ATL: HERMINE - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[Hurrilurker]

Would be crazy if it jumped from nothing to a Cat 1 by the morning update. I mean maybe it's not as well organized/stacked as it looks on IR but the chances of it not developing into something seem remote at this point. Convection is bombing and consolidating and you can see the rotation on Guadalupe radar. I also don't see a lot of that dry air to the west getting pulled in.

[Socalhurcnegirl227]

the morning update should be interesting, wondering if this storm did infact just escalate to near Cat 1 strength. Didnt danny or one of the storms last year do this?

[Socalhurcnegirl227]

Would be crazy if it jumped from nothing to a Cat 1 by the morning update. I mean maybe it's not as well organized/stacked as it looks on IR but the chances of it not developing into something seem remote at this point. Convection is bombing and consolidating and you can see the rotation on Guadalupe radar. I also don't see a lot of that dry air to the west getting pulled in.

like the drake song goes "0 to 100 real quick!" lol

[Medtronic15]

TD, TS or Hurricane?

[CaliforniaResident]

Looks very similar to the path of Katrina, hitting South FL as a cat 1 and then blossoming into a MH in the Gulf and making a beeline for New Orleans. Scary times ahead.

[TheStormExpert]

Looks can be deceiving.

[Blinhart]

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CqmvWWMVUAAw4al?format=jpg&name=large

TD, TS or Hurricane?

Your guess is as good as all of ours. I think it will all depend on surface obs and buoy obs. I think at least 50mph TS

[JtSmarts]

It's so fascinating to watch the genesis of these incredible storms. We're definitely not in 2015 anymore, stay safe and prepared all of you who may be in the path!

[Aric Dunn]

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CqmvWWMVUAAw4al?format=jpg&name=large

TD, TS or Hurricane?

Your guess is as good as all of ours. I think it will all depend on surface obs and buoy obs. I think at least 50mph TS

no its very straight forward and easy to see.

[ronyan]

Do we have any condition reports from those islands? May shed some light.

[Socalhurcnegirl227]

Looks very similar to the path of Katrina, hitting South FL as a cat 1 and then blossoming into a MH in the Gulf and making a beeline for New Orleans. Scary times ahead.

Many people on here have been saying this the past couple days now which is extremely unsettling. I started noticing the similarities as well. Some have gone as far to say Katrina being a good analog for this storm.

[Blinhart]

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CqmvWWMVUAAw4al?format=jpg&name=large

TD, TS or Hurricane?

Your guess is as good as all of ours. I think it will all depend on surface obs and buoy obs. I think at least 50mph TS

no its very straight forward and easy to see.

So what do you see?

[Incident_MET]

Radar from Barbados weather site shows some banding developing in radar presentation

http://www.barbadosweather.org/Composite/kidbuuComposite_displayer.php?Product=Reflectivity&Sector=EC_Bar&Composite=Sabre&PlanetOfTheApes=1472020771

[SeGaBob]

No way this doesn't get named. But then again "poof" could happen as well.

[Kingarabian]

NHC will likely wait for a new ASCAT pass, an ob from a buoy or a ship or wait for recon tomorrow. But they could have a TD by the next update.

[Aric Dunn]

Your guess is as good as all of ours. I think it will all depend on surface obs and buoy obs. I think at least 50mph TS

no its very straight forward and easy to see.

So what do you see?

amazing its happening right in front of us.. very much the most fun of the tropics.

its very clear.

[Hammy]

Banding circulation still looks mid-level. The rain outside the rain shield is still out of the south to the west of the islands, and out of the southwest to the south of Saint Kitts.

[wflamholtz]

no its very straight forward and easy to see.

So what do you see?

amazing its happening right in front of us.. very much the most fun of the tropics.

its very clear.
https://s3.postimg.io/o55i0d8o3/Hermine ... 160246.png

I actually think it's an MCV from that storm cluster

[Aric Dunn]

Banding circulation still looks mid-level. The rain outside the rain shield is still out of the south to the west of the islands, and out of the southwest to the south of Saint Kitts.

that circ is so close to the the radar.. its not mid level..

[SeGaBob]

What's happening in front of us?