3.0N 150E
WPAC: INVEST 96W
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supercane4867
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RobWESTPACWX
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Re: WPAC: INVEST 96W
Models being aggressive with this one, could it be the first named system, time will tell still all week to watch it.
[youtube]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=I1G6XZVL7Xk[/youtube]
[youtube]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=I1G6XZVL7Xk[/youtube]
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RobWESTPACWX
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Re: WPAC: INVEST 96W
Interesting.. This is the latest run from GFS.
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mrbagyo
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Re: WPAC: INVEST 96W
a classic June re-curving TC?
GFS is bullish about this
while Euro is hmmmm???? nothing.
RIP tim samaras, paul samaras and carl young
GFS is bullish about this
while Euro is hmmmm???? nothing.
RIP tim samaras, paul samaras and carl young
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RobWESTPACWX
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Agreed, GFS and NOGAPS (NAVGEM) both are rather Bullish, Euro kills it before it starts. Regardless its still a week out.
I think the likely scenario would be a re-curving storm. The one catch would be a blocking High NE of Japan that GFS and NAVGEM both want to jump on, if that was to set in then if something did develop, and if it did move north, and if that blocking high were in place then this would effect land.
(To many if's for me right now)
I think the likely scenario would be a re-curving storm. The one catch would be a blocking High NE of Japan that GFS and NAVGEM both want to jump on, if that was to set in then if something did develop, and if it did move north, and if that blocking high were in place then this would effect land.
(To many if's for me right now)
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dexterlabio
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Re: WPAC: INVEST 96W
I actually liked the previous runs before that when they show the storm passing to the south of Japan. More like a recurve typhoon that is fun and safe to observe. Hah I don't want to get my hopes high yet because the GFS did this once early May and nothing ever came out. Wait and see. 
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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dexterlabio
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Re: WPAC: INVEST 96W
The previous runs (12z and 18z) from GFS have shown a trend to the west and it seems that the southern Japanese islands (maybe Okinawa) will be affected. Sounds possible given that the setup at this time of the year drives the tropical cyclones towards Okinawa.
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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RobWESTPACWX
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Re: WPAC: INVEST 96W
I just made a video about the storm.. Some of my latest thoughts at least.
[youtube]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fsMN438xqdY[/youtube]
[youtube]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fsMN438xqdY[/youtube]
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RobWESTPACWX
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Re: WPAC: INVEST 96W
Some impacts if GFS holds true.
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Re: WPAC: INVEST 96W
poof...
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xtyphooncyclonex
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Re: WPAC: INVEST 96W
There is a new tropical wave and increasing rapidly in size.
I think it is the system on which GFS and NAVGEM will develop...
I think it is the system on which GFS and NAVGEM will develop...
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Meow
Re: WPAC: INVEST 96W
xtyphooncyclonex wrote:There is a new tropical wave and increasing rapidly in size.
I think it is the system on which GFS and NAVGEM will develop...
No chance. 96W and 97W are already dead.
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dexterlabio
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Re: WPAC: INVEST 96W
in this part of the world, renumbering tropical disturbances are kinda slow...compared to the mess of convection that gets numbered often in the Atlantic...
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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