ATL: HERMINE - Models

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gatorcane
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#201 Postby gatorcane » Fri Aug 19, 2016 11:47 am

Door open for a turn to the north:

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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#202 Postby tolakram » Fri Aug 19, 2016 11:47 am

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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#203 Postby TheStormExpert » Fri Aug 19, 2016 11:47 am

No doubt this will strike Florida this run as a major hurricane.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#204 Postby Siker » Fri Aug 19, 2016 11:48 am

Panhandle bound at 288.

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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#205 Postby Kingarabian » Fri Aug 19, 2016 11:48 am

Right into the GOM.

Makes me reminisce the NHC's "Katrina enters the GOM..."(different storms etc I know)
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#206 Postby gatorcane » Fri Aug 19, 2016 11:48 am

Wow 957MB! :eek: Yikes, hopefully this GFS is wrong as it is long-range.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#207 Postby tolakram » Fri Aug 19, 2016 11:49 am

So we should remember, while the odds of this happening are pretty darn slim the GFS is sniffing out more favorable conditions for disturbances nearing the US.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#208 Postby tarheelprogrammer » Fri Aug 19, 2016 11:50 am

Oh NO! Glad it is far out.

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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#209 Postby tolakram » Fri Aug 19, 2016 11:50 am

... and, ironically, remnants appear to move right over Cincinnati. Come on GFS, I guess if you're going to make up a monster you might as well go all in.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#210 Postby TheStormExpert » Fri Aug 19, 2016 11:50 am

Landfall near Destin, FL just beyond 288hrs.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#211 Postby WeatherEmperor » Fri Aug 19, 2016 11:50 am

tolakram wrote:So we should remember, while the odds of this happening are pretty darn slim the GFS is sniffing out more favorable conditions for disturbances nearing the US.


+1 on this. Boy I cannot wait for today's Euro...
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#212 Postby PTrackerLA » Fri Aug 19, 2016 11:51 am

And now we wait for the Euro. If it jumps on board with development it's going to be a longgg upcoming week or so.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#213 Postby Kingarabian » Fri Aug 19, 2016 11:51 am

Let's see if Mr. Euro comes in line with the GFS. Good time to take a break!
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#214 Postby cycloneye » Fri Aug 19, 2016 11:52 am

The thing that I see not too credible on this 12z run is despite moving thru tall mountains of Hispanola and hugging the Cuban coast,it still mantains as a strong TS/Cat 1.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#215 Postby TheStormExpert » Fri Aug 19, 2016 11:53 am

Starting to wonder if the GFS might actually be caving towards the previous Euro runs. First track then intensity wise later runs.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#216 Postby stormlover2013 » Fri Aug 19, 2016 11:53 am

Ridge looks stronger!!! Not good
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#217 Postby JaxGator » Fri Aug 19, 2016 11:55 am

Wow, that's a interesting run. :eek: Thankfully more to go.
Last edited by JaxGator on Fri Aug 19, 2016 11:56 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#218 Postby cycloneye » Fri Aug 19, 2016 11:56 am

TheStormExpert wrote:Starting to wonder if the GFS might actually be caving towards the previous Euro runs. First track then intensity wise later runs.


Do you have that Euro run as archieve that had what you said?
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TheStormExpert

Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#219 Postby TheStormExpert » Fri Aug 19, 2016 11:56 am

10 days out and it will change but there would be a strong anti-cyclone overhead.

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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#220 Postby TheStormExpert » Fri Aug 19, 2016 11:58 am

cycloneye wrote:
TheStormExpert wrote:Starting to wonder if the GFS might actually be caving towards the previous Euro runs. First track then intensity wise later runs.


Do you have that Euro run as archieve that had what you said?

Just looking off the previous few runs on Tropical Tidbits.
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