ATL: INVEST 95L - Models

[weatherwindow]

..An addendum to the above post...The above noted visitor may be nothing more than a tropically charged, baroclinic low ...however I am guessing that is at least something for southeast Texas/LA...Grtz from KW, Rich

The above post should not be construed to be an official forecast and is not back by any govt or non govt organization. For official advices, consult the NWS, the NHC or your local emergency mgmt office

[TreasureIslandFLGal]

the real story may be the copious amounts of rain that are likely going to affect the big bend and florida penninsula over the late weekend and into early next week. If we have a low on the trough, and possibly the remnants eventually follow that too, that could be a whole lot of water heading our way. its already been a very wet summer and the ground has remained pretty saturated. how much total water are the models saying could dump on us through Wednesday? --that could be the real story, especially if the front just stays in the same position for a few days, causing a lot of training of tropical downpours.

[crownweather]

Hey at least the NAM and the Canadian model guidance are still showing some love to 95L.

12Z NAM 84 hour forecast:


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12Z Canadian model forecast for 84 hours:


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[chaser1]

Hey at least the NAM and the Canadian model guidance are still showing some love to 95L.

12Z NAM 84 hour forecast:


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12Z Canadian model forecast for 84 hours:


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Dare to dream......

[ROCK]

18Z GFS is sniffing on something in the GOM....at 84hrs

http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2013091918/gfs_mslp_wind_watl_29.png

[ROCK]

18Z NAVGEM not sniffing anything at 84hrs though....

http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/navgem/2013091918/navgem_mslp_wind_watl_9.png

[HouTXmetro]

Thanks for posting Rock, I guess we watch till it's dead!

[ROCK]

Thanks for posting Rock, I guess we watch till it's dead!

yeah.....the AFD out of Galveston today was interesting. Looks like some drought busting rain heading our way. Dont know if something more yet. Funny the models were all over 95L to develop but it didnt. Shows how bad they busted in the very short range. On the flip side they could be showing nothing going forward yet it does end up developing. Bears watching...

[ROCK]

12Z NAM still on it...84hrs

http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/nam/2013092000/nam_reflectivity_watl_27.png

[CYCLONE MIKE]

I don't know about busting big time Rock. Most were showing no development on Tuesday nights runs through Wednesday. Guess you can say it was still a big bust since most if not all were showing a storm up until then though. Sure hope they perform better this winter.