ATL: INVEST 95L - Discussion

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Kingarabian
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ATL: INVEST 95L - Discussion

#1 Postby Kingarabian » Sun Aug 02, 2015 7:00 pm

Saw it on NRL.

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Last edited by tolakram on Tue Aug 04, 2015 11:21 am, edited 3 times in total.
Reason: changed subject
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Re: ATL: Invest 95L - Discussion

#2 Postby SouthFloridawx » Sun Aug 02, 2015 7:03 pm

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc-bin/tc_ho ... YLE=frames
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#3 Postby northjaxpro » Sun Aug 02, 2015 7:06 pm

Well, at least we now have it designated for now as 95L. Now we wait to see what happens overnight. Lets discuss...
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#4 Postby NDG » Sun Aug 02, 2015 7:08 pm

I don't understand the NHC sometimes. They went from saying "a well-defined low pressure system" at 2 PM's TWO to a "weak area of low pressure" at 8 PM when at 2 PM it was naked of deep convection, lol.
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#5 Postby Kingarabian » Sun Aug 02, 2015 7:10 pm

Image

Weak if any @ lower levels.

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#6 Postby NDG » Sun Aug 02, 2015 7:12 pm

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#7 Postby NCSTORMMAN » Sun Aug 02, 2015 7:16 pm

It is moving due south in my opinion and speeding up a little. I could be wrong of course but it looks like that to me.
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#8 Postby rockyman » Sun Aug 02, 2015 7:22 pm

95LINVEST.25kts-1008mb-297N-834W
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#9 Postby JKingTampa » Sun Aug 02, 2015 7:24 pm

It's managing to maintain convection so far but doesn't look nearly as good as it did earlier.
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Re: ATL: Invest 95L - Discussion

#10 Postby caneman » Sun Aug 02, 2015 7:25 pm

I still say its been a TD if not a T.S. ive seen far worse get classified but hey what do I know. I don't get paid the big bucks and dont do this for a living. But, I have been tracking them for about 16 years for whatever that is worth ;)
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#11 Postby CrazyC83 » Sun Aug 02, 2015 7:33 pm

Are any Recon flights planned?
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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Discussion

#12 Postby cycloneye » Sun Aug 02, 2015 7:37 pm

No recon for now.Let's see Mondays TCPOD unless it goes inland fast.
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#13 Postby TheStormExpert » Sun Aug 02, 2015 7:39 pm

Whatever happened to the NHC using Social Media to inform us about their actions?
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#14 Postby psyclone » Sun Aug 02, 2015 7:41 pm

NWS Tampa Bay just posted a graphic on their facebook feed that shows the low migrating to a position south of cedar key FWIW.
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Re:

#15 Postby psyclone » Sun Aug 02, 2015 7:43 pm

TheStormExpert wrote:Whatever happened to the NHC using Social Media to inform us about their actions?

They're not taking any actions nor are they close with 10% development odds.
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#16 Postby gatorcane » Sun Aug 02, 2015 7:48 pm

Nice blowup of convection over appalachee bay:

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Last edited by gatorcane on Sun Aug 02, 2015 7:49 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#17 Postby northjaxpro » Sun Aug 02, 2015 7:48 pm

Well, the Tampa NWS mets are thinking like me in that I think 95L will comtinue to drift southward overnight.
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Re: Re:

#18 Postby TheStormExpert » Sun Aug 02, 2015 7:51 pm

psyclone wrote:
TheStormExpert wrote:Whatever happened to the NHC using Social Media to inform us about their actions?

They're not taking any actions nor are they close with 10% development odds.

They could at least tweet their thoughts and opinions on 95L.
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#19 Postby NDG » Sun Aug 02, 2015 7:52 pm

northjaxpro wrote:Well, the Tampa NWS mets are thinking like me in that I think 95L will comtinue to drift southward overnight.



Or at least the mid level vortiticy that it developed again while the surface low stays behind.
Last edited by NDG on Sun Aug 02, 2015 7:53 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#20 Postby gatorcane » Sun Aug 02, 2015 7:52 pm

More showers and storms are building across the Eastern Gulf and heading towards the Nature Coast and Tampa Bay as the low continues to blowup new convection this hour. These areas are already so saturated with record rainfall totals the past several weeks (I think breaking 35+ year records).

Latest radar out of NWS Tampa. You can even see a twist in the echos up by Cedar Key:
http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar.ph ... W&loop=yes
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