ATL: MATTHEW - Models

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FLpanhandle91
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Models

#1581 Postby FLpanhandle91 » Tue Sep 27, 2016 11:02 pm

Hour 90 seems to be the point we're looking for the northern turn in the 18z run. Through 90 on 00z the turn north at hour 90 is looking much more gradual, WNW to NW.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Models

#1582 Postby WeatherEmperor » Tue Sep 27, 2016 11:03 pm

Tiny bit further SW than before

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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Models

#1583 Postby Hamanard » Tue Sep 27, 2016 11:05 pm

Ridge seems stronger as well @ 102hrs compared to 18z.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Models

#1584 Postby Steve H. » Tue Sep 27, 2016 11:05 pm

Still Many days (week) out for CONUS, depending on forward speed. Not a TS yet.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Models

#1585 Postby Hurricaneman » Tue Sep 27, 2016 11:05 pm

once again the GFS inches west
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Models

#1586 Postby WeatherEmperor » Tue Sep 27, 2016 11:06 pm

Starting N turn at 102hrs. Sigh...was really hoping this disagreement would end here


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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Models

#1587 Postby WeatherEmperor » Tue Sep 27, 2016 11:08 pm

More west at 108hrs...


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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Models

#1588 Postby Alyono » Tue Sep 27, 2016 11:08 pm

looks like about 50 miles SW at 102 hours
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Models

#1589 Postby Bocadude85 » Tue Sep 27, 2016 11:08 pm

This is not moving due north this run. It's NNW to NW
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Models

#1590 Postby HurricaneEric » Tue Sep 27, 2016 11:09 pm

Bit of a NW jog (possibly towards Jamaica?) at hr 108

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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Models

#1591 Postby FLpanhandle91 » Tue Sep 27, 2016 11:09 pm

WeatherEmperor wrote:Starting N turn at 102hrs. Sigh...was really hoping this disagreement would end here


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I still feel it is an obvious turn at 90 hours, although the 00z run seemed to carry it faster before the turn, hence the further west track.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Models

#1592 Postby Miami Storm Tracker » Tue Sep 27, 2016 11:10 pm

I can't see the chart, but if I understood you right. It was a bit west and the turn not as hard, so maybe it is slowly coming around to the Euro.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Models

#1593 Postby WeatherEmperor » Tue Sep 27, 2016 11:11 pm

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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Models

#1594 Postby WeatherEmperor » Tue Sep 27, 2016 11:12 pm

Are you guys able to see the images I am posting? Im using Tapatalk tonight.


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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Models

#1595 Postby HurricaneEric » Tue Sep 27, 2016 11:12 pm

Going straight north at hours 114 and 120 pretty much at 75W
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Models

#1596 Postby FLpanhandle91 » Tue Sep 27, 2016 11:12 pm

WeatherEmperor wrote:Are you guys able to see the images I am posting? Im using Tapatalk tonight.


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I can see them just fine.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Models

#1597 Postby Miami Storm Tracker » Tue Sep 27, 2016 11:13 pm

Yes I can see them thank you so much.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Models

#1598 Postby HurricaneEric » Tue Sep 27, 2016 11:13 pm

WeatherEmperor wrote:Are you guys able to see the images I am posting? Im using Tapatalk tonight.


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What images?









Jk, you're good :D
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Models

#1599 Postby SouthFLTropics » Tue Sep 27, 2016 11:13 pm

Look at the position of the low out in the Atlantic ENE of 97L at 126 hours. Big shift in that which could have major implications on track.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Models

#1600 Postby Bocadude85 » Tue Sep 27, 2016 11:13 pm

The 0Z run at 126 hours looks to miss Haiti to the west. First time in awhile the GFS has shown this passing west of Haiti.
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