ATL: CHANTAL - Post-Tropical

[boca]

I think we are safe here in Florida because the whe system is moving north bypassing us to the east

[Hurricaneman]

I relooked at it and heres why they went with a new entity, the area that is near Jamaica is in fact Chantal while the area on the north coast of Cuba split off and became a separate entity, does that seem to clarify things any or would that still cause confusion

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products

[Aric Dunn]

if anything it might try to get going north of cuba ... there is some weak rotation noticeable of sat right side...

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/wfo/e ... h-rgb.html

[Evil Jeremy]

I think we are safe here in Florida because the whe system is moving north bypassing us to the east

The NHC/TAFB images three posts up would disagree. Shows the system right off the SE FL coast in 24 hours, and basically rides up the coast without seeming to landfall.

Having said that, if this does reform, it will just be another rainy day for Florida, abit with higher gusts than what we are used to.

[Janie2006]

Yah, see, I don't know about "safe" just yet because we don't really know about an LLC down there for the tropical models to focus on, if that makes any sense. Maybe that's old-fashioned Janie not keeping up with the advances in met models, but I'll be more comfortable when we've got something to focus on.

[SFLcane]

I think we are safe here in Florida because the whe system is moving north bypassing us to the east

Um no that nhc position is just of SFL coast which may bring some squalls to area if this indeed become a TS again.

[Evil Jeremy]

if anything it might try to get going north of cuba ... there is some weak rotation noticeable of sat right side...

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/wfo/e ... h-rgb.html

To me it looks like this system is already rebuilding in the Central Bahamas. Definite rotation there, looks like a new MLC:
http://climate.cod.edu/flanis/satellite ... mas-vis-24

[Hurricaneman]

The 18zGFS seems to do more with the southern vortmax than the invested area, IMO that would be interesting

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products

[Aric Dunn]

if anything it might try to get going north of cuba ... there is some weak rotation noticeable of sat right side...

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/wfo/e ... h-rgb.html

To me it looks like this system is already rebuilding in the Central Bahamas. Definite rotation there, looks like a new MLC:
http://climate.cod.edu/flanis/satellite ... mas-vis-24

in the low level clouds very broad turning..

[tailgater]

if anything it might try to get going north of cuba ... there is some weak rotation noticeable of sat right side...

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/wfo/e ... h-rgb.html

AC have you checked this site out yet it's very good when a disturbance nears the CONUS. doesn't update very well though.

http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/

['CaneFreak]

There's no convergence nor any low or mid level vorticity there though

if anything it might try to get going north of cuba ... there is some weak rotation noticeable of sat right side...

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/wfo/e ... h-rgb.html

[Aric Dunn]

There's no convergence nor any low or mid level vorticity there though

if anything it might try to get going north of cuba ... there is some weak rotation noticeable of sat right side...

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/wfo/e ... h-rgb.html

its exacly where all the 850mb vorticity is

['CaneFreak]

Check your latitude numbers between the two images again...the greatest vorticity is south of there I believe

There's no convergence nor any low or mid level vorticity there though

if anything it might try to get going north of cuba ... there is some weak rotation noticeable of sat right side...

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/wfo/e ... h-rgb.html

its exacly where all the 850mb vorticity is

['CaneFreak]

By the way, 96L is now up on the NRL site...

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc-bin/tc_home2.cgi?YEAR=2013&MO=07&BASIN=ATL&STORM_NAME=96L.INVEST&PROD=track_vis&PHOT=yes&ARCHIVE=active&NAV=tc&AGE=Latest&SIZE=full&STYLE=tables&AID_DIR=/SATPRODUCTS/TC/tc13/ATL/07W.SOULIK/tpw/microvap&TYPE=ssmi

[Aric Dunn]

Check your latitude numbers between the two images again...the greatest vorticity is south of there I believe

There's no convergence nor any low or mid level vorticity there though

its exacly where all the 850mb vorticity is

notice the notch in the cuban coast... exact same location as maximum vorticity.


its very broad and weak rotation nothing at all well defined but if anything were to develop it would likely come from this area

['CaneFreak]

Come on Aric...can't I rustle your feathers every once in a while? I was haggling with you over 50-100 miles...

notice the notch in the cuban coast... exact same location as maximum vorticity.


its very broad and weak rotation nothing at all well defined but if anything were to develop it would likely come from this area

[cycloneye]

If the 8 PM TWO says remnants of Chantal,then the title will change as Invest 96L - Remnants of Chantal.

[galaxy401]

If the 8 PM TWO says remnants of Chantal,then the title will change as Invest 96L - Remnants of Chantal.

What if they say "Associated with the remnants of Chantal"? Same thing?

[TheStormExpert]

So Fl local met just said that Chantal is about gone and that any remnants will miss Florida to the East. Does anyone here think So Fl is totally out of the woods?

This is not official info. See the NHC or NWS for accurate info.

Are you located in Palm Beach County or the Treasure Coast? Because the local meteorologist for this area is assuming it will miss SE FL to the east, and we can only expect enhanced afternoon t-storm activity now.

['CaneFreak]

There goes the good 'ole CMC with its bogus vortexing scheme again...I wouldn't trust that run...

Then, at 168 hrs, 12Z CMC develops and sends something toward texas coast.



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