CaliforniaResident wrote:Delores may no longer be a tropical cyclone but she brought a lot of (very rare) weather fun to San Diego today: we set the all time record for the most rain in the entire month of July with today's totals. Rare widespread thunderstorms and cloud to ground lightning as well.
"July" is more like May for us as our summer SST and land temperatures usually peak in mid-September.
SST are now in the low to mid 70s off shore. By September, we could approach that elusive 80 F mark AND September is also the peak of the hurricane season.
Could there be a landfall on our shores sometime between mid September and mid October?
Offsohre yes SST are 20-23C, but a few miles east, it is still 18-22Cish, and likely a storm will have to go over some of that to make it. SST gradient is not as sharp as it's been in years past it seems like, and in the right track if the SST warm, I'd give it an outside shot. Unlike Hawaii, however, a storm has the advantage of not having to cross as long of an area of sub-29C conditions, and you can have subtropical jet forcing.
I know San Diego has gotten more rain from this than they got this winter.
