ATL: MATTHEW - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[northjaxpro]

My goodness. The full eyewall is only about 10- 15 miles off shore of Flagler Beach.

The eyewall is literally brushing the Northeast Florids coast.

56 mph gust in squalls just a moment ago.

[NDG]

Wow, we are seeing the strongest winds so far in the Orlando area, gusts close to 70 mph.

[PTPatrick]

It will be interesting to see what surge does in SC now with landfall projected in Charleston. I am no expert on that area, but I am familiar with what happens when A storm comes at the right angle to pile water against the coast prior to hitting with the full surge, having lived thru Katrina and Georges. We all know Katrina, but George was a large surge in Jackson and mobile counties and it was a cat 2. It really piled water into the bay's and bayous. Matt was a cat 4 south SC, and they are projecting 8 ft in SC. For ref, Hugo was 8 ft and it wasn't as good an angle as this is. I actually wonder if it will surpass that, esp in bayous and inlet where it piles up. Of course if it doesn't quite fully come in with RFQ it will limit that potential.


Edit: Gov Haley just said many people are not leaving barrier islands and imploring them to get off, that they WILL be inundated. Over 100 on Daniel island

Just curious. What model shows a Charleston landfall now?

I think most models are showing a VERY close pass and nhc new path has the forecast point pretty much right on top of Charleston. Although they all appear to not cross the coast fully. So it'll be very close.

[cjrciadt]

at that storm surge... Was that New Smyrna?

[Rail Dawg]

Caution:

Surge escape routes blocked by massive trees in Ormond Beach.

I'm still moving along cautiously.

[NDG]

Downtown St Augustine.

 https://twitter.com/NewsShelby/status/784403128946864128

[northjaxpro]

Daytona International Speedway is completely under water.

WJXT TV-4 shoed a picture if it just a moment ago
Itwas an unbelievable picture. Trying to locate it.

[cjrciadt]

Daytona International Speedway is compltely under water.

[dukeblue219]

It will be interesting to see what surge does in SC now with landfall projected in Charleston. I am no expert on that area, but I am familiar with what happens when A storm comes at the right angle to pile water against the coast prior to hitting with the full surge, having lived thru Katrina and Georges. We all know Katrina, but George was a large surge in Jackson and mobile counties and it was a cat 2. It really piled water into the bay's and bayous. Matt was a cat 4 south SC, and they are projecting 8 ft in SC. For ref, Hugo was 8 ft and it wasn't as good an angle as this is. I actually wonder if it will surpass that, esp in bayous and inlet where it piles up. Of course if it doesn't quite fully come in with RFQ it will limit that potential.


Edit: Gov Haley just said many people are not leaving barrier islands and imploring them to get off, that they WILL be inundated. Over 100 on Daniel island

Just curious. What model shows a Charleston landfall now?

Pretty much all of them have either a direct Charleston landfall or so close that it's probably worth evacuating if you're those people on the barrier islands. Euro, GFS, GFDL, HWRF are the ones I was looking at. Charleston won't get a cat4 of course -- but they may get a pretty good pop from the NE quadrant of a Cat1/2.

[dizzyfish]

Caution:

Surge escape routes blocked by massive trees in Ormond Beach.

I'm still moving along cautiously.

Please be careful!

[JaxGator]

Just got a power surge a few minutes ago but luckly still have power (but it's only a matter of time I'm afraid).

[chances14]

Daytona International Speedway is compltely under water.

 https://twitter.com/JimCantore/status/784415793010372608

[galaxy401]

Daytona International Speedway is compltely under water.

 https://twitter.com/JimCantore/status/784415793010372608

People on Twitter replying that it's an old picture.

[bqknight]

Wow, we are seeing the strongest winds so far in the Orlando area, gusts close to 70 mph.

Where did you see this? I saw 61 at the airport. This morning has been the worst it's been for Orlando. Strange that it wasn't when it was closest.

[Sanibel]

Latest NHC track scrapes Charleston with west eyewall as a category 1.

[funster]

The speedway flooding is from a 2009 flood. http://autoweek.com/article/nascar/heav ... a-speedway

[dukeblue219]

Daytona International Speedway is compltely under water.

 https://twitter.com/JimCantore/status/784415793010372608

People on Twitter replying that it's an old picture.

If you do a google image search for Daytona under water, the same image comes up from articles in 2009. Cantore should drop it from his Twitter.

[artist]

Significant damage being reported in Daytona Beach and New Smyrna Beach.

Where are you seeing this? I have been trying to look and haven't found anything. Very worried about family and friends in Volusia and Flagler counties.

Thank you

http://m.wesh.com/video/nowcast/25819262

[JtSmarts]

Latest NHC track scrapes Charleston with west eyewall as a category 1.

Very concerning trends for the GA and SC coast. Some of these areas, especially between South of Charleston and Brunswick have never seen a real tropical storm in modern times.

[Stangfriik]

Since the winds have shifted coming from northwest, we were looking out our back bathroom window. As we were watching, a huge gust came and whoosh the shed comes flying up