ATL: MATTHEW - Models

[Hurricaneman]

Well, Matthew is literally just about at the coast just east of Jacksonville Beach at 90 hours with the eyewall within 50-70 miles of the coast..

Id even argue that the eyewall would go a tad inland in Florida while the center itself is just on the beach

[tolakram]

[SouthFLTropics]

Charleston 108 hours...Hugo 2.0, different angle of attack.

[Evil Jeremy]

Well, Matthew is literally just about at the coast just east of Jacksonville Beach at 90 hours with the eyewall within 50-70 miles of the coast..

I'm hitting up Publix to stock up in the morning... before the rush.

[stephen23]

Seems this would be horrible for surge if this run pans out. With the shape of the coast the water would get stacked in their pretty good.

[Blown Away]

many examples of this type of track, but not as sharp of a right turn like Matt... I'm sure the Euro will come in slower and just offshore to begin the model battle royal... SC caught Matt!!!

I like to see if the track goes up the coast or sharply OTS once at the Carolinas... Seems to give an idea of how strong the ridging is...

[Raebie]

Seems Matt can't decide which Carolina coast to decimate.

[weathaguyry]

Im guessing it may be like 12z run from here on out.

[Alyono]

Holy smokes, well that's new. Horrible, but new. Hard to get a landfalling cane in SC from that direction...but GFS figured out how to do it.

we had 2 canes strike SC from that direction 2 weeks apart in 2004

[JtSmarts]

GFS Simulated Just Prior to Landfall. At 938 mb it's basically Hugo at a different angle.

[northjaxpro]

Bad run for Savannah.

It is David'79 all over again, but worse dealing with a much stronger and powerful major hurricane this time.,

It also does not look good for Charleston either.

[WeatherEmperor]

0z Canadian shifts west but is much faster than Gfs.




Sent from my iPhone 6 using Tapatalk

[Mouton]

Well, Matthew is literally just about at the coast just east of Jacksonville Beach at 90 hours with the eyewall within 50-70 miles of the coast..

My eyes show the same thing. left side of storm fortunately by a tad. Wind field looks like 50-60 right on the coast if that run is pin point accurate. Unless something changes, we will venture 50 miles inland just to be safe after setting the shutters.

[WeatherEmperor]

I think this is the Canadians closest approach to FL but not sure




Sent from my iPhone 6 using Tapatalk

[AdamFirst]

Yep, Canadian falling in line...brings core near/to the south of Grand Bahama at 60hr, 12z run had core to the east of the island.

[tolakram]

Re-emerges, still quite a storm. SST's are cool north of North Carolina so I imagine it would go ET pretty quickly.

[HurricaneFrances04]

That's a big shift west for the Canadian. It was one of the eastern outliers.

[Alyono]

CMC has made another massive west shift

[Steve]

Well, Matthew is literally just about at the coast just east of Jacksonville Beach at 90 hours with the eyewall within 50-70 miles of the coast..

A couple things. 1. You guys in J'ville have to get a piece of this one way or the other. 2016 demands it. 2. You're completely right. 50 miles could be the difference between high waves and beach erosion and devastation. I know you're on it northjax

[Evil Jeremy]

Alonyo with the UKMET in 5.....4....3....