ATL: MATTHEW - Models

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Blown Away
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#2481 Postby Blown Away » Thu Sep 29, 2016 1:14 pm

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12z Euro... 96 Hours... Cat 2, Pressure Dropping... Moving NNW...
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#2482 Postby p1nheadlarry » Thu Sep 29, 2016 1:17 pm

meriland23 wrote:My curiousity is what is driving some of the models east and out to sea? I must just not be seeing what in those models is driving it out.


She'll be comin' 'round the ridge
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#2483 Postby OntarioEggplant » Thu Sep 29, 2016 1:17 pm

What are those bizarre low pressures in the middle of the Bermuda-Azores high?
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#2484 Postby terstorm1012 » Thu Sep 29, 2016 1:17 pm

the cut-off is supposed to retrograde westward thru Sunday and then go to the NE. and then who knows? It's really complicated. :double:
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#2485 Postby chris_fit » Thu Sep 29, 2016 1:18 pm

Euro @ 96 - quite a bit east of the GFS...


Image
Last edited by chris_fit on Thu Sep 29, 2016 1:19 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#2486 Postby gatorcane » Thu Sep 29, 2016 1:18 pm

chris_fit wrote:Euro @ 96 - quite a bit east of the GFS...


https://s17.postimg.org/ozsr8dh67/image.png


That is yesterday's 12Z run at 144 hours.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#2487 Postby chris_fit » Thu Sep 29, 2016 1:19 pm

gatorcane wrote:
chris_fit wrote:Euro @ 96 - quite a bit east of the GFS...


https://s17.postimg.org/ozsr8dh67/image.png


That is yesterday's 12Z run at 144 hours.



yup noticed that - fixed
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#2488 Postby ConvergenceZone » Thu Sep 29, 2016 1:20 pm

I think the EURO is on crack. If I was a betting man I'd put my money on the GFS. It's forecast seems more logical
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#2489 Postby Alyono » Thu Sep 29, 2016 1:20 pm

EC is moving due north along 74W
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#2490 Postby Blown Away » Thu Sep 29, 2016 1:22 pm

Image
12z Euro... 120 Hours... Cat 3... Moving NNE...
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#2491 Postby Alyono » Thu Sep 29, 2016 1:24 pm

EC has made an east shift so far

So, the other models shift west and this POC shifts east
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#2492 Postby TimeZone » Thu Sep 29, 2016 1:24 pm

Euro is taking this fishing after Haiti.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#2493 Postby WeatherEmperor » Thu Sep 29, 2016 1:25 pm

Alyono wrote:EC has made an east shift so far

So, the other models shift west and this POC shifts east


If you cant explain why this is happening I dont know who can. This is freaking maddening!!


Sent from my iPhone 6 using Tapatalk
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#2494 Postby SeGaBob » Thu Sep 29, 2016 1:26 pm

TimeZone wrote:Euro is taking this fishing after Haiti.

Most likely scenario IMO.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#2495 Postby OntarioEggplant » Thu Sep 29, 2016 1:26 pm

The orientation of nearly every surface and 500 mb feature is very different at 120 compared to the 00Z run
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#2496 Postby robbielyn » Thu Sep 29, 2016 1:27 pm

They are both windshield wiping in opposite directions.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#2497 Postby p1nheadlarry » Thu Sep 29, 2016 1:27 pm

SeGaBob wrote:
TimeZone wrote:Euro is taking this fishing after Haiti.

Most likely scenario IMO.


Joaquin all over again, same time of year. Wouldn't shock me.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#2498 Postby LarryWx » Thu Sep 29, 2016 1:27 pm

I have the 12Z Euro 120 hour position in line with the 0Z Euro but clearly faster. Also, I have today's 12Z Euro about 75 miles east of yesterday' 12Z Euro hour 144 position.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#2499 Postby Blown Away » Thu Sep 29, 2016 1:29 pm

Image
12z Euro... 144 Hours... Cat 3... Moving NNW... :eek:
Last edited by Blown Away on Thu Sep 29, 2016 1:29 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#2500 Postby gatorcane » Thu Sep 29, 2016 1:29 pm

144 hours and ridge trying to build back overtop: :eek:

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