ATL: MATTHEW - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[SeGaBob]

Watch the Euro shift east now.

[caneseddy]

 https://twitter.com/JohnMoralesNBC6/status/783002940495757312

[AutoPenalti]

I live up in Pompano. About 10 mins from Ft. Lauderdale and the beaches.

[SouthernBreeze]

98L, now with 50% possibility of developing in 5 days seems to be coming into play in this Euro run

[ronyan]

Anxiously awaiting Euro run before digging out & dusting off hurricane shutters. Been a while, but if shifted this far W, maybe it'll keep shifting & I wont need them

Don't hang your hat on one model, even if this makes landfall lower on the coast from you it's likely you will also get hit as it turns more NE. Remember this could be a strong hurricane and won't weaken immediately below the danger threshold.

[AutoPenalti]

I have that weird feeling that Euro is going to shift east.

[windnrain]

The way Matthew is going to pass, it doesn't look like he will suffer much from land interaction with Haiti/Cuba... really shooting that gap.

[SouthernBreeze]

Anxiously awaiting Euro run before digging out & dusting off hurricane shutters. Been a while, but if shifted this far W, maybe it'll keep shifting & I wont need them

Don't hang your hat on one model, even if this makes landfall lower on the coast from you it's likely you will also get hit as it turns more NE.

prob gonna get something out of this no matter what. Rather see it go in N of me rather than S for sure!!

[ronyan]

I have that weird feeling that Euro is going to shift east.

Euro is shifted a bit west through 48 hrs.

[AutoPenalti]

Annnnnd... I was wrong. Euro shows a much further west track than 12z.

[jlauderdal]

I have that weird feeling that Euro is going to shift east.

computer models dont care about anyones feelings..

[Ntxw]

This storm no doubt has been the signature Atlantic storm since Igor in 2010. Unfortunately this one will effect land.

[TPAcane]

Just wanted to mention my two cents...and I mentioned this with Hermine. It does not matter where this goes, some impoverished country or gleaming industrialized nation, many every day(non weather geek)people are unaware of what a hurricane is or does. Many of us have had brushes with severe thunderstorms, you get a minute or two pop of severe 60-80mph gusts and it is scary. Most don't understand the SUSTAINED nature of this wind. When you are truly in it...it is constant, not just a feeder band blowing by. People say oh...we are just in a tropical storm warning, no big deal. Has anyone dealt with sustained 60-70mph winds? It is beyond frightening. And some very real damage. I thought I knew what hurricanes were living in New England, but those were akin to a bad Nor'easter. These monsters that troll the Southern latitudes up to the Carolinas are a different planet altogether. Those that decided to stay and ride out Andrew in Homestead/Cutler Ridge in 92...literally did a lot of bargaining with GOD all night in a severely hellish setting. Many were never the same and suffered big time PTSD. These storms in their greatest form will rival the big tornado situations out west but are not over in 10minutes. So many new folks living on the Coast from the Carolinas down since the 90's and many have never experienced a real storm. They go by the news, the hype, the theme songs for the storms on the weather channel. Building a curiosity to say I survived it, the adventure comes out, oh we can weather this just fine, we will hunker down. Here in my home, I wonder when I would leave, honestly. I am not near water, but I don't have the best faith in my builder so when do I pull the plug and leave 110mph 120mph? Since my area has never been hit by a powerful storm, how do I know the integrity of my building, windows, roof, ect...do I play russian roulette and try and stay for a 120mph storm. It can be a bit overwhelming, because you do have time to think about it and play it over and over in your mind, unlike a tornado or earthquake. You just don't mess with Nature as it creates beauty and kills it just as quickly. Although the Caribbean nations are more exposed to these situations, they are more exposed to the elements of nature and more vulnerable. It is heart wrenching. For industrialized nations, ignorance is the greatest killer. Those in the Caribbean wish they had our resources, and those in earthquake/tornado zones wish they had our warning time. Whenever it doubt...if ever a lingering question, just leave. As much as I am fascinated by these entities, I don't want to hunker down in my little town home and hear the wind scream, the walls creek, and wonder what happens next. Remember if you initially decide to stay, it might be too late to leave if you change your mind. Debris through windshields or bodies does not make for a good evacuation. This is not for the average S2Ker but for those that browse and are curious. Pray for those that are in danger and can't or won't leave, and have a point in your mind when you know you will definitely get out as life is too short and well...the most beautiful blue skies are the day after a hurricane...and I want to enjoy them.

[KWT]

The way Matthew is going to pass, it doesn't look like he will suffer much from land interaction with Haiti/Cuba... really shooting that gap.

Yeah people expecting Matthew to weaken loads are going to be really surprised when it barely hits land, yet alone weakens loads.

[WYNweather]

I live up in Pompano. About 10 mins from Ft. Lauderdale and the beaches.

Me two spent the afternoon at the inlet. Was thinking it was to nice of a day and we may have to pay the price.

[sponger]

Definitely now moving nne!

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floater ... -long.html

[znel52]

This storm no doubt has been the signature Atlantic storm since Igor in 2010. Unfortunately this one will effect land.

http://i66.tinypic.com/3451kx3.gif

I think a little storm named Sandy would disagree with you but Igor is definitely up there. Unless you just meant based on looks then absolutely. Matthew has just been amazing to watch and I feel like there will be many more twists and turns before all is said and done.

[KWT]

Annnnnd... I was wrong. Euro shows a much further west track than 12z.

Yep decent west again, the upper high holding much better than on the 00z run, moving NW through the Bahamas, much more westwards and it will be hard to imagine a recurve that doesn't hit land somewhere...

Anyway more eastwards motion now to the northerly motion, probably close to NNE now.

[AutoPenalti]

Definitely now moving nne!

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floater ... -long.html

Looks to be a wobble if anything.

[TheHook210]

I live on the Space Coast, about 3 miles from Cape Canaveral. My finger is firmly planted on the panic button at this point. Will begin preps this evening. I would rather be safe than sorry. Figuring out how to get the hell out of dodge with 5 big dogs I need to take along should be interesting.