ATL: HERMINE - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Discussion

#1061 Postby Aric Dunn » Wed Aug 24, 2016 12:48 am

very close to radar and very easy to see..

Image
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Discussion

#1062 Postby AutoPenalti » Wed Aug 24, 2016 12:49 am

Moving NW? Or is it just me?
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Discussion

#1063 Postby Hammy » Wed Aug 24, 2016 12:55 am

Image

Any low center is west of the convection based on surface obs. Still not completely closed at the surface yet.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Discussion

#1064 Postby Aric Dunn » Wed Aug 24, 2016 12:56 am

AutoPenalti wrote:
Aric Dunn wrote:very close to radar and very easy to see..

[img]https://s15.postimg.io/zf9b8yz5l/Hermine_Carib_Radar_082420160131.png[/ig]

Moving NW? Or is it just me?


yeppers.. wnw to nw
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Discussion

#1065 Postby Hammy » Wed Aug 24, 2016 12:58 am

Euro looks like it's initialized too far north.

edit: needs moved to models discussion...
Last edited by Hammy on Wed Aug 24, 2016 1:06 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Discussion

#1066 Postby Aric Dunn » Wed Aug 24, 2016 12:59 am

Hammy wrote:[img]http://i.imgur.com/BspqHua.gif[/ig]

Any low center is west of the convection based on surface obs. Still not completely closed at the surface yet.


its almost 100 percent closed. the obs on Guadeloupe are notorious for being obscured due to the mountains. not much help here. follow radar.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Discussion

#1067 Postby Socalhurcnegirl227 » Wed Aug 24, 2016 1:05 am

Aric Dunn wrote:
Hammy wrote:[img]http://i.imgur.com/BspqHua.gif[/ig]

Any low center is west of the convection based on surface obs. Still not completely closed at the surface yet.


its almost 100 percent closed. the obs on Guadeloupe are notorious for being obscured due to the mountains. not much help here. follow radar.

didnt this happen with 97?
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Discussion

#1068 Postby chaser1 » Wed Aug 24, 2016 1:17 am

ugggghh; too many hours staring at this screen and heaven knows this system is gonna be around and of key interest for days. Just - need - to - wait - for - one - more - satellite pic.....
snnnnzzzzzzzzz
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Discussion

#1069 Postby Socalhurcnegirl227 » Wed Aug 24, 2016 1:24 am

chaser1 wrote:ugggghh; too many hours staring at this screen and heaven knows this system is gonna be around and of key interest for days. Just - need - to - wait - for - one - more - satellite pic.....
snnnnzzzzzzzzz


lol like gambling its always the next round that will be the winner, if i just crank one more time ill be rich! if i just wait for one more run that will be the winner
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Discussion

#1070 Postby Medtronic15 » Wed Aug 24, 2016 1:26 am

Image

Scary image near Guadalupe
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Discussion

#1071 Postby Aric Dunn » Wed Aug 24, 2016 1:27 am

hope everyone is watching radar.. llc and very deep convection re developing just nne of the Guadalupe pretty fun to watch. my favorite part of the tropics..

http://flhurricane.com/imageanimator.php?214
Last edited by Aric Dunn on Wed Aug 24, 2016 1:29 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Discussion

#1072 Postby Socalhurcnegirl227 » Wed Aug 24, 2016 1:28 am

wtf? is that right now?
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Discussion

#1073 Postby Medtronic15 » Wed Aug 24, 2016 1:30 am

Socalhurcnegirl227 wrote:
Medtronic15 wrote:https://pbs.twimg.com/media/Cqmm_iiVMAAUq0r?format=jpg&name=large

Scary image near Guadalupe


wtf? is that right now?

Yes!

Image
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Discussion

#1074 Postby chaser1 » Wed Aug 24, 2016 1:34 am

Socalhurcnegirl227 wrote:
chaser1 wrote:ugggghh; too many hours staring at this screen and heaven knows this system is gonna be around and of key interest for days. Just - need - to - wait - for - one - more - satellite pic.....
snnnnzzzzzzzzz


lol like gambling its always the next round that will be the winner, if i just crank one more time ill be rich! if i just wait for one more run that will be the winner


Exactly! :cheesy: :lol: :cheesy:
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Discussion

#1075 Postby AutoPenalti » Wed Aug 24, 2016 1:34 am

Umm, this is going to rapidly intensify, but at the same time it looks like it's still going due west, straight into PR.
Last edited by AutoPenalti on Wed Aug 24, 2016 1:37 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Discussion

#1076 Postby Socalhurcnegirl227 » Wed Aug 24, 2016 1:37 am

AutoPenalti wrote:Umm, this is going to rapidly intensify.

yeah, and looking like the HWRF's insane model runs from last night and tonight might actually verify. like they say "truth is always stranger than fiction" never discount the wacky over bullish models
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Discussion

#1077 Postby Socalhurcnegirl227 » Wed Aug 24, 2016 1:38 am

that imagery looks better than some cat 1 storms.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Discussion

#1078 Postby TeamPlayersBlue » Wed Aug 24, 2016 1:38 am

Man that thing blew up.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Discussion

#1079 Postby Aric Dunn » Wed Aug 24, 2016 1:38 am

really hope everyone is paying attention to radar.. this is what it looks like when something develops. what recon sees when we cant..
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Discussion

#1080 Postby Blinhart » Wed Aug 24, 2016 1:44 am

I hope recon is scheduled to go out this morning. I think they will find a strong TS Hermine when they get there.
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