90L - Ex ERIKA:Obs,Preps,BAH,Fla Peninsula / Fla Panhandle

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90L - Ex ERIKA:Obs,Preps,BAH,Fla Peninsula / Fla Panhandle

#1 Postby cycloneye » Tue Aug 25, 2015 4:51 am

Here we go again folks.This time this kind of thread expands to other areas westward like the Dominican Republic,Bahamas and U.S east coast.We can also post web cams.

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ERIKA ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052015
500 AM AST TUE AUG 25 2015

...TROPICAL STORM WATCHES ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE LEEWARD
ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.6N 49.4W
ABOUT 840 MI...1355 KM E OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...31 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Meteorological Service of Antigua has issued a Tropical Storm
Watch for Montserrat, Antigua, Barbuda, St. Kitts, Nevis, and
Anguilla.

The Meteorological Service of Curacao has issued a Tropical Storm
Watch for Saba and St. Eustatius.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Montserrat
* Antigua
* Barbuda
* St. Kitts and Nevis
* Anguilla
* Saba
* St. Eustatius
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#2 Postby Gustywind » Tue Aug 25, 2015 6:03 am

Here is the latest weather Press cyclonic activity for Guadeloupe.

:rarrow: http://www.meteofrance.gp/integration/s ... dirrag.pdf


Interregional Directorate AntillesGuyane

Tuesday, August 25, 2015 05 AM

Press cyclonic activity

Good evening,

As expected, the strong tropical wave over the central Atlantic became the fifth cyclonic phenomenon of the season. He has been named directly to a tropical storm with ERIKA name. It is expected that it increases to tropical storm force passing on Guadeloupe and the Northern Islands and then hurricane continuing its course to the west.

Erika is situated about 1200 km east of the Lesser Antilles and moving quickly westward at the speed of 31km / h. This trajectory is expected to continue for the next days and the Lesser Antilles would then be concerned for Thursday afternoon. Uncertainty remains fairly important, both in terms of the final trajectory of and concerning the intensity.
It should be in its conditions to monitor this feature very carefully.
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#3 Postby Gustywind » Tue Aug 25, 2015 6:46 am

Tropical Storm Erika is Born in Atlantic, Threatens Leeward Islands at Midweek

By Brett Rathbun, AccuWeather.com Meteorologist

August 25, 2015; 6:50 AM ET

:rarrow: http://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-n ... t/52021729

Tropical Storm Erika formed on Monday night and will track toward the Leeward Islands later this week.

As Tropical Rainstorm Danny tracks across the northern Caribbean islands, Erika will follow a similar track and bring another round of welcome rainfall.
This system will be steered westward by a large dome of high pressure across the Atlantic during much of this week.

"Erika will closely follow the track of Danny and approach the Leeward Islands later this week," AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist Matt Rinde said.
Erika is located about 840 miles east of the Leeward Islands.

"Erika will be moving through an environment with warm waters and generally low wind shear," AccuWeather Meteorologist Robert Richards said.

"This environment will be conducive for further development over the next couple days," he added.

Tropical systems are most likely to strengthen in areas of weak wind shear. If wind shear is too strong, the system becomes disorganized and weakens.
Wind shear is when strong winds near the surface and aloft blow strongly from different directions," AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist Alex Sosnowski said.

Danny thrived late last week in a zone of low wind shear. Once it moved into an area of increasing wind shear near the Leeward Islands, the system weakened rapidly.

While Erika is forecast to strengthen over the next several days, wind shear may again cause it to weaken or prevent any further strengthening when approaching the Leeward Islands. A track into the northern islands of the Caribbean would bring another dose of needed rainfall.
Much of the eastern half of Puerto Rico is under at least a severe drought, according to the United States Drought Monitor. Because of this, water rationing programs are in effect on the eastern side of the island.

If this system slices north of the Leeward Islands, where wind shear is somewhat lower, then it could survive and perhaps strengthen again. In this scenario, steering winds north of the Caribbean Islands will likely allow the system to track northwestward and then northward over the western part of the Atlantic basin.
Erika is predicted to move across the northern Caribbean as a strong tropical storm, but it could be as strong as a minimal Category 1 hurricane from late this week into the weekend.

According to Kottlowski, the exact path this weekend into next week is uncertain at this time.

"All interests in the northeast Caribbean, Bahamas, Florida and the Southeast United States should closely monitor the progression of this system," Kottlowski said.

The AccuWeather Hurricane Center will continue to provide information on Erika, as well as all other tropical features across all ocean basins.

Despite a quiet first half of the hurricane season across the Atlantic, late August and through September are typically the peak of tropical activity.

At this point in the hurricane season, water temperatures are at their warmest. This gives disturbances moving across the Atlantic from Africa the best chance for development.

In May, AccuWeather predicted eight tropical storms, four of those to become hurricanes across the Atlantic Basin during 2015. Erika is the fifth tropical storm of the season with Danny being the only storm becoming a hurricane.


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Re: ERIKA:Obs,Preps,at Leewards,BVI,USVI,PR,DR,BAH,U.S E coast

#4 Postby cycloneye » Tue Aug 25, 2015 6:57 am

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ERIKA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 2A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052015
800 AM AST TUE AUG 25 2015

...ERIKA MOVING QUICKLY TOWARD THE WEST...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.8N 50.2W
ABOUT 750 MI...1205 KM E OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...31 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Meteorological Service of St. Maarten has issued a tropical
storm watch for St. Maarten.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Montserrat
* Antigua
* Barbuda
* St. Kitts and Nevis
* Anguilla
* Saba
* St. Eustatius
* St. Maarten
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Re: ERIKA:Obs,Preps,at Leewards,BVI,USVI,PR,DR,BAH,U.S E coast

#5 Postby cycloneye » Tue Aug 25, 2015 7:19 am

Antigua Met Service ‏@anumetservice · 7m7 minutes ago
At 8 am, #Erika heading our way w45mph winds, storm watch in effect; warning likely later; execute storm/hur plan

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#6 Postby Gustywind » Tue Aug 25, 2015 7:48 am

:uarrow:

TROPICAL CYCLONE ALERT STATEMENT

WHCA31 TAPA
TROPICAL CYCLONE ALERT STATEMENT
ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES
10:04 PM ECT MON, AUG 24, 2015

THIS IS FOR THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS

SPECIAL TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ADVISORY

THIS IS FOR THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS

THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED ABOUT 825 MILES EAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES HAS BECOME A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED ALTHOUGH THE SYSTEM HAS NOT YET DEVELOPED A FULLY CLOSED SURFACE CIRCULATION.

RECENT REPORTS INDICATE THAT THE LOW IS PRODUCING WINDS TO TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE, AND ONLY A SMALL INCREASE IN ORGANIZATION WOULD RESULT IN THE FORMATION OF A TROPICAL STORM AS THE SYSTEM MOVES WESTWARD NEAR 20 MPH.

ALL INTERESTS IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS INCLUDING ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS DISTURBANCE AND BE PREPARED TO ACT SHOULD WATCHES AND WARNINGS BE REQUIRED AT SHORT NOTICE.

THE MET OFFICE WILL CONTINUE TO CLOSELY MONITOR THIS SYSTEM AND WILL UPDATE THE PUBLIC ACCORDINGLY.

FORECASTER CECIL MATTHEW
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Re: ERIKA:Obs,Preps,at Leewards,BVI,USVI,PR,DR,BAH,U.S E coast

#7 Postby msbee » Tue Aug 25, 2015 7:53 am

UPDATE: Tropical Storm Erika: Sint Maarten is under a Tropical Storm Watch

25 Aug 2015
Published in Soualiga News Today
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UPDATE: Tropical Storm Erika: Sint Maarten is under a Tropical Storm Watch

SINT MAARTEN – The National Hurricane Centre (NHC) in its 8.00AM advisory now includes Sint Maarten under a Tropical Storm Watch after consultation with the Department of Meteorological Services (MDS).

Tropical Storm Watches have been issued for the Leeward Islands of Anguilla, St. Kitts & Nevis, Antigua & Barbuda, Montserrat, Saba and St. Eustatius.

Tropical storm conditions are forecasted to start from Wednesday night or early Thursday morning.

Erika was located at 8.00AM Tuesday morning August 25: 750 miles east of the Leeward Islands; maximum sustained winds are 45 miles per hour; the storm is moving west and at 20 miles per hour.

A Tropical Storm Watch means storm conditions are expected in the watch area within 48 hours.

Tropical Storm force winds extend up to 80 miles outward from the center.

SOUALIGA NEWSDAY REPORT (http://www.soualiganewsday.com)
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#8 Postby Gustywind » Tue Aug 25, 2015 8:02 am

Guadeloupe and the Northern Leewards are Under a tropical storm Watch.
:rarrow: http://www.meteofrance.gp/vigilance-antilles-guyane
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#9 Postby Gustywind » Tue Aug 25, 2015 9:34 am

Tropical Storm Erika Has Formed in the Atlantic; Tropical Storm Watches Issued For Leeward Islands
Published Aug 25 2015 09:42 AM EDT
weather.com
:rarrow: http://www.weather.com/storms/hurricane ... ugust-2015

Highlights
•Tropical Storm Erika formed late Monday night in the central Atlantic and is about 840 miles east of the Leeward Islands.
•Tropical storm watches were posted Tuesday morning for parts of the Leeward Islands, and additional watches and or warnings may be required soon.
•Erika is expected to remain a tropical storm and gather strength as it moves quickly to the west.
•The northern Leeward Islands may feel tropical storm-force winds by late Wednesday night into early Thursday.
•Erika may then bring more rain to drought-suffering Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands.
•Erika's future track and intensity beyond Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands is highly uncertain.


Tropical Storm Erika formed Monday night about 955 miles east of the Lesser Antilles and is moving quickly westward at about 20 mph.

For the next couple of days, Erika will be moving through an environment characterized by a moist air mass, low vertical wind shear and warm water. This should allow some strengthening.

Just like we saw with Danny, Erika will eventually have to battle wind shear and some dry air as it nears the Carribean. This complicates both the intensity and track forecasts.

Due to this fast movement, Erika is already expected to arrive in the northern Leeward islands Wednesday night or early Thursday with tropical storm-force winds and heavy rain, prompting tropical storm watches to be issued early Tuesday morning for Montserrat, Antigua, Barbuda, St. Kitts and Nevis, Aguilla, Saba, St. Eustatius and St. Maarten.

This is the second time in less than three days watches have been hoisted in the Leeward Islands, done so this past weekend ahead of Tropical Storm Danny, whose remnants are sliding through the Caribbean ahead of Erika.

Additional watches may be required in Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands, as Erika may spread rain and wind into those drought-suffering areas Thursday into early Friday.

Beyond that, the forecast has a large amount of uncertainty, due to a potential track over land in the Caribbean and interaction with the aforementioned wind shear.

A stronger Erika may get pulled farther northwest, while a weaker Erika would track farther west and south.

All interests in Hispanola, The Bahamas, Cuba and the southeast United States should continue to monitor the progress of Erika.
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#10 Postby Gustywind » Tue Aug 25, 2015 9:56 am

Here is the latest weather forecast related to the Storm Watch for Guadeloupe

:rarrow: http://www.meteofrance.gp/integration/s ... eloupe.pdf

Monitoring VIGILANCE Bulletin No. 1 for Guadeloupe
of Tuesday, August 25, 2015 at 849 AM or 1249 UTC


Episode No. 5-GD

Vigilance Level: Yellow

Danger: Cyclone

Validity: Event Start: Thursday, 08/27/2015 at 00 AM

Estimated End: Thursday, 08/27/2015 at 6PM.

Current status: Tropical Storm ERIKA

Estimated position on 25-08-2015 at 09 UTC: 14.6 N 49.4 W

Distance from Guadeloupe in the center of the feature: 1310 km

Displacement: 275 degrees west at 31km / h

Pressure in the center: 1003 hPa

Forecast:

The ERIKA tropical storm formed last night at 1600 km of the Lesser Antilles. His speed displacement is significant, near 30 km / h, and the first track forecasts expect a passage on the northern Leewards , during the night of Wednesday to Thursday at strong tropical storm status. At this time, the uncertainty about the exact path of Erika is still important.

Observed data:

First current forecasts circulate ERIKA north of Guadeloupe. Our islands would therefore not exposed to the most significant effects associated with this feature, however severe degradation of the weather is expected for the night of Wednesday to Thursday with stronger winds and the establishment of stormy rain that can bring significant rainfall accumulations.

Next newsletter: Tuesday, 08/25/2015 at 5PM.

INDIVIDUAL MEASURES RECOMMENDED BY THE BEHAVIOUR


VIGILANCE YELLOW CYCLONE

JMI1: Stay alert and stand informed of developments in the phenomenon of remaining attentive
JMI2: Check the necessary reserves (food, water, candles, batteries, medicines ...)

JMI3: Check your radio (battery)

JMI4: Avoid undertaking long hikes in the mountains or near streams

JMI5: Do not take the sea for a long time without particular obligation
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#11 Postby Gustywind » Tue Aug 25, 2015 10:42 am

NEW: Tropical Storm Erika: Watches issued for St Martin, St. Barths and Guadeloupe
25 Aug 2015
Published in Soualiga News Today

:rarrow: http://www.soualiganewsday.com/local/so ... loupe.html

SINT MAARTEN – The National Hurricane Centre (NHC) in its 11.00AM advisory reports that the Government of France has issued a Tropical Storm Watch for St. Barths, St. Martin and Guadeloupe.

Tropical Storm Watches have been issued for the Leeward Islands of Anguilla, Sint Maarten, St. Kitts & Nevis, Antigua & Barbuda, Montserrat, Saba and St. Eustatius.

Tropical storm conditions are forecasted to start from Wednesday night or early Thursday morning.

Erika was located at 11.00AM Tuesday morning August 25: 730 miles east of the Leeward Islands; maximum sustained winds are 45 miles per hour; the storm is moving west and at 20 miles per hour. A track to the west-north westward at a slower speed is forecast over the next 48 hours.

A Tropical Storm Watch means storm conditions are expected in the watch area within 48 hours.

Tropical Storm force winds extend up to 80 miles outward from the center.
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#12 Postby Gustywind » Tue Aug 25, 2015 10:56 am

000
WTNT35 KNHC 251446
TCPAT5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ERIKA ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052015
1100 AM AST TUE AUG 25 2015

...ERIKA SHOWING LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH AT THIS TIME...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.2N 51.0W
ABOUT 730 MI...1170 KM E OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...31 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The government of France has issued a Tropical Storm Watch for
Guadeloupe, St. Martin, and St. Barthelemy.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Montserrat
* Antigua and Barbuda
* St. Kitts and Nevis
* Anguilla
* Saba, St. Eustatius, and St. Maarten
* Guadeloupe, St. Martin, and St. Barthelemy

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Erika was
located near latitude 15.2 North, longitude 51.0 West. Erika is
moving toward the west near 20 mph (31 km/h), and a
west-northwestward motion at a slightly slower forward speed is
expected over the next 48 hours. On the forecast track, the
center of Erika will be near the Leeward Islands Wednesday night
and early Thursday.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher
gusts. Some slow strengthening is possible during the next 48
hours.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch
area by Wednesday night or early Thursday.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 200 PM AST.
Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Pasch
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#13 Postby Gustywind » Tue Aug 25, 2015 11:02 am

Trending Now

Tropics Remain Active


Aug 25, 2015; 11:30 AM ET In the wake of Danny, Erika has gained intensity and will be taking a similar path as Danny did.

:rarrow: http://videowall.accuweather.com/detail ... Start=true
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#14 Postby Gustywind » Tue Aug 25, 2015 12:09 pm

Soualiga Newsday Features (386)

:rarrow: http://www.soualiganewsday.com/soualiga ... res-2.html

NV GEBE to embark on awareness campaign
Published in Soualiga Newsday Features |



CFO Rene Gartner (third from right) seated with other management officials of NV GEBE. (Soualiga Newsday Photo)


SINT MAARTEN – NV GEBE will be embarking upon an awareness campaign to bridge the information gap between the company and the community. The company has made improvements in different areas and strives to continue to improve its service to it customers thereby building a constructive healthy relationship.

A marketing officer, will be hired by the company that will carry out a long-term campaign, with respect to the products and services that the company provides to the Sint Maarten community.

The initiative for the awareness campaign and bringing the company closer to the community came from the newly appointed Commercial Manager Iris Arrindell. Arrindell officially started in her new position as of July 1st. Arrindell is also the first woman in the company’s 55-year history to be appointed to a management position.

At a recent press conference, NV GEBE’s Chief Financial Officer Rene Gartner mentioned how the company has made a number of investments such as electric meters; where the company has moved from the old analog to digital meters.

The company has also started to install digital water meters which would allow NV GEBE to be proactive in monitoring water meter output from the perspective of whether its leaking or has been tampered with. The client will then be informed about the matter and corrective actions can be taken.

The electric meters that NV GEBE has also started to install will be able to detect irregularities, and tampering. The new smart meters will allow the company to deliver better services to the community over time.

One of the key components of NV GEBEs public awareness campaign is to educate the populace in connection with ‘easy payment.’ In order to cut the long month-end lines at the company’s two bill payment locations, the company will be informing its customers about how easy it is to pay their bills by using information technology.

NV GEBE will also look at opening other service payment points in different districts. The company is now studying the cost factor and what options they have at their disposal. If the company decides to build their own building the construction timeline would be approximately 12-months and the possibility exist that a temporary location could be used in the meantime while construction takes place.

NV GEBE senior citizens relief program has been successful and the number of seniors who have made use of it has grown from 318 in 2014 to 683 in 2015.

SOUALIGA NEWSDAY REPORT
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Re: ERIKA:Obs,Preps,at Leewards,BVI,USVI,PR,DR,BAH,U.S E coast

#15 Postby cycloneye » Tue Aug 25, 2015 12:38 pm

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ERIKA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 3A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052015
200 PM AST TUE AUG 25 2015

...ERIKA CONTINUES TO SHOW LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM AST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.3N 51.8W
ABOUT 640 MI...1030 KM E OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...31 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Montserrat
* Antigua and Barbuda
* St. Kitts and Nevis
* Anguilla
* Saba, St. Eustatius, and St. Maarten
* Guadeloupe, St. Martin, and St. Barthelemy
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#16 Postby Gustywind » Tue Aug 25, 2015 1:39 pm

LATEST: Tropical Storm Erika: Hurricane hunter aircraft to investigate storm this afternoon. No change in storm strength
25 Aug 2015
Published in Soualiga News Today

:rarrow: http://www.soualiganewsday.com/local/so ... ength.html


SINT MAARTEN – The National Hurricane Centre (NHC) in its 2.00PM advisory reports that Tropical Storm Erika has not grown in intensity. Hurricane hunter aircraft are scheduled to fly into the storm this afternoon.

Tropical Storm Watches have been issued for the Leeward Islands of Anguilla, Sint Maarten, St. Kitts & Nevis, Antigua & Barbuda, Montserrat, St. Barths, St. Martin, Guadeloupe, Saba and St. Eustatius.

Tropical storm conditions are forecasted to start from Wednesday night or early Thursday morning.

Erika was located at 2.00PM Tuesday afternoon August 25: 640 miles east of the Leeward Islands; maximum sustained winds are 45 miles per hour with higher gusts; the storm is moving west and at 20 miles per hour. A track to the west-north westward at a slower speed is forecast over the next 48 hours.

A Tropical Storm Watch means storm conditions are expected in the watch area within 48 hours.

Tropical Storm force winds extend up to 80 miles outward from the center.

SOUALIGA NEWSDAY REPORT (http://www.soualiganewsday.com
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#17 Postby Gustywind » Tue Aug 25, 2015 1:51 pm

TROPICAL CYCLONE ALERT STATEMENT

WHCA31 TAPA
TROPICAL STORM ERIKA ALERT STATEMENT
ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES
12:48 PM ECT TUE, AUG 25, 2015

THIS IS FOR THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS

ERIKA SHOWING LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH AT THIS TIME

AT 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ERIKA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.2 NORTH, LONGITUDE 51.0 WEST 920 EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE BVI.

ERIKA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 20 MPH (31 KM/H), AND A WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION AT A SLIGHTLY SLOWER FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK, THE CENTER OF ERIKA WILL BE NEAR THE BVI ON THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 45 MPH (75 KM/H) WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME SLOW STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 80 MILES (130 KM) FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB (29.62 INCHES).

RESIDENTS OF THE BVI ARE ADVISED TO CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. CURRENTLY NO WATCHES ARE REQUIRED FOR THE BVI AT THIS TIME

NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED ABOUT 6PM THIS AFTERNOON

CLICK HERE FOR MORE INFORMATION

FORECASTER LENARD JOSIAH
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#18 Postby Gustywind » Tue Aug 25, 2015 4:51 pm

NEW: Tropical Storm Erika: Some strengthening is possible. Erika 605 miles east of Antigua
25 Aug 2015 |
Published in Soualiga News Today |
:rarrow: http://www.soualiganewsday.com/local/so ... tigua.html


SINT MAARTEN – The National Hurricane Centre (NHC) in its 5.00PM advisory reports that Tropical Storm Erika continues on its track towards the Leeward Islands.

Tropical Storm Watches have been issued for the Leeward Islands of Anguilla, Sint Maarten, St. Kitts & Nevis, Antigua & Barbuda, Montserrat, St. Barths, St. Martin, Guadeloupe, Saba and St. Eustatius.

Tropical storm conditions are forecasted to start from Wednesday night or early Thursday morning.

Erika was located at 5.00PM Tuesday afternoon August 25: 605 miles east of Antigua & Barbuda; maximum sustained winds are 40 miles per hour with higher gusts; the storm is moving west and at 20 miles per hour. A track to the west-north westward at a slower speed is forecast over the next 48 hours.

A Tropical Storm Watch means storm conditions are expected in the watch area within 48 hours.

Erika is expected to produce between two to four inches of rain.

Tropical Storm force winds extend up to 80 miles outward from the center.

SOUALIGA NEWSDAY REPORT (http://www.soualiganewsday.com)
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cycloneye
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Re: ERIKA:Obs,Preps,at Leewards,BVI,USVI,PR,DR,BAH,U.S E coast

#19 Postby cycloneye » Tue Aug 25, 2015 6:42 pm

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ERIKA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 4A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052015
800 PM AST TUE AUG 25 2015

...AIR FORCE AND NOAA PLANES FIND ERIKA POORLY ORGANIZED...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.8N 53.6W
ABOUT 545 MI...875 KM E OF ANTIGUA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...31 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Montserrat
* Antigua and Barbuda
* St. Kitts and Nevis
* Anguilla
* Saba, St. Eustatius, and St. Maarten
* Guadeloupe, St. Martin, and St. Barthelemy
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Re: ERIKA:Obs,Preps,at Leewards,BVI,USVI,PR,DR,BAH,U.S E coast

#20 Postby cycloneye » Tue Aug 25, 2015 9:56 pm

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ERIKA ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052015
1100 PM AST TUE AUG 25 2015

...POORLY ORGANIZED ERIKA CONTINUES TOWARD THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.0N 54.4W
ABOUT 495 MI...800 KM E OF ANTIGUA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

A Tropical Storm Watch has been issued for Puerto Rico and
the U.S Virgin Islands.

The Meteorological Service of Antigua has issued a Tropical
Storm Warning for Anguilla and a Tropical Storm Watch for the
British Virgin Islands.

The Meteorological Service of Curacao has issued a Tropical Storm
Warning for Saba and St. Eustatius.

The Meteorological Service of St. Maarten has issued a
Tropical Storm Warning for St. Maarten.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Anguilla
* Saba, St. Eustatius
* St. Maarten

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Montserrat
* Antigua and Barbuda
* St. Kitts and Nevis
* Guadeloupe, St. Martin, and St. Barthelemy
* Puerto Rico and the U.S Virgin Islands
* British Virgin Islands
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