ATL: HERMINE - Models
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bamajammer4eva
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
Note that few of these members develop much at all til hour 96 or so.
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
The Euro ensemble mean has trended stronger with its ridging off of the East Coast at day 10 over the past 4 runs, regardless of the ensemble members which show development lowering the mean heights in that area. The 00z EPS actually bridges 591dm heights across the entire Atlantic all the way over to Texas, with the ridge at its narrowest at 70W.
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Blown Away
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
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Hurricane Eye Experience: David 79, Irene 99, Frances 04, Jeanne 04, Wilma 05... EYE COMING MY WAY IN 2024…
Hurricane Brush Experience: Andrew 92, Erin 95, Floyd 99, Matthew 16, Irma 17, Ian 22, Nicole 22…
Hurricane Brush Experience: Andrew 92, Erin 95, Floyd 99, Matthew 16, Irma 17, Ian 22, Nicole 22…
Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
12Z GFS: like the 6Z GFS, it is doing little with 99L as it makes it to 50W at hour 90. Let's see if it develops it between hours 96 and 144, which I expect it will do on its approach to the LA's.
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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TheStormExpert
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Bocadude85
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
TheStormExpert wrote:12z GFS a little less bullish through 114hrs.
Yes a tad weaker and a bit faster so far also. 132 hours weaker and further west.
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TheStormExpert
Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
Looks to be headed in the general direction of Hispaniola @ 150hrs.
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tarheelprogrammer
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
TheStormExpert wrote:Looks to be headed in the general direction of Hispaniola @ 150hrs.
Trending toward ECMWF.
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PTrackerLA
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
12z out to 156 hrs further south and west looks to miss PR to the left.
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stormlover2013
Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
Main thing what does the ridge look like??? That's the question
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Bocadude85
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
tarheelprogrammer wrote:TheStormExpert wrote:Looks to be headed in the general direction of Hispaniola @ 150hrs.
Trending toward ECMWF.
Yes in regards to track, but GFS is still developing this system.
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SeGaBob
Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
tarheelprogrammer wrote:TheStormExpert wrote:Looks to be headed in the general direction of Hispaniola @ 150hrs.
Trending toward ECMWF.
I wouldn't say that yet.
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tarheelprogrammer
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
Bocadude85 wrote:tarheelprogrammer wrote:TheStormExpert wrote:Looks to be headed in the general direction of Hispaniola @ 150hrs.
Trending toward ECMWF.
Yes in regards to track, but GFS is still developing this system.
Yes, but it is also weaker this run that is probably why it is further west now. Correct? I am no MET so could somebody explain it?
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TheStormExpert
Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
stormlover2013 wrote:Main thing what does the ridge look like??? That's the question
Here are the 500mb heights for 156hrs.
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PTrackerLA
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TheStormExpert
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TheStormExpert
Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
Strengthens rapidly to hurricane status in the Mona Passage prior to going over the Eastern tip of Hispaniola.
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tarheelprogrammer
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
Going right into the TC shredder. Let us see if it is destroyed.
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My posts are not official forecasts. They are just my opinion and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
I'd be surprised if this run doesn't hit the Conus.
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Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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