ATL: MATTHEW - Models
Moderator: S2k Moderators
-
SouthFLTropics
- Category 5
- Posts: 4239
- Age: 50
- Joined: Thu Aug 14, 2003 8:04 am
- Location: Port St. Lucie, Florida
Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models
Talk about carving out the SE Coastline...geez!!!
1 likes
Fourth Generation Florida Native
Personal Storm History: David 79, Andrew 92, Erin 95, Floyd 99, Irene 99, Frances 04, Jeanne 04, Wilma 05, Matthew 16, Irma 17, Ian 22, Nicole 22, Milton 24
Personal Storm History: David 79, Andrew 92, Erin 95, Floyd 99, Irene 99, Frances 04, Jeanne 04, Wilma 05, Matthew 16, Irma 17, Ian 22, Nicole 22, Milton 24
Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models
In the timeframe that it would be near the Carolina's is even more subject to change as it is additional days out.
0 likes
Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models
tgenius wrote:fci wrote:tgenius wrote:Wow.. that run looks kinda like what David did in 79.. I was one years old but I remember my parents telling me just how close it got.
Am I missing something?
David came ashore, Matthew still looks offshore
David DID NOT come ashore in SFL.. it skirted the coast and went north.. that's what I was referring to.
It was along the coast at Jensen Beach. We are parsing words here.
Suffice to say; my point is that the model run doesn't even show Matthew at the coast.
0 likes
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
My posts are just my opinion and are most likely not backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Bottom line is that I am just expressing my opinion!!!
My posts are just my opinion and are most likely not backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Bottom line is that I am just expressing my opinion!!!
-
tolakram
- Admin
- Posts: 20036
- Age: 62
- Joined: Sun Aug 27, 2006 8:23 pm
- Location: Florence, KY (name is Mark)
Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models
Looks like it moved over the outer Banks, a grazing hit. Remember this is just one run, GFS, 180 hours.
0 likes
M a r k
- - - - -
Join us in chat: Storm2K Chatroom Invite. Android and IOS apps also available.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. Posts are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.org. For official information and forecasts, please refer to NHC and NWS products.
- - - - -
Join us in chat: Storm2K Chatroom Invite. Android and IOS apps also available.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. Posts are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.org. For official information and forecasts, please refer to NHC and NWS products.
-
TheStormExpert
-
centuryv58
- Tropical Storm
- Posts: 233
- Age: 67
- Joined: Sat Jul 30, 2016 1:24 pm
- Location: Southeast Florida
Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models
fci wrote:tgenius wrote:fci wrote:Am I missing something?
David came ashore, Matthew still looks offshore
David DID NOT come ashore in SFL.. it skirted the coast and went north.. that's what I was referring to.
It was along the coast at Jensen Beach. We are parsing words here.
Suffice to say; my point is that the model run doesn't even show Matthew at the coast.
Not sure what you are looking at. It seems to be dragging along a great deal of coastline.
0 likes
-
tolakram
- Admin
- Posts: 20036
- Age: 62
- Joined: Sun Aug 27, 2006 8:23 pm
- Location: Florence, KY (name is Mark)
Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models
0 likes
M a r k
- - - - -
Join us in chat: Storm2K Chatroom Invite. Android and IOS apps also available.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. Posts are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.org. For official information and forecasts, please refer to NHC and NWS products.
- - - - -
Join us in chat: Storm2K Chatroom Invite. Android and IOS apps also available.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. Posts are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.org. For official information and forecasts, please refer to NHC and NWS products.
-
AxaltaRacing24
- Category 5
- Posts: 1766
- Age: 25
- Joined: Wed Jul 27, 2016 11:14 am
- Location: Jupiter, FL
Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models
centuryv58 wrote:fci wrote:tgenius wrote:
David DID NOT come ashore in SFL.. it skirted the coast and went north.. that's what I was referring to.
It was along the coast at Jensen Beach. We are parsing words here.
Suffice to say; my point is that the model run doesn't even show Matthew at the coast.
Not sure what you are looking at. It seems to be dragging along a great deal of coastline.
Probably 70-100 miles offshore.
Close enough for certain TS conditions, seemingly not Hurricane conditions.
At least on this run.....
0 likes
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
My posts are just my opinion and are most likely not backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Bottom line is that I am just expressing my opinion!!!
My posts are just my opinion and are most likely not backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Bottom line is that I am just expressing my opinion!!!
-
toad strangler
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 4545
- Joined: Sun Jul 28, 2013 3:09 pm
- Location: Earth
- Contact:
Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models
If these subtle W trends were to continue this turns into a S landfall and potential inland runner before ejecting back out to sea.
0 likes
My Weather Station
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KFLPORTS603
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KFLPORTS603
-
SouthFLTropics
- Category 5
- Posts: 4239
- Age: 50
- Joined: Thu Aug 14, 2003 8:04 am
- Location: Port St. Lucie, Florida
Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models
Perhaps this may be the understatement and Captain Obvious moment of the night, but the Euro run in about an hour may be watched as much as the first Presidential Debate...
2 likes
Fourth Generation Florida Native
Personal Storm History: David 79, Andrew 92, Erin 95, Floyd 99, Irene 99, Frances 04, Jeanne 04, Wilma 05, Matthew 16, Irma 17, Ian 22, Nicole 22, Milton 24
Personal Storm History: David 79, Andrew 92, Erin 95, Floyd 99, Irene 99, Frances 04, Jeanne 04, Wilma 05, Matthew 16, Irma 17, Ian 22, Nicole 22, Milton 24
Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models
That has got to be one one the worst runs for damage I have seen. 20 million with out power, give or take.
0 likes
The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models
Hey a Rhode Island landfall. That might be the rarest model landfall state of them all.
1 likes
Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models
SouthFLTropics wrote:Perhaps this may be the understatement and Captain Obvious moment of the night, but the Euro run in about an hour may be watched as much as the first Presidential Debate...
Nope. The in the clear masses are sound asleep while weather geeks freak out!
1 likes
The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
-
ConvergenceZone
.gif)
- Category 5
- Posts: 5201
- Joined: Fri Jul 29, 2005 1:40 am
- Location: Northern California
Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models
Wow it seems like every single GFS model run this gets closer and closer to not only Florida but to the Carolinas. One thing we can say for sure is if it shifts anymore Westward on the next model run it will be predicting landfall for sure, whether it's Florida or the Carolinas. Even though it's just one model the GFS is a very respectable model .
Edit: okay never mind, looks like this is already predicting a landfall further up the East Coast
Edit: okay never mind, looks like this is already predicting a landfall further up the East Coast
Last edited by ConvergenceZone on Fri Sep 30, 2016 11:37 pm, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes
-
SouthFLTropics
- Category 5
- Posts: 4239
- Age: 50
- Joined: Thu Aug 14, 2003 8:04 am
- Location: Port St. Lucie, Florida
Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models
I can't believe that trough just went negative tilt and did that. Matthew takes the scenic coastal tour of the entire eastern CONUS that run.
0 likes
Fourth Generation Florida Native
Personal Storm History: David 79, Andrew 92, Erin 95, Floyd 99, Irene 99, Frances 04, Jeanne 04, Wilma 05, Matthew 16, Irma 17, Ian 22, Nicole 22, Milton 24
Personal Storm History: David 79, Andrew 92, Erin 95, Floyd 99, Irene 99, Frances 04, Jeanne 04, Wilma 05, Matthew 16, Irma 17, Ian 22, Nicole 22, Milton 24
-
dexterlabio
- Category 5
- Posts: 3471
- Joined: Sat Oct 24, 2009 11:50 pm
Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models
So it's not just Florida in the US that might be sweating bullets in the coming days..
0 likes
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Who is online
Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 8 guests