ATL: MATTHEW - Models

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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#5401 Postby tolakram » Mon Oct 03, 2016 4:52 pm

Not a good trend at all.

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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#5402 Postby Evil Jeremy » Mon Oct 03, 2016 4:52 pm

gatorcane wrote:Heading WNW and beelining for Palm Beach County at 72 hours :eek:


It needs to shift to a NNW heading by the next frame if it wants to avoid Florida landfall.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#5403 Postby jlauderdal » Mon Oct 03, 2016 4:54 pm

Blown Away wrote:
jlauderdal wrote:
PTrackerLA wrote:18z GFS 60hrs

[img]http://i.imgur.com/0fajCd1.png[mg]
do i detect a thumb ridge on that panel?


"Thumb Ridge" is the new rage.. :D


its AJC3's fault we have it coming our way, he mentioned the thumb ridge days and days ago and now look where we are at..the thumb ridge has been coming and going and now its locked in..someone looks to be getting smacked by a major as a result
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#5404 Postby Blinhart » Mon Oct 03, 2016 4:54 pm

So when will the models show it completely crossing over the tip of the Peninsula? Tomorrow day or night? Ridge is building in pushing this thing almost due West.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#5405 Postby tolakram » Mon Oct 03, 2016 4:55 pm

Ridge relaxing at the last second.

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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#5406 Postby Aric Dunn » Mon Oct 03, 2016 4:55 pm

Not surprised on the shift with the GIV out there doing the synoptic flight east of the bahamas finding a stronger ridge.. also notice its not that strong.. it spends more time over cuba.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#5407 Postby gatorcane » Mon Oct 03, 2016 4:56 pm

Evil Jeremy wrote:
gatorcane wrote:Heading WNW and beelining for Palm Beach County at 72 hours :eek:


It needs to shift to a NNW heading by the next frame if it wants to avoid Florida landfall.


looks like it is turning more NW just before Palm Beach County landfall but what a shift west by the MU. That would bring hurricane winds to West Palm Beach area :eek:
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#5408 Postby p1nheadlarry » Mon Oct 03, 2016 4:56 pm

This is very much like Hazel, though on this run similar to David or Floyd in location
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#5409 Postby Aric Dunn » Mon Oct 03, 2016 4:56 pm

tolakram wrote:Ridge relaxing at the last second.

Image



not enough .. too late..

looks just like hurricane david
Last edited by Aric Dunn on Mon Oct 03, 2016 4:57 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#5410 Postby tolakram » Mon Oct 03, 2016 4:57 pm

Image
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#5411 Postby Blown Away » Mon Oct 03, 2016 4:57 pm

tolakram wrote:Ridge relaxing at the last second.

Image


I'm not liking this run or the Thumb Ridge...
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#5412 Postby caneman » Mon Oct 03, 2016 4:57 pm

tolakram wrote:Ridge relaxing at the last second.

Image


Crapolla. I don think anyone is relaxing on the east coast of florida with that model run and the trend.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#5413 Postby tolakram » Mon Oct 03, 2016 4:57 pm

Image
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#5414 Postby Blown Away » Mon Oct 03, 2016 4:58 pm

GFS is fast compared to Euro... Maybe the little bit slower Euro allows the turn farther E of Florida...
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#5415 Postby jhpigott » Mon Oct 03, 2016 4:58 pm

gatorcane wrote:
Evil Jeremy wrote:
gatorcane wrote:Heading WNW and beelining for Palm Beach County at 72 hours :eek:


It needs to shift to a NNW heading by the next frame if it wants to avoid Florida landfall.


looks like it is turning more NW just before Palm Beach County landfall but what a shift west by the MU. That would bring hurricane winds to West Palm Beach area :eek:


May see TS Watches up along the SE FL Coast by 11pm at this rate
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#5416 Postby caneman » Mon Oct 03, 2016 4:58 pm

I'm on the west coast of Florida so not concerned just hope it doesn't try and pull a Frances or jeanne. Was without power for a long time.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#5417 Postby AutoPenalti » Mon Oct 03, 2016 4:58 pm

I think it's too late...
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#5418 Postby SunnyThoughts » Mon Oct 03, 2016 4:59 pm

On the full resolution, is that 930 or 980? colors are bright here ( I need new glasses too)
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#5419 Postby tolakram » Mon Oct 03, 2016 4:59 pm

Parallel to the coast now.

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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#5420 Postby tolakram » Mon Oct 03, 2016 4:59 pm

SunnyThoughts wrote:On the full resolution, is that 930 or 980? colors are bright here ( I need new glasses too)


930
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