#4772 Postby TreasureIslandFLGal » Sun Oct 02, 2016 6:21 pm
yeah i heard access was the autralian model, new kid on the block, and has been an outlier. however, i remember a week ago some of the models were showing a similar path and setup that it is now showing, though they have all changed their tune since.
i still see at least a few more hrs of nw flow ahead. if Matt stays real slow, any chance that approaching trough can generate a gulf side weakness to draw him nw or nnw further?
i can see a jamaica, even just west of it, possibility, to cross more in central cuba, followed by nearly northward movement up into southern fl as a cat 2. cross longways through much of fl exiting in far northeast in front of front, increasing speed, and after that, future dependent on speed and eastward progression of front.
would be very bad for jamaica and cuba, but not worst case for fl due to a much weakened matt, who would weaken considerably more with a long landlocked traverse across state.
see disclaimer. pay attention to nhc and not my amateur take on things.
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Chrissy & Ligeia 