
ATL: MATTHEW - Models
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Models
Only 2/20 00z GFS ensembles show a complete recurve, the other 18 members impact the U.S. Below is an animated image of the other 18 members:


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- DESTRUCTION5
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Models

114 poleward towards E Cuba
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Models

144hr raking central Bahama chain with due North heading.
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- p1nheadlarry
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Models
stormhunter7 wrote:926mb at 240 hrs on EURO over western Bahamas.. ridge building to the north....
With the trough west and the high east, is this a good setup for strengthening, outflow channels appearing and our balmy ssts?
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Models
Offshore SC at 180 hours heading N. Outer banks should be in the direct path.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Models

192 hr. Landfall ..way faster than euro
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Models
these models show right on top of me here in North Carolina, I know its a long time out but we have a tree to cut down Saturday just in case. Please keep us informed here in NC, I know so many focus on Florida and thats understandable but up here we need to know you thoughts too. Thank you
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Models
sandy18 wrote:these models show right on top of me here in North Carolina, I know its a long time out but we have a tree to cut down Saturday just in case. Please keep us informed here in NC, I know so many focus on Florida and thats understandable but up here we need to know you thoughts too. Thank you
Ohh for sure. I just stopped at 200hrs cause the GFS is a fictional character pretty much after 150hrs.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Models
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Models
The ECM takes 3 days to move from JAM to SE Bahamas = does that seem realistic?
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Models
6Z GFS, 0 - 192

0Z Euro, 0 - 192


0Z Euro, 0 - 192

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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Models
obviously the GFS and Euro are LIGHT YEARS apart. One is WAY out to lunch.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Models
One thing I keep thinking,,,,the NAVGEM and CMC have been consistent on taking this through the Bahamas just east of Florida. Since when have these two normally unreliable models been correct so far out especially with such a complex setup?
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Models
6Z GEFS


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