ATL: HERMINE - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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Boriken
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Discussion

#1041 Postby Boriken » Tue Aug 23, 2016 11:37 pm

Aric Dunn wrote:pretty clear to see the still weak circ and its motion. but at least its something to follow.

Well according to previous post you are looking at the mid level circulation. The low level is at Guadalupe. Just my opinion. Thanks all for keeping us informed.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Discussion

#1042 Postby AutoPenalti » Tue Aug 23, 2016 11:40 pm

Boriken wrote:
Aric Dunn wrote:pretty clear to see the still weak circ and its motion. but at least its something to follow.

Well according to previous post you are looking at the mid level circulation. The low level is at Guadalupe. Just my opinion. Thanks all for keeping us informed.

MLC is trying to stack above the LLC.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Discussion

#1043 Postby Aric Dunn » Tue Aug 23, 2016 11:46 pm

AutoPenalti wrote:
Boriken wrote:
Aric Dunn wrote:pretty clear to see the still weak circ and its motion. but at least its something to follow.

Well according to previous post you are looking at the mid level circulation. The low level is at Guadalupe. Just my opinion. Thanks all for keeping us informed.

MLC is trying to stack above the LLC.


like I mentioned in a couple previous posts its close enough to the radar to not be only in the mid levels :) and given the recent wnw wind on the island.. its pretty straight forward... though still weak but established.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Discussion

#1044 Postby AutoPenalti » Tue Aug 23, 2016 11:53 pm

Aric, do you have a link to the Guadeloupe radar?
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Discussion

#1045 Postby Aric Dunn » Wed Aug 24, 2016 12:00 am

AutoPenalti wrote:Aric, do you have a link to the Guadeloupe radar?


http://flhurricane.com/imageanimator.php?214
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Discussion

#1046 Postby SFLcane » Wed Aug 24, 2016 12:03 am

Something tells me the shredder is about to be introduced with new relocation to the south. Also significant shift south in the models could be forthcoming .
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Discussion

#1047 Postby Joe Snow » Wed Aug 24, 2016 12:04 am

Image

Current PR RADAR
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Discussion

#1048 Postby AutoPenalti » Wed Aug 24, 2016 12:12 am

Nope. LLC is north from the shredder.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Discussion

#1049 Postby CourierPR » Wed Aug 24, 2016 12:22 am

It sure looks to these untrained eyes like 99L is at least at TD status now.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Discussion

#1050 Postby hurricanetrack » Wed Aug 24, 2016 12:24 am

Wow, the TWO is out now. Still 70% longer term. 50% for 48h. Stewart on board tonight - got it in early LOL.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Discussion

#1051 Postby AutoPenalti » Wed Aug 24, 2016 12:29 am

Wow, he lowered the chances. Maybe he is siding with the GFS. Z
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Discussion

#1052 Postby Bocadude85 » Wed Aug 24, 2016 12:32 am

AutoPenalti wrote:Wow, he lowered the chances. Maybe he is siding with the GFS. Z


They didn't lower the chances..it's the exact same as the 8pm outlook
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Discussion

#1053 Postby Siker » Wed Aug 24, 2016 12:33 am

AutoPenalti wrote:Wow, he lowered the chances. Maybe he is siding with the GFS. Z


Chances are the same as at 8pm.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Discussion

#1054 Postby AutoPenalti » Wed Aug 24, 2016 12:34 am

Bocadude85 wrote:
AutoPenalti wrote:Wow, he lowered the chances. Maybe he is siding with the GFS. Z


They didn't lower the chances..it's the exact same as the 8pm outlook

Yeah, I noticed that too late lol. But he said "marginally conducive" which is strange since it's getting its act together.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Discussion

#1055 Postby chaser1 » Wed Aug 24, 2016 12:36 am

hurricanetrack wrote:Wow, the TWO is out now. Still 70% longer term. 50% for 48h. Stewart on board tonight - got it in early LOL.


Possibly written at 4:00pm today lol??
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Discussion

#1056 Postby Bocadude85 » Wed Aug 24, 2016 12:40 am

chaser1 wrote:
hurricanetrack wrote:Wow, the TWO is out now. Still 70% longer term. 50% for 48h. Stewart on board tonight - got it in early LOL.


Possibly written at 4:00pm today lol??


Yea pretty much a copy and paste
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Discussion

#1057 Postby La Breeze » Wed Aug 24, 2016 12:41 am

Kingarabian wrote:Those responses were not too assuring lol. This seems to have a lot of potential to be a disaster... I'm betting most of the new folks residing in the gulf states are just as lax...

Not here in Louisiana!
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Discussion

#1058 Postby Hurrilurker » Wed Aug 24, 2016 12:41 am

It seems insane this isn't already a TD by the satellite presentation. I've seen TSs not look that good.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Discussion

#1059 Postby AutoPenalti » Wed Aug 24, 2016 12:44 am

Yep, this is a TD.

Image
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Discussion

#1060 Postby La Breeze » Wed Aug 24, 2016 12:45 am

Remember, as we all know too well, it doesn't have to have a name for it to be extremely destructive, devastating, and deadly. Louisiana Strong!
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