ATL: CHANTAL - Post-Tropical

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ObsessedMiami
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Re: ATL: CHANTAL - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#2661 Postby ObsessedMiami » Tue Jul 09, 2013 10:56 pm

torrea40 wrote:@JohnMoralesNBC6: IF #Chantal survives (and that's a BIG if), NHC places a tropical storm about 150 miles east of #Miami on Friday. http://t.co/rhQCV7qPuK

Not bashing a met but Morales' Twitter feed is interesting reading. Pretty critical of NHC without actually coming out and saying it.
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#2662 Postby AtlanticWind » Tue Jul 09, 2013 10:57 pm

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floater ... -long.html

Looks like the center is exposed at about 67.2 and 15.8 ,some thunderstorms trying to pop on the north side
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Re: ATL: CHANTAL - Models

#2663 Postby ROCK » Tue Jul 09, 2013 10:57 pm

that is a mess!!! :lol: :lol: The EURO might have been on to something...
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#2664 Postby Jevo » Tue Jul 09, 2013 10:57 pm

0z GFS +84

Image
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#2665 Postby Dave » Tue Jul 09, 2013 10:58 pm

Goodnight all...it's been....interesting! IF I don't have severe weather in here in the morning I'll check in around 9 am or so. Yes I sleep a little later than I used to. ;)
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#2666 Postby AtlanticWind » Tue Jul 09, 2013 10:59 pm

GFS really destroys it ,the future of Chantal may be bleak.
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Re: ATL: CHANTAL - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#2667 Postby Kingarabian » Tue Jul 09, 2013 10:59 pm

ObsessedMiami wrote:
torrea40 wrote:@JohnMoralesNBC6: IF #Chantal survives (and that's a BIG if), NHC places a tropical storm about 150 miles east of #Miami on Friday. http://t.co/rhQCV7qPuK

Not bashing a met but Morales' Twitter feed is interesting reading. Pretty critical of NHC without actually coming out and saying it.

The NHC discussions basically echo his comments. They're also saying "a big IF".
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#2668 Postby Dave » Tue Jul 09, 2013 10:59 pm

Goodnight all...it's been....interesting! See ya'all tomorrow sometime! ;)
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Re: ATL: CHANTAL - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#2669 Postby ObsessedMiami » Tue Jul 09, 2013 11:00 pm

Kingarabian wrote:
ObsessedMiami wrote:
torrea40 wrote:@JohnMoralesNBC6: IF #Chantal survives (and that's a BIG if), NHC places a tropical storm about 150 miles east of #Miami on Friday. http://t.co/rhQCV7qPuK

Not bashing a met but Morales' Twitter feed is interesting reading. Pretty critical of NHC without actually coming out and saying it.

The NHC discussions basically echo his comments. They're also saying "a big IF".

I was referring to his 8:00 to 10:00 comments but ok
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#2670 Postby Dave » Tue Jul 09, 2013 11:01 pm

Next mission is at 7:30am Wednesday...this morning.
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#2671 Postby Jevo » Tue Jul 09, 2013 11:02 pm

0z GFS +96

Image
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Re:

#2672 Postby cycloneye » Tue Jul 09, 2013 11:02 pm

Dave wrote:Goodnight all...it's been....interesting! See ya'all tomorrow sometime! ;)


As always a great job posting the recon data. Night Dave.
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Re:

#2673 Postby ozonepete » Tue Jul 09, 2013 11:04 pm

Dave wrote:Goodnight all...it's been....interesting! See ya'all tomorrow sometime! ;)


I'm out too. see you all tomorrow...

And thanks Dave for the excellent work.

And Luis, too. Our rock of information on the spot.
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#2674 Postby Jevo » Tue Jul 09, 2013 11:04 pm

0z GFS +102 -- inland

Image
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Re: ATL: CHANTAL - Models

#2675 Postby Stormlover2012 » Tue Jul 09, 2013 11:06 pm

Gfs is lost also lol!!!! Chantal could be history but right now it's not!!
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#2676 Postby AdamFirst » Tue Jul 09, 2013 11:08 pm

Seems to be right on target from previous runs, aside from the splitting into four pieces after leaving Hispaniola thing.
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Re: ATL: CHANTAL - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#2677 Postby artist » Tue Jul 09, 2013 11:09 pm

orion wrote:
JonathanBelles wrote:When was this picture taken? I also have a picture of that map, and that second area is not there on my picture.


It was Feb or March of this year.

I found this -
U.S. Navy aircraft violates Venezuela's airspace
CARACAS (Reuters) - A U.S. Navy jet violated Venezuelan airspace around two small Caribbean islands over the weekend in what the South American country said was a provocation coordinated with neighboring Colombia...

"This was a conscious action by the U.S. Navy," Defense Minister Gustavo Rangel said at a news conference. "This is just the latest step in a series of provocations."

Rangel said such incidents probably had happened in the past, but now Venezuela has equipment to detect airspace violations in the area.

The U.S. warplane penetrated Venezuelan airspace around La Orchila and another island about 80 miles from the country's mainland, Rangel said.

http://www.canada.com/topics/news/world ... 8ee42b8d8c
maybe that is what is going on. http://www.myweather2.com/City-Town/Ven ... d/map.aspx
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Re: ATL: CHANTAL - Models

#2678 Postby CYCLONE MIKE » Tue Jul 09, 2013 11:09 pm

Asked this in the other thread and might as well ask here. What happens if Chantal is downgraded to a wave as far as steering and future track goes? Does it get caught up in the deep easterlies and move more west or is the potential north to west turn the same?
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Re: ATL: CHANTAL - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#2679 Postby AJC3 » Tue Jul 09, 2013 11:10 pm

Gang,

For those who were wondering about the restricted airspace issue. Venezuela's Maiquetia Airspace/FIR (Flight Information Region) juts up north of 15N between 65W and 67W (roughly around the longitude of Puerto Rico).

edit: Oops...I see a bunch of posts about this already.

Image

Image
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#2680 Postby Jevo » Tue Jul 09, 2013 11:10 pm

0z NAVGEM Initialized

Image
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