ATL: HERMINE - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[DESTRUCTION5]

The same upper low that may kill Gaston may be what allows this to intensify

It is proping up the upper ridge. The band of shear is already lifting to the north. If this upper ridge props up, it will blow the MU forecast to shreds.

Yes, there could be an upper low, but it could be split to the SW of the system, a very dangerous place for it to be

Sorry but what is the "MU"? I've been on this forum for 11 years and haven't seen that.

GFS...MU initials of creator. isn't a fan. Lol

[hurricanehunter69]

After two days of being badly stretched out and elongated, It's starting to look much better to me. Check out that inflow tail wrapping around from the southwest! I'm interested in seeing if it successfully completes this process and develops another vigorous cyclonic envelop over the Bahamas? http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/m ... /main.html

[Blown Away]

Levi said in his Tropical Tidbits update video 99L needed to build storms around the LLC... That is now happening...
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floater ... -long.html
http://www.tropicaltidbits.com

[Evil Jeremy]

Several sustained convective bursts over the past two hours. If they hold, good start to D-MAX.

[jlauderdal]

The same upper low that may kill Gaston may be what allows this to intensify

It is proping up the upper ridge. The band of shear is already lifting to the north. If this upper ridge props up, it will blow the MU forecast to shreds.

Yes, there could be an upper low, but it could be split to the SW of the system, a very dangerous place for it to be

Sorry but what is the "MU"? I've been on this forum for 11 years and haven't seen that.

Model Uccellini


Uccellini is the director of nws..model was overhauled a few years ago at great expense and it isnt any better and might be worse than before

[SFLcane]

https://www.facebook.com/johnmoralesnbc ... 11820680:0

[SeGaBob]

finally starting to see the low level inflow from the sw .. shows up nicely on radar in the mona passage. you can see it finally bending in towards the llc. .. the weak rotation near HR is of course dead now over the mountains. convection should be coming in the next few hours.

Another "late night TS?"

[GeneratorPower]

Levi said in his Tropical Tidbits update video 99L needed to build storms around the LLC... That is now happening...
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floater ... -long.html
http://www.tropicaltidbits.com

Looks like the system has slowed down, too, and the clouds at the edges of the circulation aren't being whisked away by strong winds any more. Hard to tell from IR but I think it's slowed down for sure.

[deltadog03]

New and updated call map...I still have some thoughts this could be a big time player in our weather across the US.
https://www.facebook.com/ChriswxmanSimmons/

[blp]

The same upper low that may kill Gaston may be what allows this to intensify

It is proping up the upper ridge. The band of shear is already lifting to the north. If this upper ridge props up, it will blow the MU forecast to shreds.

Yes, there could be an upper low, but it could be split to the SW of the system, a very dangerous place for it to be

Great post I have been looking at that. CIMMS if you back out the hrs you can see exactly that happening the ULL north is weakining and splitting off with energy to the SW very possibly dangerous evolution going on.

http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/w ... oom=&time=

[AutoPenalti]

DMAX is going to really help it this time.

[GeneratorPower]

New and updated call map...I still have some thoughts this could be a big time player in our weather across the US.
https://www.facebook.com/ChriswxmanSimmons/

Thanks for sharing this. So helpful to have another perspective.

[Tropics Guy]

Some T-Storms blowing up on the E & SE side of the LLC, may be the beginning of new overnight convection......
TG

[tolakram]

Nothing over the NE LLC yet.

http://weather.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/get-goes?satellite=GOES-E%20CONUS&lat=21&lon=-64&info=ir&zoom=1&width=1000&height=800&quality=90&type=Animation&palette=ir1.pal&numframes=20&mapcolor=black

[cycloneye]

00z Best Track: Here is the primary low.

AL, 99, 2016082500, , BEST, 0, 200N, 670W, 40, 1009, DB

[SFLcane]

New and updated call map...I still have some thoughts this could be a big time player in our weather across the US.
https://www.facebook.com/ChriswxmanSimmons/

Calling for a hurricane in SFL once again you have been fixed on that for a while now. Thx for call map.

[hurricanetrack]

Hey, where did 99L go on the map? Not on the list either. Did they kill it LOL?

http://www.ral.ucar.edu/guidance/realtime/current/

[GeneratorPower]

Hey, where did 99L go on the map? Not on the list either. Did they kill it LOL?

http://www.ral.ucar.edu/guidance/realtime/current/

Showing up for me using iOS

[LSU2001]

Right there on the map labeled DB with an X north of PR
TIm

[JPmia]

The same upper low that may kill Gaston may be what allows this to intensify

It is proping up the upper ridge. The band of shear is already lifting to the north. If this upper ridge props up, it will blow the MU forecast to shreds.

Yes, there could be an upper low, but it could be split to the SW of the system, a very dangerous place for it to be

Great post I have been looking at that. CIMMS if you back out the hrs you can see exactly that happening the ULL north is weakining and splitting off with energy to the SW very possibly dangerous evolution going on.

http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/w ... oom=&time=

blp, when will we know this happens? Seems like you guys are keying in on something important that I've never heard of before.