ATL: MATTHEW - Models

[Blown Away]

I think hurricane force winds would skirt coast on this run... Center stays offshore so far...

[SouthFLTropics]

Wow this could be another hurricane andrew.

Ironically my oldest son is named Andrew and his little brother is Matthew. I told my youngest tonight that he doesn't have to prove something by trying to keep up with his big brother.

[tolakram]

Not sure it can avoid landfall this run.

[Hurricaneman]

144 Hours... @50 miles From Cape Canaveral... Cat 5 at 914 mb... NNW movement

would have hurricane conditions on the coast on this run, any more west shifts and this could be a major disaster, but as always prepare for the worst and hope for the best

[HurricaneFrances04]

The good news- this is still 5 days out, and we've seen how much the models have changed.

Bad news- The trend is not our friend!

[Alyono]

fwiw, the CMC made a massive east shift as it immediately develops Nicole

[centuryv58]

The good news- this is still 5 days out, and we've seen how much the models have changed.

Bad news- The trend is not our friend!

As a fellow WPB resident, that is for damn sure!

[SouthDadeFish]

Even without a S FL impact, the 00Z GFS would be a devastating run for Jamaica, Cuba, and the Bahamas. It seems very likely this will be the last time we will ever have a hurricane in the Atlantic basin named Matthew.

[AxaltaRacing24]

The good news- this is still 5 days out, and we've seen how much the models have changed.

Bad news- The trend is not our friend!

This is EXACTLY why posters should not keep saying Florida is in the clear and should be breathing a sigh of relief. We are still in play and while chances might be unlikely for a landfall they are there.

[AutoPenalti]

Trend may be landfall in SFL this time, on the next couple of runs.

[SouthFLTropics]

Even if it were to stay offshore this run would require massive evacs up and down the Florida coast. It's Floyd on steroids.

[SouthernBreeze]

Carolina's may be in as much hot water as FL!

[WeatherEmperor]

fwiw, the CMC made a massive east shift as it immediately develops Nicole

Forget the Canadian, where is my Ukmet, Alyono??


Sent from my iPhone 6 using Tapatalk

[Alyono]

UKMET little change through 6 days

HURRICANE MATTHEW ANALYSED POSITION : 13.2N 72.0W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL142016

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 01.10.2016 0 13.2N 72.0W 990 59
1200UTC 01.10.2016 12 12.5N 73.1W 991 49
0000UTC 02.10.2016 24 13.0N 73.9W 993 47
1200UTC 02.10.2016 36 13.7N 74.8W 990 47
0000UTC 03.10.2016 48 14.8N 75.9W 987 50
1200UTC 03.10.2016 60 16.3N 76.0W 977 59
0000UTC 04.10.2016 72 18.1N 75.4W 968 64
1200UTC 04.10.2016 84 20.2N 75.0W 976 60
0000UTC 05.10.2016 96 21.9N 74.7W 972 64
1200UTC 05.10.2016 108 23.4N 74.6W 970 65
0000UTC 06.10.2016 120 24.6N 75.2W 967 65
1200UTC 06.10.2016 132 26.2N 76.4W 960 69
0000UTC 07.10.2016 144 28.2N 77.4W 949 75

[SouthFLTropics]

fwiw, the CMC made a massive east shift as it immediately develops Nicole

Not that I'm going to discount what the CMC is saying but we all know how prone it is to developing everything in site. I find that suspect.

[tolakram]

[TimeZone]

Not sure it can avoid landfall this run.

Every single run somebody says that, and every single run it pulls a miracle, and springs out of there. I'll bet it does it again.

[SunnyThoughts]

About how strong is that at hour 174 do you guys think?

[AxaltaRacing24]

This hurricane season is poised to troll us and make us second guess everything isn't it?

[tolakram]