ATL: JOAQUIN - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[Chris_in_Tampa]

URNT12 KNHC 040131
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL112015
A. 04/01:03:20Z
B. 27 deg 44 min N
069 deg 14 min W
C. 700 mb 2628 m
D. 68 kt
E. 275 deg 21 nm
F. 354 deg 77 kt
G. 275 deg 23 nm
H. 945 mb
I. 11 C / 3044 m
J. 23 C / 3047 m
K. NA / NA
L. NA
M. NA
N. 12345 / 7
O. 0.02 / 1 nm
P. AF303 1411A JOAQUIN OB 05
MAX OUTBOUND AND MAX FL WIND 131 KT 108 / 29 NM 01:12:00Z
CNTR DROPSONDE SFC WIND 195 / 12 KT
MAX FL TEMP 25 C 279 / 7 NM FROM FL CNTR
RADAR SHOWED NEARLY 50 PERCENT BAND ON EAST SIDE OF STORM APPROX 18NM DIAM
PEAK OUTBOUND SFMR WIND 126 KTS SE QUAD



Product: Air Force Vortex Message (URNT12 KNHC)
Transmitted: 4th day of the month at 1:31Z
Agency: United States Air Force
Aircraft: Lockheed WC-130J Hercules with reg. number AF97-5303
Storm Number & Year: 11 in 2015
Storm Name: Joaquin (flight in the North Atlantic basin)
Mission Number: 14
Observation Number: 05
A. Time of Center Fix: 4th day of the month at 1:03:20Z
B. Center Fix Coordinates: 27°44'N 69°14'W (27.7333N 69.2333W)
C. Minimum Height at Standard Level: 2,628m (8,622ft) at 700mb
D. Estimated (by SFMR or visually) Maximum Surface Wind: 68kts (~ 78.3mph)
E. Location of the Estimated Maximum Surface Wind: 21 nautical miles (24 statute miles) to the W (275°) of center fix
F. Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: From 354° at 77kts (From the N at ~ 88.6mph)
G. Location of Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: 23 nautical miles (26 statute miles) to the W (275°) of center fix
H. Minimum Sea Level Pressure: 945mb (27.91 inHg)
I. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Outside Eye: 11°C (52°F) at a pressure alt. of 3,044m (9,987ft)
J. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Inside Eye: 23°C (73°F) at a pressure alt. of 3,047m (9,997ft)
K. Dewpoint Temp & Sea Surface Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): Not Available
L. Eye Character: Not Available
M. Eye Shape: Not Available
N. Fix Determined By: Penetration, Radar, Wind, Pressure and Temperature
N. Fix Level: 700mb
O. Navigational Fix Accuracy: 0.02 nautical miles
O. Meteorological Accuracy: 1 nautical mile

Remarks Section - Remarks That Were Decoded...
Maximum Outbound and Flight Level Wind: 131kts (~ 150.8mph) which was observed 29 nautical miles (33 statute miles) to the ESE (108°) from the flight level center at 1:12:00Z
Dropsonde Surface Wind at Center: From 195° at 12kts (From the SSW at 14mph)
Maximum Flight Level Temp: 25°C (77°F) which was observed 7 nautical miles to the W (279°) from the flight level center

Remarks Section - Additional Remarks...
RADAR SHOWED NEARLY 50 PERCENT BAND ON EAST SIDE OF STORM APPROX 18NM DIAM
PEAK OUTBOUND SFMR WIND 126 KTS SE QUAD

[Chris_in_Tampa]

[Chris_in_Tampa]

URNT15 KNHC 040132
AF303 1411A JOAQUIN HDOB 18 20151004
012330 2715N 06816W 6964 03028 9890 +105 +097 207090 091 067 003 00
012400 2714N 06815W 6969 03026 9890 +106 +096 208088 089 063 005 00
012430 2713N 06815W 6970 03029 9891 +106 +096 208086 087 064 005 00
012500 2711N 06814W 6962 03038 9900 +104 +095 209083 084 062 004 00
012530 2710N 06813W 6970 03032 9909 +100 +098 209082 083 060 004 00
012600 2709N 06812W 6967 03041 9920 +101 //// 211081 082 058 005 01
012630 2708N 06812W 6965 03046 9925 +100 //// 212083 083 058 005 01
012700 2707N 06811W 6966 03045 9930 +099 +099 213082 083 058 009 03
012730 2705N 06810W 6971 03042 9937 +100 +100 217084 085 059 010 03
012800 2704N 06809W 6971 03044 9942 +098 +098 219085 085 059 009 03
012830 2703N 06809W 6966 03053 9944 +101 +101 219086 087 060 009 03
012900 2702N 06808W 6966 03053 9950 +100 +100 219083 084 060 012 03
012930 2701N 06807W 6968 03057 9954 +102 +102 218080 082 057 008 03
013000 2659N 06806W 6968 03062 9949 +104 +104 219083 084 059 009 03
013030 2658N 06806W 6964 03066 9950 +105 +105 219080 083 060 007 03
013100 2657N 06805W 6968 03062 9948 +103 //// 218082 082 059 006 01
013130 2656N 06804W 6967 03067 9948 +104 //// 215082 084 057 005 01
013200 2654N 06803W 6967 03064 //// +096 //// 216079 081 057 004 01
013230 2653N 06802W 6964 03070 //// +098 //// 219078 079 056 001 01
013300 2652N 06802W 6969 03067 //// +098 //// 220077 078 055 002 01
$$
;

[Chris_in_Tampa]

[Chris_in_Tampa]

[Chris_in_Tampa]

URNT15 KNHC 040143
AF303 1411A JOAQUIN HDOB 19 20151004
013330 2651N 06801W 6974 03067 //// +098 //// 221076 077 052 002 01
013400 2649N 06800W 6961 03083 9945 +104 +100 223078 078 053 002 00
013430 2648N 06759W 6963 03084 9950 +102 +096 223077 079 054 001 00
013500 2647N 06758W 6970 03075 9950 +106 +095 223078 078 054 000 00
013530 2645N 06758W 6967 03082 9948 +109 +094 225077 080 055 001 00
013600 2644N 06757W 6974 03074 9948 +112 +087 226076 078 054 001 00
013630 2643N 06756W 6970 03082 9953 +110 +090 226075 076 052 001 00
013700 2641N 06755W 6965 03095 9959 +103 +097 223075 076 055 001 01
013730 2640N 06754W 6969 03089 9968 +101 +099 226074 075 054 001 01
013800 2639N 06754W 6965 03097 //// +100 //// 224073 076 054 001 01
013830 2637N 06753W 6967 03096 //// +099 //// 222069 071 053 001 01
013900 2636N 06752W 6968 03097 //// +098 //// 219069 071 054 002 01
013930 2635N 06751W 6969 03099 //// +092 //// 215067 068 055 001 01
014000 2633N 06750W 6962 03108 //// +090 //// 218065 065 055 002 01
014030 2632N 06749W 6970 03098 //// +096 //// 220063 064 052 002 01
014100 2631N 06749W 6974 03096 //// +099 //// 224060 063 051 002 01
014130 2629N 06748W 6969 03102 0005 +100 //// 223061 063 048 004 05
014200 2628N 06747W 6969 03102 0015 +102 //// 220064 066 048 007 05
014230 2627N 06746W 6963 03106 0017 +094 //// 220068 069 046 007 05
014300 2626N 06745W 6958 03121 //// +075 //// 217073 076 /// /// 05
$$
;

[Chris_in_Tampa]

[Chris_in_Tampa]

URNT15 KNHC 040152
AF303 1411A JOAQUIN HDOB 20 20151004
014330 2627N 06743W 6970 03108 //// +078 //// 214073 076 /// /// 05
014400 2629N 06743W 6973 03102 //// +081 //// 211070 071 /// /// 05
014430 2631N 06743W 6958 03113 0020 +097 //// 211068 069 /// /// 05
014500 2633N 06743W 6967 03101 0000 +101 //// 216066 067 049 005 01
014530 2635N 06743W 6967 03105 //// +092 //// 217067 068 050 004 01
014600 2637N 06743W 6963 03107 //// +095 //// 214065 067 050 003 01
014630 2640N 06743W 6968 03100 //// +096 //// 216063 064 049 002 01
014700 2642N 06742W 6971 03094 //// +100 //// 219065 068 049 001 01
014730 2644N 06742W 6967 03096 //// +101 //// 221068 068 050 001 01
014800 2646N 06742W 6963 03099 //// +100 //// 222068 068 050 000 01
014830 2649N 06741W 6965 03097 //// +102 //// 221069 069 052 002 01
014900 2651N 06741W 6967 03094 9966 +104 +098 218071 071 053 001 00
014930 2653N 06741W 6970 03091 9967 +104 +093 217070 072 052 002 00
015000 2655N 06740W 6970 03088 9963 +106 +091 216071 072 053 000 00
015030 2658N 06740W 6966 03090 9968 +100 +096 214072 072 054 001 00
015100 2700N 06740W 6971 03084 9966 +101 +094 214072 073 055 001 00
015130 2702N 06739W 6967 03085 9960 +101 +099 213072 074 057 001 01
015200 2705N 06739W 6967 03087 9965 +100 +098 211074 074 057 001 01
015230 2707N 06739W 6966 03088 9960 +102 +093 212074 075 056 002 00
015300 2709N 06738W 6968 03083 9961 +100 +095 210074 075 056 002 00
$$
;

[JonathanBelles]

Tonight's post: http://jonathanbelles.com/2015/10/03/hu ... o-surface/

[Chris_in_Tampa]

[Chris_in_Tampa]

URNT15 KNHC 040202
AF303 1411A JOAQUIN HDOB 21 20151004
015330 2712N 06738W 6967 03079 9958 +100 +097 208075 076 055 001 01
015400 2714N 06738W 6963 03087 //// +097 //// 207080 081 054 002 01
015430 2716N 06737W 6970 03074 //// +088 //// 205082 083 055 004 01
015500 2719N 06737W 6972 03074 //// +087 //// 204079 082 055 004 01
015530 2721N 06737W 6967 03077 //// +092 //// 201078 079 054 004 01
015600 2724N 06736W 6966 03078 //// +104 //// 202075 076 055 001 01
015630 2726N 06736W 6970 03073 9942 +106 +102 202076 077 055 001 01
015700 2728N 06736W 6963 03086 9948 +103 +101 201076 077 056 001 01
015730 2731N 06735W 6966 03077 //// +100 //// 198075 078 055 002 01
015800 2733N 06735W 6969 03075 //// +099 //// 196074 075 055 002 01
015830 2735N 06735W 6970 03072 //// +096 //// 195074 074 056 002 01
015900 2738N 06734W 6966 03078 9959 +098 //// 194071 073 056 004 01
015930 2740N 06734W 6963 03081 9958 +098 //// 194069 070 055 004 01
020000 2743N 06734W 6967 03077 9959 +102 //// 192071 072 056 004 01
020030 2745N 06733W 6967 03075 9959 +101 //// 191070 072 054 005 05
020100 2747N 06733W 6967 03078 //// +101 //// 191069 070 053 004 01
020130 2750N 06732W 6968 03072 //// +100 //// 187068 070 052 004 01
020200 2752N 06732W 6966 03079 9952 +100 +100 186068 069 051 003 01
020230 2754N 06732W 6967 03077 9949 +103 +098 186068 069 051 003 00
020300 2757N 06731W 6968 03074 9956 +100 +099 184067 068 049 003 00
$$
;

[Chris_in_Tampa]

[Chris_in_Tampa]

URNT15 KNHC 040212
AF303 1411A JOAQUIN HDOB 22 20151004
020330 2759N 06731W 6967 03079 9961 +096 //// 183066 068 049 005 01
020400 2801N 06731W 6965 03081 9956 +099 +098 183065 066 050 006 03
020430 2804N 06730W 6966 03080 9954 +100 +100 182066 067 046 006 03
020500 2806N 06730W 6969 03079 9950 +103 +102 181066 067 048 007 03
020530 2808N 06730W 6967 03081 9950 +104 +101 181067 068 047 007 03
020600 2811N 06729W 6969 03074 9951 +102 +100 181068 068 047 006 03
020630 2813N 06729W 6965 03082 9955 +101 +092 179066 068 045 005 00
020700 2815N 06729W 6963 03083 9953 +101 +096 178066 067 044 005 01
020730 2818N 06728W 6967 03079 //// +100 //// 177064 067 043 003 05
020800 2820N 06728W 6967 03081 9955 +100 +095 175061 063 042 003 05
020830 2822N 06728W 6967 03081 9954 +104 +087 175060 061 039 004 00
020900 2824N 06727W 6967 03083 9954 +103 +095 174062 062 042 003 03
020930 2827N 06727W 6968 03082 9957 +102 +095 173061 062 040 005 00
021000 2829N 06727W 6965 03084 //// +099 //// 174059 061 039 004 01
021030 2831N 06726W 6967 03085 //// +094 //// 171061 062 038 003 01
021100 2834N 06726W 6967 03084 //// +096 //// 170061 062 039 002 01
021130 2836N 06726W 6962 03093 //// +098 //// 167063 065 040 002 05
021200 2838N 06725W 6969 03084 9983 +098 //// 168062 066 041 006 01
021230 2840N 06725W 6966 03086 9995 +100 +100 170063 064 048 020 00
021300 2843N 06725W 6975 03077 9999 +101 +101 159066 068 048 020 00
$$
;

[Chris_in_Tampa]

[Chris_in_Tampa]

[Chris_in_Tampa]

URNT15 KNHC 040222
AF303 1411A JOAQUIN HDOB 23 20151004
021330 2845N 06724W 6962 03092 0001 +100 +100 162071 074 048 022 00
021400 2847N 06724W 6976 03076 0010 +100 +100 161068 074 046 024 00
021430 2849N 06724W 6965 03087 0003 +102 +102 165061 069 045 030 03
021500 2852N 06723W 6963 03090 9992 +101 +101 168063 064 040 014 00
021530 2854N 06723W 6970 03085 9993 +100 +100 164062 063 031 008 00
021600 2856N 06723W 6972 03085 9979 +102 +102 164060 062 035 007 03
021630 2858N 06722W 6959 03098 9988 +099 +099 169055 058 033 008 00
021700 2901N 06722W 6967 03094 9999 +100 +100 165054 058 034 007 03
021730 2903N 06722W 6966 03095 9999 +102 +102 163049 051 035 008 00
021800 2905N 06721W 6971 03088 9997 +101 +101 161041 045 038 008 03
021830 2907N 06721W 6961 03101 0012 +089 //// 151041 043 041 006 05
021900 2909N 06721W 6967 03097 0001 +092 +092 146046 047 039 007 00
021930 2911N 06720W 6969 03096 0005 +087 //// 144049 050 040 006 05
022000 2913N 06720W 6965 03099 9992 +088 +081 140052 053 040 004 00
022030 2915N 06720W 6963 03102 9989 +092 +075 140050 051 038 004 00
022100 2917N 06719W 6963 03105 9989 +093 +070 139050 051 037 002 00
022130 2919N 06719W 6969 03097 9995 +089 +083 140051 052 035 004 00
022200 2921N 06719W 6965 03108 9998 +088 +084 139048 050 033 004 05
022230 2923N 06720W 6970 03103 //// +087 //// 137047 048 /// /// 05
022300 2922N 06722W 6966 03106 0000 +086 //// 135047 047 /// /// 05
$$
;

[Chris_in_Tampa]

[NDG]

I know I continue to post about the El Faro, for those interested here is a link to the company's website where updates will be posted. Please keep the prayers coming. The Coast Guard has done a lot of searching with a lot of area covered and sadly no signs other than the life ring.

http://elfaroincident.com/

Family members of the crew from El Faro were questioning why the captain made the decision on Tuesday to sail off to Puerto Rico, Tuesday morning the official forecast from the NHC did not called for Joaquin to make it into a Hurricane nor to make it as far south as it did. I guess it was too late by the time they were down there. This storm did give the NHC a headache in forecasting.

[Chris_in_Tampa]

URNT15 KNHC 040232
AF303 1411A JOAQUIN HDOB 24 20151004
022330 2921N 06723W 6970 03092 9999 +085 +083 136045 046 035 005 03
022400 2920N 06724W 6965 03098 9992 +086 +084 138046 047 035 005 05
022430 2918N 06726W 6967 03096 9998 +086 //// 141052 052 036 005 05
022500 2917N 06727W 6963 03100 9991 +093 //// 149046 052 037 007 05
022530 2916N 06728W 6963 03099 0003 +095 +095 147046 048 034 006 03
022600 2915N 06730W 6971 03085 //// +092 //// 153043 046 037 003 01
022630 2914N 06731W 6967 03091 9987 +097 //// 150048 050 037 003 05
022700 2913N 06732W 6967 03088 9989 +100 +100 150048 049 034 008 00
022730 2911N 06734W 6967 03092 9994 +099 +099 152047 048 034 008 00
022800 2910N 06735W 6969 03089 0003 +097 +097 159050 051 036 013 00
022830 2909N 06736W 6968 03083 0001 +097 +097 158056 060 038 012 00
022900 2908N 06738W 6965 03087 9980 +101 +101 154060 061 040 010 03
022930 2907N 06739W 6965 03086 9983 +102 +102 156065 068 044 011 00
023000 2906N 06740W 6968 03083 //// +095 //// 155068 069 047 005 01
023030 2905N 06741W 6967 03080 //// +096 //// 159062 066 040 003 01
023100 2904N 06743W 6967 03078 //// +095 //// 160059 061 041 003 01
023130 2903N 06744W 6965 03082 //// +093 //// 157061 063 038 002 01
023200 2902N 06745W 6967 03073 //// +093 //// 156059 059 038 001 01
023230 2900N 06746W 6970 03071 //// +093 //// 157059 060 040 003 01
023300 2859N 06748W 6967 03074 9953 +096 +086 155058 059 040 003 01
$$
;

[Chris_in_Tampa]

With previous best track data, including as an invest: