ATL: MATTHEW - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[bevgo]

I think the blob is a tumor.

[kiblet]

. I am sorry if I am posting in the wrong forum please feel free to delete. But I was visiting a friend in the hospital today. I spoke to 2 aides who are from Haiti. They said they called relatives in Haiti and warned them of the storm. According to them Haitians don't get storm warnings from their government. Is this true? Thank you.

That would be quite surprising. I think it's more likely that many Haitians don't have radios or TVs to hear the warnings. Just a guess. By the way, it's the right forum.

Thank you for your reply. It's something I didn't think about.

Hello! Long-time lurker, very infrequent poster. I just got back from Haiti a few days ago and asked a similar question to our hosts. They said that people primarily get their news information from two channels: radio and word of mouth. The government doesn't have an organized system to communicate things like this -- especially without a president, their government basically doesn't exist right now. Surprisingly a lot of the people I know in Haiti outside of Port-au-Prince have Facebook, too, and I was able to connect with a couple of them to find out what they knew. They're all very aware of what's happening.

[AxaltaRacing24]

At this rate Matthew will be here until Christmas.

[Michele B]

Mutating into a heart???

Whatever it is, it is kind of ominous..

What on earth is that blob doing?

not showing it here, but in the local radar shot just on TV, the "blob" looks like it's trying to wrap into and around the northern side, making Matt WAAAAY larger than it already is.

I''m not sure what the implications are for that....if it makes Matt stronger, weaker, or have no impact at all....

[MGC]

I'm a bit surprised that Matt has been able to maintain its intensity despite not moving much the past day. The ocean must be plenty warm to fend off the upwelling. The hurricane continues to remain well organized. Wish it would get moving north. I too am afraid the convection to the east of Matthew is going to cause massive flooding in Haiti with a high risk of loss of live.

[CronkPSU]

I think the blob is a tumor.

as Ahnold would say,...

it's not a tumah!!!

[bg1]

Mutating into a heart???

Whatever it is, it is kind of ominous..

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/14L/imagery/jsl_lalo-animated.gif What on earth is that blob doing?

A "peace" signal, perhaps? Maybe it's saying it's willing to sacrifice itself by continuously looping in the same spot until upwelling gets to it.

[znel52]

What on earth is that blob doing?

The blob looks like a heart in that last frame Quite an interesting feature.

[Michele B]

I'm a bit surprised that Matt has been able to maintain its intensity despite not moving much the past day. The ocean must be plenty warm to fend off the upwelling. The hurricane continues to remain well organized. Wish it would get moving north. I too am afraid the convection to the east of Matthew is going to cause massive flooding in Haiti with a high risk of loss of live.

Agreed. I would hope Matt would pick up speed before raking over those islands, or it will just dump rain to be measured by the FOOT, rather than by the inch.

[FLLurker32]

The weather channel just had someone on that previously worked for the NHC. He said the reason the models are having difficulty is because not all weather stations are releasing balloons regularly to help them get a good feel for atmospheric conditions. On another note: NHC now says it's officially moving North.

[AxaltaRacing24]

The weather channel just had someone on that previously worked for the NHC. He said the reason the models are having difficulty is because not all weather stations are releasing balloons regularly to help them get a good feel for atmospheric conditions. On another note: NHC now says it's officially moving North.

And at 5 MPH. The discussion will be interesting.

[Evil Jeremy]

Slight west shifts for days 4 and 5 on the 11pm track.

[floridasun78]

nhc have not yet put 11pm map yet on site

[SunnyThoughts]

Hurricane force winds only extending out 25 miles now as per the update. That blob is eating Matthew's wind field.

[ftolmsteen]

The buoy roughly around 15N, 75W appears to be right in the path of the eye wall later tonight. Gonna be some very interesting data if it survives the pass.

[AxaltaRacing24]

Hurricane force winds only extending out 25 miles now as per the update. That blob is eating Matthew's wind field.

Did you also see it eating Matthew's cold cloud tops to the east? Strange stuff

[SouthernBreeze]

Im ready to see some N movement that actually amounts to something. Looking at Matts outflow & cloud patterns, just doesn't look like ready to make a big move yet to me

[AdamFirst]

After clearing the northeastern coast of Cuba,
Matthew is expected to turn toward the north-northwest within
southeasterly flow between the western periphery of a strong ridge
located over the southwestern Atlantic and a weak mid- to
upper-level trough currently located over the eastern Gulf of
Mexico. The 12Z UKMET and 18Z GFS and GFS-ensemble mean models now
show a weaker trough over the Gulf of Mexico on days 3-5 as a larger
storm system currently located over the northwestern U.S. is
forecast to not be as strong or as far south as previously expected.
This has resulted in more downstream ridging in those models over
the southeastern United States, and the model tracks of Matthew have
responded by shifting westward. The new NHC track forecast has been
shifted slightly to the west or left of the previous advisory track,
mainly to account for the more westward initial position. However,
the forecast track remains to the east of the UKMET, GFS, and
GFS-ensemble mean models, and lies near the TVCX consensus model.

[floridasun78]

have anyone seen new cone not nhc site yet let see wfor have it

[drewschmaltz]

Stewart's discussion always seems like it's a perfectly relevant storm2k post.