ATL: MATTHEW - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[FixySLN]

I can't even. I give up. Matthew is going to do what Matthew wants and to hell with precedence and a traditional knowledge of system movement. Weather is too damned scary. I'm going to start collecting coins or stamps.

[Raebie]

Seeing pics start to come in from #hiltonheadisland. Looks bad.

[OhioGal]

St. Augustine and the beaches got hit bad and hard from Matthew but thank goodness the hurricane stayed off shore due to the east jog he took Thursday night. That saved Jacksonville and Northeast Florida (and prevented more destruction). My house is ok. There's debri everywhere consisting of mainly of branches and there was a huge oak tree that fell onto the south lane of my neighborhood road. My Grandparent's house on Vilano is also ok so far but the road is flooded from the storm surge and rainfall. We also lost power briefly but we got it back quickly and had many power surges. Now the clean up begins.

JaxGator, glad you are ok! You wouldn't happen to know if there is any major damage or flooding in the Orange Park area specifically near Doctor's Lake Rd. would you?

[JaxGator]

St. Augustine and the beaches got hit bad and hard from Matthew but thank goodness the hurricane stayed off shore due to the east jog he took Thursday night. That saved Jacksonville and Northeast Florida (and prevented more destruction). My house is ok. There's debri everywhere consisting of mainly of branches and there was a huge oak tree that fell onto the south lane of my neighborhood road. My Grandparent's house on Vilano is also ok so far but the road is flooded from the storm surge and rainfall. We also lost power briefly but we got it back quickly and had many power surges. Now the clean up begins.

JaxGator, glad you are ok! You wouldn't happen to know if there is any major damage or flooding in the Orange Park area specifically near Doctor's Lake Rd. would you?

Thank you OhioGal. I don't know the current status but there was flooding there yesterday from the storm surge. If something comes up, I'll let you know if you like.

[OhioGal]

St. Augustine and the beaches got hit bad and hard from Matthew but thank goodness the hurricane stayed off shore due to the east jog he took Thursday night. That saved Jacksonville and Northeast Florida (and prevented more destruction). My house is ok. There's debri everywhere consisting of mainly of branches and there was a huge oak tree that fell onto the south lane of my neighborhood road. My Grandparent's house on Vilano is also ok so far but the road is flooded from the storm surge and rainfall. We also lost power briefly but we got it back quickly and had many power surges. Now the clean up begins.

JaxGator, glad you are ok! You wouldn't happen to know if there is any major damage or flooding in the Orange Park area specifically near Doctor's Lake Rd. would you?

Thank you OhioGal. I don't know the current status but there was flooding there yesterday from the storm surge. If something comes up, I'll let you know if you like.

It would be much appreciated! Thanks!

[JaxGator]

There's also a house in my neighborhood that had a oak fall onto their house. Don't know there status but I hope they're ok.

[GCANE]

 https://twitter.com/NWStornado/status/784774754494455809

[GCANE]

 https://twitter.com/traviscrice/status/784762134202834944



 https://twitter.com/traviscrice/status/784757980000579585

[Raebie]

Damn. South Beach must be destroyed.

[DESTRUCTION5]

Bottom line..Still No Major Hurricane strike in US since 2005. Matt will be sent into retirement no doubt though.

[abajan]

Pretty sure the maximum sustained winds will be down to tropical storm force by the 11 AM advisory ...

Oops!
This thing continues to perplex.

[GCANE]

 https://twitter.com/NWStornado/status/784781430844977152

[NFLnut]

Keep in mind a lot of posters are from Florida, some of those don't have power and still others are cleaning up.

That too. I think there are ~500,000 Floridians (i may be grossly underestimating too) that are without power and that would certainly include some Storm2K members. This is actually the first major storm in over 20 years that I haven't lost power (sometimes for up to 4 days) as I am only 50 miles from the coast. And some have power, but no internet.

I believe 1.3 million customers are without power, although that number may include some restored.

Yeah. I knew I was probably WAY off, but I turned off most of the news once the last feeder band moved out. Time to move on and pay attention to stuff that I haven't in almost a week, clean up the leaves, limbs, and debris around the house, check my roof after a couple of branches dropped on it AND get some sleep. All I really knew is that my mom has been without power since yesterday at 06:48.

[LAwxrgal]

I have been in lurk mode for the past few days...

Matthew has certainly been a perplexing storm to say the very least. Never made landfall on the Florida coast, hugged it, but certainly seems to have caused a lot of issues there.

Major inland flooding event unfolding in SC where the storm actually did seem to make landfall. And of course the catastrophe unfolding in Haiti where the storm hit as a strong Cat 4, he will certainly be retired.

Lots we still have to learn about hurricanes, guess that's why we're all here, right?

[rickybobby]

My house is fine but a lot of hotels in Daytona have damaged.

[wxman57]

Pretty sure the maximum sustained winds will be down to tropical storm force by the 11 AM advisory ...

Oops!
This thing continues to perplex.

I'm not seeing any evidence that Matthew is still a hurricane. It's appearance is deteriorating rapidly now. There may not be much left of it by Monday as it merges with the front that is racing toward the east coast. I would think that the NHC will downgrade it with the next public advisory.

[PTrackerLA]

So Matthew manages to score the touchdown after all, in SC. What an interesting and frustrating storm to track. Stay safe all in the Carolinas, inland flooding looks like it will be very severe.

[NC George]

It's been my observation (strictly amateur) that a hurricane approaching land at a shallow angle (less than 30 degrees) tends to want to stay just offshore until it is forced onto land by a cape. In other words the eye tends to roll along the coastline. This is why Wilmington, Morehead City and Cape Hatteras in NC get hit with frequency, they are the capes that break the shallow angle and force the storm on shore. Luckily for Florida, the coast angles away as you go north making this more likely. Thus my prediction would be Cape Canaveral takes the direct hit if anywhere.

I quote myself from Wednesday. Looks like I got this one essentially right, except it was Cape Romain that got the technical landfall. I'm on the eastern edge of the rainshield at my location, still getting bands and not the steady downpour I'm expecting for 12 hours to come. Pressure is 1004, down 10 mb in about the past 12 hours. Storm total for rainfall at the nearby USGS rain gauge is 1.6" so far since yesterday.

[GCANE]

Strongest Band right now. Multiple strong Mesovorticies and high rain-rate cells.

[Vdogg]

Info for Hampton Roads and Outer Banks.

https://www.facebook.com/JeffLawsonWvec ... 47477938:0

"
****VERY IMPORTANT MATTHEW UPDATE****
Matthew is weakening rapidly and just 1 mph from being a Tropical Storm. That is good news for coastal areas of the Carolinas, but bad news for us despite the fact that storm will miss us as planned by many hundreds of miles to our south.
The problem is that it is already transitioning to a hybrid storm that is half nor'easter. There are numerous technical differences between a Hurricane and a Nor'easter, but in this case the most important for us is the pattern of the strongest winds. In a hurricane the strongest winds are all located near the eye. In a hybrid storm (or nor'easter) the strongest winds spread out well away from the center on the northern side of the storm.
For us that means winds a bit stronger than we originally said are very possible, and the heaviest rains may now get pulled even farther north along the cold front that is slowly absorbing the storm.
Normally this would not mean more than a nasty and windy nor'easter type weekend for us, but given the huge amounts of rain lately, even more rain could cause flooding, and the extremely wet soil could cause trees to come down that normally would not."