ATL: MATTHEW - Post-Tropical - Discussion

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Message
Author
User avatar
sponger
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1620
Joined: Thu Jul 22, 2004 11:26 am
Location: St Augustine

Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#4561 Postby sponger » Mon Oct 03, 2016 4:52 pm

GFS is showing a quicker turn which will bring it towards the Florida coast, but also weaken it due to land interaction with Cuba. The question is, if that verifies, how much can it regain before it gets near the coast. That may be the million dollar question.
0 likes   
The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

bqknight
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 107
Joined: Fri Aug 28, 2015 8:47 am
Location: Orlando, FL

Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#4562 Postby bqknight » Mon Oct 03, 2016 4:55 pm

Through 78 the storm looks stronger and closer to the coast of Florida.
0 likes   

HURRICANELONNY
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1383
Joined: Wed May 07, 2003 6:48 am
Location: HOLLYWOOD.FL

Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#4563 Postby HURRICANELONNY » Mon Oct 03, 2016 4:55 pm

not working jeremy. keeps saying cant connect to channel storm2k but shows my text
0 likes   
hurricanelonny

User avatar
idaknowman
Tropical Low
Tropical Low
Posts: 23
Age: 66
Joined: Sat Aug 04, 2012 9:28 am
Location: Cutler Bay, Fl

Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#4564 Postby idaknowman » Mon Oct 03, 2016 4:58 pm

There really is no need to run out and fill your gas tank; we learned our lesson after Hurricane Andrew, many stations are required to have backup power.

Here is a list of (just Miami area) gas stations with backup power: http://www.rsmas.miami.edu/assets/gas-stations-with-generators.pdf

tgenius wrote:The lines for gas at Costco are already insane. Only going to get worse!!
0 likes   
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

jlauderdal
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 7190
Joined: Wed May 19, 2004 5:46 am
Location: NE Fort Lauderdale
Contact:

Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#4565 Postby jlauderdal » Mon Oct 03, 2016 5:00 pm

sponger wrote:GFS is showing a quicker turn which will bring it towards the Florida coast, but also weaken it due to land interaction with Cuba. The question is, if that verifies, how much can it regain before it gets near the coast. That may be the million dollar question.
forget about intensity noise on these runs...its going to be an a very dangerous hurricane regardless of what little weakening you might see in any of these models..nhc keeps it major up to 30N and they tend to be conservative..nhc, alonyo, bastardi, etc all keep it intense through the bahamas chain...everything is in place for a major hurricane..dont be fooled by models showing anything different albeit they are all showing a very well developed TC
1 likes   

User avatar
Evil Jeremy
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5463
Age: 32
Joined: Mon Apr 10, 2006 2:10 pm
Location: Los Angeles, CA

Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#4566 Postby Evil Jeremy » Mon Oct 03, 2016 5:02 pm

HURRICANELONNY wrote:not working jeremy. keeps saying cant connect to channel storm2k but shows my text


I'm having a similar issue, telling me it "cant send" my messages, though I see them...
0 likes   
Frances 04 / Jeanne 04 / Katrina 05 / Wilma 05 / Fay 08 / Debby 12 / Andrea 13 / Colin 16 / Hermine 16 / Matthew 16 / Irma 17

floridasun78
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3755
Joined: Sun May 17, 2009 10:16 pm
Location: miami fl

Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#4567 Postby floridasun78 » Mon Oct 03, 2016 5:02 pm

what radio station in Bahama someone earlier i saw on work tablet?
0 likes   

User avatar
TeamPlayersBlue
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3446
Joined: Tue Feb 02, 2010 1:44 am
Location: Denver/Applewood, CO

Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#4568 Postby TeamPlayersBlue » Mon Oct 03, 2016 5:04 pm

Hopefully the eye will only clip Haiti, but the topography can eat into the storm a little bit. If its moving slowly like this, its possible it will die down some. Anything will help. If the mountains can destabalize the storm a bit, that would be great
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

floridasun78
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3755
Joined: Sun May 17, 2009 10:16 pm
Location: miami fl

Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#4569 Postby floridasun78 » Mon Oct 03, 2016 5:06 pm

okl what crazy day watching mattew only show little part of fl under cone now most state remember early today we start see models sifting west ukmet could won award for best models it show close fl track some here don't worry florida is ok what have say now!!!!
0 likes   

jlauderdal
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 7190
Joined: Wed May 19, 2004 5:46 am
Location: NE Fort Lauderdale
Contact:

Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#4570 Postby jlauderdal » Mon Oct 03, 2016 5:07 pm

floridasun78 wrote:what radio station in Bahama someone earlier i saw on work tablet?

http://tunein.com/radio/Radio-Bahamas-1071-s102363/
1 likes   

jlauderdal
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 7190
Joined: Wed May 19, 2004 5:46 am
Location: NE Fort Lauderdale
Contact:

Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#4571 Postby jlauderdal » Mon Oct 03, 2016 5:08 pm

jlauderdal wrote:
floridasun78 wrote:what radio station in Bahama someone earlier i saw on work tablet?

http://tunein.com/radio/Radio-Bahamas-1071-s102363/


810 am on your radio if you are in SE Florida
1 likes   

floridasun78
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3755
Joined: Sun May 17, 2009 10:16 pm
Location: miami fl

Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#4572 Postby floridasun78 » Mon Oct 03, 2016 5:09 pm

jlauderdal wrote:
floridasun78 wrote:what radio station in Bahama someone earlier i saw on work tablet?

http://tunein.com/radio/Radio-Bahamas-1071-s102363/

ty friend
1 likes   

User avatar
La Sirena
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 307
Joined: Sun Aug 21, 2016 4:02 pm
Location: Formerly of the Keys, back home in East TN

Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#4573 Postby La Sirena » Mon Oct 03, 2016 5:10 pm

Well, just to make things interesting: The Dept. of Agriculture has put a quarantine on the Florida Keys for anyone trying to arrive or leave with their pets. A full on checkpoint at MM 106 due to the Screwworms that have been found in the lower Keys. Hope there's no evacuations coming for us lol.
0 likes   
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the NHC and NWS.


Hurricane Irma,Hurricane Michael, Hurricane Helene

User avatar
JtSmarts
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1437
Age: 39
Joined: Thu Jul 10, 2003 1:29 pm
Location: Columbia, South Carolina

Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#4574 Postby JtSmarts » Mon Oct 03, 2016 5:12 pm

GFS 120 right next to Charleston area. I got some family I've been warning to be on watch down there. :eek:
1 likes   

User avatar
birddogsc
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 123
Joined: Tue Aug 25, 2015 2:09 pm

Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#4575 Postby birddogsc » Mon Oct 03, 2016 5:17 pm

Latest GFS has the eye kissing the SC coast and moving on...
Last edited by birddogsc on Mon Oct 03, 2016 5:20 pm, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   

User avatar
Nimbus
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5335
Joined: Mon Jul 19, 2004 10:54 am

Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#4576 Postby Nimbus » Mon Oct 03, 2016 5:17 pm

It usually costs about $8 to travel the 379km to travel from Tiburon to Port-au-Prince.
Anyone heard if they are running extra buses?
Might be a good time to make that trip to Port-au-Prince and take in some of the Davinci inspired artworks.

https://citymeter.net/distance-between- ... 6047977121
0 likes   

User avatar
Blinhart
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2081
Age: 48
Joined: Thu Sep 08, 2011 3:13 pm
Location: Crowley, La.

Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#4577 Postby Blinhart » Mon Oct 03, 2016 5:18 pm

TeamPlayersBlue wrote:Hopefully the eye will only clip Haiti, but the topography can eat into the storm a little bit. If its moving slowly like this, its possible it will die down some. Anything will help. If the mountains can destabalize the storm a bit, that would be great


The mountains of Cuba and Hispanolia can cause the storm expand further out, but if the eye misses the mountainous areas of the land it can keep it's strength and possibly ramp up with the wind field actually expanding.
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

User avatar
brunota2003
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 9476
Age: 34
Joined: Sat Jul 30, 2005 9:56 pm
Location: Stanton, KY...formerly Havelock, NC
Contact:

Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#4578 Postby brunota2003 » Mon Oct 03, 2016 5:20 pm

idaknowman wrote:There really is no need to run out and fill your gas tank; we learned our lesson after Hurricane Andrew, many stations are required to have backup power.

Here is a list of (just Miami area) gas stations with backup power: http://www.rsmas.miami.edu/assets/gas-stations-with-generators.pdf

tgenius wrote:The lines for gas at Costco are already insane. Only going to get worse!!

Back up power is great...when there's no gas left in the gas station's tanks because the trucks couldn't make it there to fill them up...
2 likes   
Just a small town southern boy helping other humans.

floridasun78
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3755
Joined: Sun May 17, 2009 10:16 pm
Location: miami fl

Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#4579 Postby floridasun78 » Mon Oct 03, 2016 5:20 pm

south fl and state could see some type watch by tonight my news say wfor
Last edited by floridasun78 on Mon Oct 03, 2016 5:20 pm, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   

psyclone
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 4769
Joined: Wed Aug 24, 2005 9:04 pm
Location: palm harbor fl

Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#4580 Postby psyclone » Mon Oct 03, 2016 5:20 pm

I suspect hurricane watches (assuming current trends remain intact) will be issued for the east coast. if it does scrape the coast we could very well ultimately see the combo of cane watches and ts warnings. there's typically such a tight gradient, especially on the western side. the windfield characteristics after the Cuba interaction will really be key. Matthew is a massive and deep atmospheric pit and those fill slowly. My goodness at the potential here...especially for the Bahamas and Carolinas. but any more west shifts....let's just say Florida's margin of safety has been wiped out..
0 likes   


Return to “2016”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 16 guests