ATL: CHANTAL - Post-Tropical

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Re: ATL: CHANTAL - Models

#2621 Postby ROCK » Tue Jul 09, 2013 10:30 pm

0Z NAM--- not much left after land crossing...ends up in the key/ tip of FL with a building ridge...

http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/list_files_are ... slp_precip
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torrea40

Re: ATL: CHANTAL - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#2622 Postby torrea40 » Tue Jul 09, 2013 10:30 pm

@JohnMoralesNBC6: IF #Chantal survives (and that's a BIG if), NHC places a tropical storm about 150 miles east of #Miami on Friday. http://t.co/rhQCV7qPuK
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Re:

#2623 Postby ROCK » Tue Jul 09, 2013 10:30 pm

Jevo wrote:We'll see how long it lasts.. NCEP has been iffy.. Im running with the 850mb on this run b/c MSLP is sketchy at best



agree...go that route...its been screwy all day.
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Re:

#2624 Postby orion » Tue Jul 09, 2013 10:30 pm

brunota2003 wrote::uarrow: Did he give a reason why that second area is restricted? I don't remember ever seeing this issue down there before.


Yep, Venezuela
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Re: ATL: CHANTAL - Models

#2625 Postby WeatherEmperor » Tue Jul 09, 2013 10:31 pm

Miami Storm Tracker wrote:Rock ,

Hope ur around to post the 11:30 GFS again like last night.


No. Rock will be posting the Euro tonight...right Rock? ;-)

Sent from my HTC EVO 4G LTE
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#2626 Postby Jevo » Tue Jul 09, 2013 10:31 pm

0z GFS +12

Image
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Re: Re:

#2627 Postby artist » Tue Jul 09, 2013 10:31 pm

Chris_in_Tampa wrote:
artist wrote:I am still waiting on obs 23 image.
I manually added ob 23 into the system since it was missed.

Just so people know, missed obs can be added here by anyone:
http://tropicalatlantic.com/recon/addobservation/

Just add the link from here once the ob appears in this archive:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/recon/2013/AHONT1/

In 2014, my recon system should be rewritten so that a check of that archive occurs automatically every so often.

thanks Chirs, I forget about that. You've let us know before.
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Re: ATL: CHANTAL - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#2628 Postby Aric Dunn » Tue Jul 09, 2013 10:31 pm

orion wrote:Here is a pic I took when talking with CARCAH at the NHC... he was showing us the restriced air space on the map. You can see the two areas marked on the map, although Cuba does let them fly now. The other region is just below where he is pointing on the map.

Image


i know they have flown down there before for ivan and many others... must have been special permision.
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Re: ATL: CHANTAL - Models

#2629 Postby Jevo » Tue Jul 09, 2013 10:31 pm

WeatherEmperor wrote:
Miami Storm Tracker wrote:Rock ,

Hope ur around to post the 11:30 GFS again like last night.


No. Rock will be posting the Euro tonight...right Rock? ;-)

Sent from my HTC EVO 4G LTE


Confirmed.. ROCK is posting the EURO tonight
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Re: Re:

#2630 Postby Evil Jeremy » Tue Jul 09, 2013 10:31 pm

lester wrote:
Dave wrote:Ok...time to get back on topic, lol, I can't help it, but we best move on...lol..it's been a long day to hit this. Ahh when's the next mission.


They takeoff at 5:45 am, might want to take a nap now lol


It's actually identical to this evening's flight (just flip AM and PM).

Take off at 7:30 am, mission until 2:00pm
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAREPRPD_last.shtml
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Re: ATL: CHANTAL - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#2631 Postby JonathanBelles » Tue Jul 09, 2013 10:32 pm

orion wrote:Here is a pic I took when talking with CARCAH at the NHC... he was showing us the restriced air space on the map. You can see the two areas marked on the map, although Cuba does let them fly now. The other region is just below where he is pointing on the map.

Image


When was this picture taken? I also have a picture of that map, and that second area is not there on my picture.
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Re: ATL: CHANTAL - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#2632 Postby artist » Tue Jul 09, 2013 10:33 pm

Aric Dunn wrote:
orion wrote:Here is a pic I took when talking with CARCAH at the NHC... he was showing us the restriced air space on the map. You can see the two areas marked on the map, although Cuba does let them fly now. The other region is just below where he is pointing on the map.

Image


i know they have flown down there before for ivan and many others... must have been special permision.

that seems a rather long way from their coastline to me, and we have flown throughout the caribbean many times before. Any pilots here that have access to the info? This is gonna bug me! :lol:
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#2633 Postby Jevo » Tue Jul 09, 2013 10:34 pm

0z GFS +24

Image
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Disclaimer: 50% of the time I have no clue of what I am talking about. Chances are I am taking a less than educated guess that sounds good because 10 years ago I stole Mike Watkins book 'The Hurricane and its Impact'. For official information please direct yourself to the NHC and their cadre of weather geniuses.

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Re: ATL: CHANTAL - Models

#2634 Postby Miami Storm Tracker » Tue Jul 09, 2013 10:34 pm

WeatherEmperor wrote:
Miami Storm Tracker wrote:Rock ,

Hope ur around to post the 11:30 GFS again like last night.


No. Rock will be posting the Euro tonight...right Rock? ;-)

Sent from my HTC EVO 4G LTE


HAhahaa Don't thing so he did not make it last night so don't he will tonight.
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Re: ATL: CHANTAL - Models

#2635 Postby Evil Jeremy » Tue Jul 09, 2013 10:34 pm

Jevo wrote:
WeatherEmperor wrote:
Miami Storm Tracker wrote:Rock ,

Hope ur around to post the 11:30 GFS again like last night.


No. Rock will be posting the Euro tonight...right Rock? ;-)

Sent from my HTC EVO 4G LTE


Confirmed.. ROCK is posting the EURO tonight


I read it on the internet so it must be true. See you at 2am ROCK!
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#2636 Postby Evil Jeremy » Tue Jul 09, 2013 10:35 pm

Next mission is at 7:30am folks, and I'll be back for that one, keeping all the latest information in the first post. See you all then!
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Re: ATL: CHANTAL - Models

#2637 Postby ROCK » Tue Jul 09, 2013 10:35 pm

WeatherEmperor wrote:
Miami Storm Tracker wrote:Rock ,

Hope ur around to post the 11:30 GFS again like last night.


No. Rock will be posting the Euro tonight...right Rock? ;-)

Sent from my HTC EVO 4G LTE



might be... :lol: :lol:
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Re: ATL: CHANTAL - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#2638 Postby orion » Tue Jul 09, 2013 10:36 pm

Aric Dunn wrote:i know they have flown down there before for ivan and many others... must have been special permision.


I was there in Feb or March of this year... I am not sure but I think he said something about that being a recent restriction with Venezuela. I don't remember seeing issues there before either.
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Re: ATL: CHANTAL - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#2639 Postby orion » Tue Jul 09, 2013 10:37 pm

JonathanBelles wrote:When was this picture taken? I also have a picture of that map, and that second area is not there on my picture.


It was Feb or March of this year.
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Re: ATL: CHANTAL - Models

#2640 Postby ROCK » Tue Jul 09, 2013 10:37 pm

quote="Jevo"]
WeatherEmperor wrote:
Miami Storm Tracker wrote:Rock ,

No. Rock will be posting the Euro tonight...right Rock? ;-)

Sent from my HTC EVO 4G LTE


Confirmed.. ROCK is posting the EURO tonight


I read it on the internet so it must be true. See you at 2am ROCK![/quote]

:lol: :lol: the pressure....guess I can make it!!
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