EPAC: PATRICIA - Post-Tropical

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supercane4867
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Re:

#1081 Postby supercane4867 » Fri Oct 23, 2015 3:20 pm

WeatherGuesser wrote:We could be talking in the range of 200MPH at landfall.

Has that happened in other storms? Most of the other H5s weakened before landfall as far as I've read.

NO.
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#1082 Postby Kingarabian » Fri Oct 23, 2015 3:20 pm

Extremely dangerous...

So exciting.
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#1083 Postby Aric Dunn » Fri Oct 23, 2015 3:20 pm

At least it will be day light for the Icyclone guys..
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Re:

#1084 Postby Nate-Gillson » Fri Oct 23, 2015 3:21 pm

Aric Dunn wrote:At least it will be day light for the Icyclone guys..


Much better than a nighttime landfall of a category 5 such as Dean, even though the worst of Dean missed iCyclone to his north.
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Re: EPAC: PATRICIA - Hurricane: History is made

#1085 Postby NDG » Fri Oct 23, 2015 3:23 pm

EyELeSs1 wrote:Looks like the eye is still contracting and cloud tops cooling once again which would signal even further strengthening. Could also be the potential start of an ERC.

This is the definition on intense!


I think is a ERC.
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#1086 Postby Dave C » Fri Oct 23, 2015 3:24 pm

looks like Chamela for landfall unless another big wobble
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#1087 Postby Aric Dunn » Fri Oct 23, 2015 3:27 pm

The outer southern eyewall will definitely go through Manzanillio which is not good..
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#1088 Postby SouthDadeFish » Fri Oct 23, 2015 3:27 pm

Well I guess I was wrong about no more fixes! Seriously praying for their safety right now.
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#1089 Postby AutoPenalti » Fri Oct 23, 2015 3:28 pm

I never really was a fan of EPAC storms but holy crap that's intense.
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Re: EPAC: PATRICIA - Hurricane: History is made

#1090 Postby ronjon » Fri Oct 23, 2015 3:29 pm

One good thing is she'll rapidly weaken once slamming into the mountains of Mexico - unfortunately 10-20 inches of rain may wash anything away by then.
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Re: EPAC: PATRICIA - Hurricane: History is made

#1091 Postby Nate-Gillson » Fri Oct 23, 2015 3:29 pm

ronjon wrote:One good thing is she'll rapidly weaken once slamming into the mountains of Mexico - unfortunately 10-20 inches of rain may wash anything away by then.


Not to mention the remnants of Patricia deluging Texas...
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#1092 Postby Kingarabian » Fri Oct 23, 2015 3:32 pm

Stay tuned, next pass could very well be a big one.
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Re:

#1093 Postby supercane4867 » Fri Oct 23, 2015 3:32 pm

Kingarabian wrote:Stay tuned, next pass could very well be a big one.

More F5 keys needed
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#1094 Postby Aric Dunn » Fri Oct 23, 2015 3:33 pm

recon passing through outer eyewall.. next set will tell us pretty much all we need..
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#1095 Postby SouthDadeFish » Fri Oct 23, 2015 3:33 pm

Secondary wind maximum noted by recon on their inbound leg. EWRC clearly happening.
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#1096 Postby brunota2003 » Fri Oct 23, 2015 3:34 pm

SouthDadeFish wrote:Secondary wind maximum noted by recon on their inbound leg. EWRC clearly happening.

Yep! Flight level winds jumped into the 90s, then fell back into the 70s before going back up. Clear secondary maxima.
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Re:

#1097 Postby WeatherGuesser » Fri Oct 23, 2015 3:34 pm

Aric Dunn wrote:recon passing through outer eyewall.. next set will tell us pretty much all we need..



All I'm looking for is the pressure record.
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#1098 Postby NDG » Fri Oct 23, 2015 3:35 pm

It looks to me that landfall will be very close to the town of La Manzanilla.
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#1099 Postby Alyono » Fri Oct 23, 2015 3:35 pm

its far too late to allow for weakening, however
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Re: Re:

#1100 Postby Kingarabian » Fri Oct 23, 2015 3:35 pm

supercane4867 wrote:
Kingarabian wrote:Stay tuned, next pass could very well be a big one.

More F5 keys needed


i know lol.
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