ATL: MATTHEW - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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JKingTampa
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#3221 Postby JKingTampa » Sun Oct 02, 2016 1:20 am

2 AM Advisory track shows a wobble to the Northeast before resuming Northwest?
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#3222 Postby SouthFLTropics » Sun Oct 02, 2016 1:24 am

JKingTampa wrote:2 AM Advisory track shows a wobble to the Northeast before resuming Northwest?


That's not an updated track. They only update the track at 5 and 11. That is an updated position though which proves what everyone has been saying...it's missing forecast points to the west.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#3223 Postby SouthernBreeze » Sun Oct 02, 2016 1:26 am

Position is 13.8 N @ 2AM - does anyone have N position from 11PM? I forgot to write it down
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#3224 Postby SouthFLTropics » Sun Oct 02, 2016 1:29 am

SouthernBreeze wrote:Position is 13.8 N @ 2AM - does anyone have N position from 11PM? I forgot to write it down


11:00PM, 13.8N, 73.6W
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#3225 Postby Aric Dunn » Sun Oct 02, 2016 1:30 am

im really enjoying watching this w motion .. lol.. good models ...
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#3226 Postby SouthernBreeze » Sun Oct 02, 2016 1:32 am

Thanks SouthFLTropics - not much N component there yet!
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#3227 Postby Aric Dunn » Sun Oct 02, 2016 1:38 am

maybe one day this year they will get something right lol..
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#3228 Postby Hurrilurker » Sun Oct 02, 2016 1:39 am

Looks almost due west over the last 3 hours (maybe slightly WNW, about 280-300°).
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#3229 Postby SouthernBreeze » Sun Oct 02, 2016 1:41 am

Oh Gees, Euro different this time around - more W
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#3230 Postby AutoPenalti » Sun Oct 02, 2016 1:41 am

Lol, still moving West...
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#3231 Postby SouthFLTropics » Sun Oct 02, 2016 1:42 am

The Euro and GFS walk into a bar. The Euro looks over at the GFS and says "you look like I could use a drink"
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#3232 Postby Blown Away » Sun Oct 02, 2016 1:49 am

Image
Confirms WNW movement...
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#3233 Postby Aric Dunn » Sun Oct 02, 2016 1:51 am

im throwing all the modeling out until it follows something ... this is stupid
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#3234 Postby AtlanticWind » Sun Oct 02, 2016 1:58 am

Movement Wnw would have to persist a little while longer to really be significant I think.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#3235 Postby AtlanticWind » Sun Oct 02, 2016 2:00 am

Although this movement could delay the storm coming out of the carribean which could change the models.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#3236 Postby AutoPenalti » Sun Oct 02, 2016 2:00 am

AtlanticWind wrote:Movement Wnw would have to persist a little while longer to really be significant I think.

Maybe by morning we will see a north turn.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#3237 Postby Blown Away » Sun Oct 02, 2016 2:03 am

Image
Crossing 74W now, about 12 hours ahead of schedule per 11pm disco...
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#3238 Postby AutoPenalti » Sun Oct 02, 2016 2:07 am

Blown Away wrote:Image
Crossing 74W now, about 12 hours ahead of schedule per 11pm disco...

This is a complete mess at this point. The turn was suppose to happen today. So far, steering is still west.Image
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#3239 Postby northjaxpro » Sun Oct 02, 2016 2:11 am

NHC had Matthew's eye forecasted to move just east of the island. This new development of the cyclone moving past 74 Longitude nearly 12 hours ahead of schedule may move Mattew back to getting very close to the eye moving right over Jamaica.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#3240 Postby brunota2003 » Sun Oct 02, 2016 2:12 am

06Z 250-850mb steering currents.

Image
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