WPAC: KILO - Post-Tropical
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Re:
Alyono wrote:12Z MU so far very similar to 6Z
Bit slower and to the east so far. Doesn't look good for Oahu.
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For the central north Pacific, between 140°W and 180.
1. A broad area of nearly stationary low pressure was located about 900 miles south-southeast of Hilo, Hawaii or about 1050 miles south-southeast of Honolulu. Environmental conditions will support development in this area during the next couple of days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours, high, 80 percent
1. A broad area of nearly stationary low pressure was located about 900 miles south-southeast of Hilo, Hawaii or about 1050 miles south-southeast of Honolulu. Environmental conditions will support development in this area during the next couple of days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours, high, 80 percent
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Re: CPAC: INVEST 93C
12z GFS vs. 6z GFS. Stronger and further east and keep in mind this is small so models underestimate it.
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Re: CPAC: INVEST 93C
0z FIM8 and UKMET runs. FIM8 like the GFS but UKMET further east.
6z NOGPAS like the UKMET/ECMWF
0z CMC faster and near the Big Island.
6z NOGPAS like the UKMET/ECMWF
0z CMC faster and near the Big Island.
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Re: CPAC: INVEST 93C
Only really difference here is that the 12z GFS has stronger troughing.
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Re: CPAC: INVEST 93C
Certainly looks like a TC to me...
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Re: CPAC: INVEST 93C
The low level circulation appears to be tucking beneath the deeper convection.
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