01593 0122 +176 +156 083013 013 014 000 00
001330 1525N 06548W 8430 01595 0121 +180 +158 085012 013 015 000 00
001400 1526N 06550W 8430 01595 0119 +181 +154 076014 015 015 000 00
001430 1526N 06551W 8430 01595 0120 +180 +157 074013 014 014 000 00
001500 1527N 06553W 8428 01597 0118 +183 +154 075014 015 013 000 00
001530 1528N 06555W 8430 01594 0117 +183 +152 074015 016 013 000 00
001600 1529N 06556W 8429 01597 0119 +180 +156 073016 016 020 001 00
001630 1530N 06558W 8428 01598 0122 +177 +157 073015 016 020 000 00
001700 1531N 06559W 8426 01600 0122 +175 +158 071016 016 021 000 00
001730 1531N 06601W 8430 01597 0123 +173 +160 071015 016 021 000 00
$$
;

[Aric Dunn]

Sat PIcs are back up

yep got them

[ozonepete]

I'm watching the rgb loop and I can see what's going on. Convection really collapsed all over so that's why they weren't finding much high wind. but in last few frames the convection is blowing up really rapidly right over the center. think they will start finding higher winds again soon. How long are they staying in there?

[NDG]

I don't think they are going to find a well identified closed circulation at the surface, it may not be even be closed, but circulation well above the surface still looks vigorous.

[Evil Jeremy]

I'm watching the rgb loop and I can see what's going on. Convection really collapsed all over so that's why they weren't finding much high wind. but in last few frames the convection is blowing up really rapidly right over the center. think they will start finding higher winds again soon. How long are they staying in there?

Until 2:00am

[Dave]

000
URNT11 KNHC 100018
97779 00064 40152 6540/ 15200 99005 1713/ /2530
RMK AF306 0303A CHANTAL OB 02
SWS = 15 KTS
RADAR FIX PSBL CENTER 14.9N 65.25W. POOR RADAR PRESENTATION, MET ACCURACY 10NM
;

[Dave]

DECODED RECCO OB 2

Code: Select all

Product: Air Force Tropical RECCO Message (URNT11 KNHC)
Transmitted: 10th day of the month at 00:18Z
Aircraft: Air Force Aircraft (Last 3 digits of the tail number are 306)
Storm Number: 03
Storm Name: Chantal (flight in the North Atlantic basin)
Mission Number: 3
Observation Number: 02

Mandatory Data...

Observation Time: Wednesday, 0:06Z
Radar Capability: Yes
Aircraft Altitude: Below 10,000 meters
Coordinates: 15.2N 65.4W
Location: 226 miles (364 km) between the SSE and S (169°) from San Juan, Puerto Rico (USA).
Turbulence: None
Conditions Along Flight Route: Impossible to determine, either due to darkness or some other cause
Pressure Altitude: 1,520 meters
Flight Level Wind: 5 knots (~ 5.8 mph) (Bearing was unavailable.)
- The above is a spot wind.
- Winds were obtained using doppler radar or inertial systems.
Flight Level Temperature: 17°C
Flight Level Dew Point: 13°C
Weather (within 30 nautical miles): Unknown, either due to darkness or some other cause
850 mb Surface Altitude: 1,530 geopotential meters

Remarks Section - Remarks That Were Decoded...

Surface Wind Speed (likely by SFMR): 15 knots (~ 17.3mph)

Remarks Section - Additional Remarks...

RADAR FIX PSBL CENTER 14.9N 65.25W. POOR RADAR PRESENTATION, MET ACCURACY 10NM

[Evil Jeremy]

[Annie Oakley]

Tropical Storm Chantal looks very weak right now and has a virus. Dr McCoy you might not have long to wait. Captain Kirk can I permission to go transport to Tropical Storm Chantal soon? Bones be patient.

Bones shouldn't be patient, you should be patient. Stop trying to declare this storm dead. The NHC will do that.

Thanks for that and for doing the Recon and your awesome input.

[Alyono]

convection is refiring... however, the center seems very poorly defined, or has opened into a wave axis

[Hurricaneman]

if what I'm seeing from recon is right this is a strong wave and no longer a tropical storm, lets see if they can find a closed circulation

if indeed this has opened up would that mean a more western track over Cuba instead

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