WPAC: Invest 96W

[Hurricane_Luis]

Invest 96W South of Palau
3.4N, 132.9E
15kt 1009mbr

[supercane4867]

THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW

[euro6208]

THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 3.4N 132.9E
IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 6.1N 129.4E, APPROXIMATELY 450 NM EAST OF
ZAMBOANGA, PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY
DEPICTS DISORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION FLARING OVER A WEAK LOW-LEVEL
CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). A 190108Z METOP-B 89H IMAGE DEPICTS
FRAGMENTED DEEP CONVECTIVE BANDING LOOSELY WRAPPING AROUND THE
PERIPHERY OF A BROAD LLCC. A 190107Z ASCAT PARTIAL IMAGE SUGGESTS A
WEAK CIRCULATION WITH 10 TO 15 KNOT WINDS OVER THE EASTERN SEMI-
CIRCLE, EMBEDDED WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS
INDICATES THE LLCC IS LOCATED UNDER AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH WITH
MODERATE, SOUTHERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OFFSET SLIGHTLY BY BROAD
DIFFLUENT FLOW. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10
TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007
MB. BASED ON THE WEAK LLCC AND GENERALLY UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT,
THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.

[euro6208]

THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6.1N
129.4E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 6.6N 131.5E, APPROXIMATELY 555 NM EAST
OF ZAMBOANGA, PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY
DEPICTS DISORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION FLARING OVER A WEAK LOW-LEVEL
CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). A 190108Z METOP-B 89H IMAGE DEPICTS
FRAGMENTED DEEP CONVECTIVE BANDING LOOSELY WRAPPING AROUND THE
PERIPHERY OF A BROAD LLCC. A 190107Z ASCAT PARTIAL IMAGE SUGGESTS A
WEAK CIRCULATION WITH 10 TO 15 KNOT WINDS OVER THE EASTERN
SEMICIRCLE, EMBEDDED WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS
INDICATES THE LLCC IS LOCATED UNDER AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH WITH
MODERATE, SOUTHERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OFFSET SLIGHTLY BY BROAD
DIFFLUENT FLOW. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10
TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007
MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL
CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.