BoB: Post-Tropical 30W

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Message
Author
User avatar
Hurricane_Luis
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 723
Age: 25
Joined: Sat Jun 23, 2012 3:14 pm
Location: Tiptree, Essex, United Kingdom
Contact:

#61 Postby Hurricane_Luis » Wed Nov 13, 2013 11:16 am

Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert Issued

Image

WTIO22 PGTW 131300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT//
RMKS/
1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN
140 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 11.5N 85.3E TO 10.8N 80.9E
WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY
ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME.
WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT
IMAGERY AT 131230Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED
NEAR 11.4N 84.5E. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 09
KNOTS.
2. REMARKS:
THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.4N 85.9E, IS NOW
LOCATED NEAR 12.0N 84.5E, APPROXIMATELY 250 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF
CHENNAI, INDIA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES
THE SYSTEM HAS BECOME MORE ORGANIZED AS NEW FORMATIVE BANDS DEVELOPED
ALONG THE NORTHERN AND SOUTHEASTERN SECTORS. ADDITIONALLY, THE
LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER HAS BECOME BETTER DEFINED, AS EVIDENCED
ON A 130906Z 37GHZ SSMIS MICROWAVE PASS. THE SYSTEM IS LOCATED JUST
SOUTH OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS WITH LIGHT TO MODERATE (10 TO 20
KNOT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS); HOWEVER, THE VWS IS EASILY OFFSET BY
GOOD RADIAL OUTFLOW THAT HAS A STRONG POLEWARD BIAS. THE DYNAMIC
MODELS INDICATE SLOW, CONTINUED DEVELOPMENT AS THE SYSTEM TRACKS
WESTWARD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30
KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB.
THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS HIGH.
3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY
141300Z. //
NNNN
0 likes   

User avatar
euro6208
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 18547
Joined: Mon Mar 08, 2004 7:50 pm
Location: Guam

Re: BoB: Ex Tropical Depression 30W

#62 Postby euro6208 » Wed Nov 13, 2013 11:43 am

if this was in the pacific and atlantic basins, it would be considered a TD but JTWC starts warning at 35 knots in these part of the world...
0 likes   
Remember, all of my post aren't official. For official warnings and discussions, Please refer to your local NWS products...

NWS for the Western Pacific

https://www.weather.gov/gum/

User avatar
euro6208
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 18547
Joined: Mon Mar 08, 2004 7:50 pm
Location: Guam

Re: BoB: Ex Tropical Depression 30W

#63 Postby euro6208 » Thu Nov 14, 2013 10:19 am

Image

Reissued...

WTIO22 PGTW 141300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT REISSUED//
REF/A/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/131300Z NOV 13//
AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTIO22 PGTW 131300)//
RMKS/
1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN
140 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 10.0N 85.7E TO 10.4N 80.9E
WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY
ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME.
WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT
IMAGERY AT 141200Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED
NEAR 10.0N 85.1E. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 06
KNOTS.
2. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.4N
85.9E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.0N 85.1E, APPROXIMATELY 330 NM EAST-
SOUTHEAST OF CHENNAI, INDIA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE
IMAGERY REVEALS A FULLY EXPOSED, YET WELL-DEFINED, LOW-LEVEL
CIRCULATION CENTER WITH DEEP CONVECTION BEING SHEARED TO THE WEST.
UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS A MARGINAL ENVIRONMENT WITH MODERATE
(10 TO 20 KNOTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WHICH IS OFFSETTING EASTERLY
DIFFLUENT OUTFLOW. THE DYNAMIC MODELS INDICATE SLOW, CONTINUED
DEVELOPMENT AS THE SYSTEM TRACKS GENERALLY WESTWARD. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA
LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1003 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR
THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS REMAINS HIGH. THIS SUPERSEDES REF A.
3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY
151300Z.//
NNNN
0 likes   
Remember, all of my post aren't official. For official warnings and discussions, Please refer to your local NWS products...

NWS for the Western Pacific

https://www.weather.gov/gum/

supercane4867
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4966
Joined: Wed Nov 14, 2012 10:43 am

Re: BoB: Ex Tropical Depression 30W

#64 Postby supercane4867 » Fri Nov 15, 2013 4:10 pm

TROPICAL STORM 30W (THIRTY) WARNING NR 014
WTIO32 PGTW 151500
1. TROPICAL STORM 30W (THIRTY) WARNING NR 014
UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 30W

01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
151200Z --- NEAR 9.5N 82.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 9.5N 82.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
160000Z --- 9.6N 81.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
161200Z --- 9.5N 80.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
170000Z --- 9.4N 78.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---


Image
0 likes   

dexterlabio
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3405
Joined: Sat Oct 24, 2009 11:50 pm

Re: BoB: Tropical Storm 30W

#65 Postby dexterlabio » Fri Nov 15, 2013 9:24 pm

Interesting....to think that 30W actually developed first before Haiyan in the Philippine Sea.. It's been around for almost 2 weeks now. But are we assuming the original LLCC is retained?
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

supercane4867
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4966
Joined: Wed Nov 14, 2012 10:43 am

Re: BoB: Tropical Storm 30W

#66 Postby supercane4867 » Sat Nov 16, 2013 12:06 am

Unnamed TS

Image
0 likes   

User avatar
somethingfunny
ChatStaff
ChatStaff
Posts: 3926
Age: 35
Joined: Thu May 31, 2007 10:30 pm
Location: McKinney, Texas

#67 Postby somethingfunny » Sun Nov 17, 2013 7:28 am

Still (sorta) going on the (sorta) floater

Image
0 likes   
I am not a meteorologist, and any posts made by me are not official forecasts or to be interpreted as being intelligent. These posts are just my opinions and are probably silly opinions.

User avatar
jaguarjace
Category 4
Category 4
Posts: 975
Age: 29
Joined: Sat Jun 11, 2011 7:38 am
Location: Khon Kaen, Thailand

Re: BoB: Tropical Storm 30W

#68 Postby jaguarjace » Tue Nov 19, 2013 5:51 am

30W is still active.
Image

Image
0 likes   
Owner of the Tropical Archive YouTube channel
Web Developer at Force Thirteen
Twitter/X : @force13_support

hurricanes1234
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2903
Joined: Sat Jul 28, 2012 6:19 pm
Location: Trinidad and Tobago

Re: BoB: Tropical Storm 30W

#69 Postby hurricanes1234 » Tue Nov 19, 2013 3:04 pm

Can this travel the world? :D
0 likes   
PLEASE NOTE: With the exception of information from weather agencies that I may copy and paste here, my posts will NEVER be official, since I am NOT a meteorologist. They are solely my amateur opinion, and may or may not be accurate. Therefore, please DO NOT use them as official details, particularly when making important decisions. Thank you.

User avatar
Hurricane_Luis
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 723
Age: 25
Joined: Sat Jun 23, 2012 3:14 pm
Location: Tiptree, Essex, United Kingdom
Contact:

Re: BoB: Tropical Storm 30W

#70 Postby Hurricane_Luis » Tue Nov 19, 2013 5:34 pm

hurricanes1234 wrote:Can this travel the world? :D


It seems to think so. :D But theres a desert in the way.
0 likes   

HurricaneBill
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3420
Joined: Sun Apr 11, 2004 5:51 pm
Location: East Longmeadow, MA, USA

Re: BoB: Tropical Storm 30W

#71 Postby HurricaneBill » Tue Nov 19, 2013 8:46 pm

Maybe it wants to be like Cyclone Leon-Eline in 2000.

Image
0 likes   

supercane4867
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4966
Joined: Wed Nov 14, 2012 10:43 am

Re: BoB: Tropical Storm 30W

#72 Postby supercane4867 » Tue Nov 19, 2013 9:54 pm

Stayin' alive.....lol

Image
0 likes   

Meow

Re: BoB: Tropical Storm 30W

#73 Postby Meow » Wed Nov 20, 2013 12:39 am

supercane4867 wrote:Stayin' alive.....lol


Welcome to Africa
0 likes   

dexterlabio
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3405
Joined: Sat Oct 24, 2009 11:50 pm

Re: BoB: Tropical Storm 30W

#74 Postby dexterlabio » Wed Nov 20, 2013 2:25 am

So the Philippines' Wilma is going to Africa right now. Lol I don't know but I find this entertaining and interesting at the same time. Will it remain disorganized?


Will be way more interesting if it makes to the so-called African Wave Train (is it still active this time of the year?) and emerge in the Atlantic. lol I know it's silly but if it happens, it would be crazier....
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

User avatar
weathernerdguy
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 188
Age: 21
Joined: Wed Jul 10, 2013 8:44 pm

#75 Postby weathernerdguy » Wed Nov 20, 2013 8:40 am

the African wave train was not really on this year...
0 likes   
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products

hurricanes1234
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2903
Joined: Sat Jul 28, 2012 6:19 pm
Location: Trinidad and Tobago

Re: BoB: Tropical Storm 30W

#76 Postby hurricanes1234 » Wed Nov 20, 2013 8:34 pm

Yes, Cape-Verde season ended with one Cape-Verde hurricane, Humberto at 85 mph. All other waves were suffocated by dry air and/or mutilated by absurdly strong wind shear before they could even near hurricane strength. Only Humberto made it to a hurricane, albeit marginally. The second most intense Cape-Verde storm near the Cape-Verde islands was Dorian, at 60 mph. Unbelievable. :lol:
0 likes   
PLEASE NOTE: With the exception of information from weather agencies that I may copy and paste here, my posts will NEVER be official, since I am NOT a meteorologist. They are solely my amateur opinion, and may or may not be accurate. Therefore, please DO NOT use them as official details, particularly when making important decisions. Thank you.


Return to “2013”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 10 guests