WPAC: MUJIGAE - Tropical Depression

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Re: WPAC: MUJIGAE - Tropical Depression

#81 Postby euro6208 » Mon Oct 05, 2015 5:04 am

Pictures coming out from Guangdong. Extremely rare tornadoes cause massive damage.
7 dead so far.

Image
Image
Image
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Re: WPAC: MUJIGAE - Tropical Depression

#82 Postby euro6208 » Mon Oct 05, 2015 10:01 am

Very impressed with the preparation for this storm. Imagine a typhoon that was forecast to only make landfall only as a Cat 1 but explosively intensifies to a Cat 4?

If this had hit the U.S, that's billion of dollars in loss but this only +24 million and a very low death toll.

People here are so used to typhoons that you see them roaming and traveling during the typhoon with power majorily on. In the U.S, it's all sheer panic...

Cyclenall wrote:
euro6208 wrote:Talk about a direct hit...

Zhejiang, population 7 million, just got the eyewall...

Its the biggest news story no one is talking about.



Well it's ok. We can handle it without the hype.
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#83 Postby 1900hurricane » Mon Oct 05, 2015 6:14 pm

Western Pacific Weather reported a 131 kt windspeed (probably a gust, although it does not specify) was recorded in China as Typhoon Mujigae made landfall.

http://www.westernpacificweather.com/2015/10/04/typhoon-mujigae-slams-southern-china-strongest-storm-in-over-60-years/
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Re: WPAC: MUJIGAE - Tropical Depression

#84 Postby euro6208 » Tue Oct 06, 2015 7:08 am

Credit to JTWC for upping the intensity to a category 4 115 knots, although i think it's stronger than that...

How about JMA? only 70 knots 10 min when converted to 1 min is equal to only a Cat 1 hurricane/typhoon. Very poor decision with a rapidly intensifying typhoon with a well defined eye.
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Re: WPAC: MUJIGAE - Tropical Depression

#85 Postby euro6208 » Wed Oct 07, 2015 7:23 am

22 confirmed dead...20 of those in China who was preparing for just a Cat 1 turns out to be a Cat 4.
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Re: WPAC: MUJIGAE - Tropical Depression

#86 Postby euro6208 » Tue Oct 13, 2015 7:52 am

Mujigae is now the costliest tropical cyclone of 2015 thus far. Economic cost in China now estimated at $4.2 billion.

It's the strongest storm to strike the province of Guangdong in the month of October on record.
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Re: WPAC: MUJIGAE - Tropical Depression

#87 Postby euro6208 » Tue Oct 13, 2015 9:17 am

Found this terrifying video from Zhanjiang. Imagine preparing for just a minimal typhoon that suddenly rapidly intensifies to a Cat 4 without notice.

http://video.weibo.com/show?fid=1034%3A6fb6399e3682e992e370c19b3bfc7b74
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#88 Postby NotoSans » Wed Oct 14, 2015 2:32 pm

Lowest pressure reading from Zhanjiang was 946.7 mb (converted to SLP).
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#89 Postby NotoSans » Sun Nov 15, 2015 4:55 am

JMA adjusted Mujigae's intensity to 85kt/950mb in their best track.

AXPQ20 RJTD 120800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE BEST TRACK
NAME 1522 MUJIGAE (1522)
PERIOD FROM SEP3018UTC TO OCT0500UTC
3018 12.6N 126.4E 1008HPA //KT 0100 13.9N 125.2E 1008HPA //KT
0106 14.5N 123.8E 1006HPA //KT 0112 15.2N 122.7E 1002HPA 35KT
0118 15.8N 121.3E 998HPA 40KT 0200 16.4N 120.1E 998HPA 40KT
0206 16.5N 118.9E 996HPA 45KT 0212 16.9N 117.8E 990HPA 50KT
0218 17.7N 116.6E 985HPA 55KT 0300 18.5N 115.5E 985HPA 55KT
0306 18.9N 114.4E 985HPA 55KT 0312 19.5N 113.4E 975HPA 65KT
0318 19.7N 112.2E 965HPA 75KT 0400 20.5N 111.5E 950HPA 85KT
0406 21.3N 110.4E 950HPA 85KT 0412 21.9N 109.6E 970HPA 70KT
0418 22.6N 108.8E 990HPA 50KT 0500 23.6N 108.2E 1008HPA //KT
REMARKS
TD FORMATION AT SEP3018UTC
FROM TD TO TS AT OCT0112UTC
FROM TS TO STS AT OCT0212UTC
FROM STS TO TY AT OCT0312UTC
FROM TY TO STS AT OCT0418UTC
FROM STS TO TD AT OCT0500UTC
DISSIPATION AT OCT0506UTC=
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Re: WPAC: MUJIGAE - Tropical Depression

#90 Postby euro6208 » Mon Jul 25, 2016 8:41 am

Another severely underestimated system...
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Re: Typhoon Mujigae

#91 Postby 1900hurricane » Tue Feb 05, 2019 11:07 pm

NotoSans wrote:Lowest pressure reading from Zhanjiang was 946.7 mb (converted to SLP).

This number actually agrees very well with JTWC's 115 kt when run through KZC.

>>> 4 + 0.7272 * (240 + 150) / 2
145.804
>>> r34j = 145.804
>>> l = 21
>>> c = 14
>>> r34 = 128
>>> oci = 1009
>>> roci = 190
>>> p = 946.7
>>> KZCV(p, c, r34, l, oci)
114.49999999999775
>>> KZCV(p, c, r34j, l, oci)
113.09999999999783
>>> KZCVroci(p, c, roci, l, oci)
114.99999999999773
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