ATL: MATTHEW - Models

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northjaxpro
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#5761 Postby northjaxpro » Tue Oct 04, 2016 1:07 am

This pattern is like July instead of early October right now. What a stout and large ridge shown by. EURO. I shudder to think this, but I have seen enough now to convince me that the ridge nay definitely be strong enough to enable Matthew to make landfall by Friday at the latest
Last edited by northjaxpro on Tue Oct 04, 2016 1:09 am, edited 2 times in total.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#5762 Postby HurricaneFrances04 » Tue Oct 04, 2016 1:07 am

And there it Is. :double:
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#5763 Postby Bocadude85 » Tue Oct 04, 2016 1:07 am

SouthFLTropics wrote:
Bocadude85 wrote:98l showing up...may weaken the ridge..wouldn't be surprised if this run is east of the 12z..


It showed up on the last run and had no effect.


Yea I clearly spoke to soon lol
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#5764 Postby FLpanhandle91 » Tue Oct 04, 2016 1:07 am

Image

:eek:
Last edited by FLpanhandle91 on Tue Oct 04, 2016 1:08 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#5765 Postby NDG » Tue Oct 04, 2016 1:07 am

0z Euro is a little to the left at 72hr
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#5766 Postby AutoPenalti » Tue Oct 04, 2016 1:09 am

72HR Trend

Image
Last edited by AutoPenalti on Tue Oct 04, 2016 1:09 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#5767 Postby wxmann_91 » Tue Oct 04, 2016 1:09 am

Not much difference from yesterday's run. A bit faster but so is the trof ejecting from the Rockies.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#5768 Postby Evil Jeremy » Tue Oct 04, 2016 1:09 am

Alright, next frame to see what it shows for Jax, then sleep for like 6 hours before repeating this entire process tomorrow.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#5769 Postby jhpigott » Tue Oct 04, 2016 1:09 am

AutoPenalti wrote:Image

Looks like Freeport/West End. Is this E or W of 12z?
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#5770 Postby SouthFLTropics » Tue Oct 04, 2016 1:11 am

NDG wrote:0z Euro is a little to the left at 72hr


Just a hair left at 72 from today's 12z. Substantially left from yesterday's 00z. This should be more than enough to get the NHC to pull the trigger on watches.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#5771 Postby Kingarabian » Tue Oct 04, 2016 1:11 am

NDG wrote:0z Euro is a little to the left at 72hr

Thinking it may be left enough such that SC or GA can't be avoided.
Last edited by Kingarabian on Tue Oct 04, 2016 1:11 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#5772 Postby HurricaneFrances04 » Tue Oct 04, 2016 1:11 am

The furthest west Euro has had it in a week.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#5773 Postby Aric Dunn » Tue Oct 04, 2016 1:11 am

no avoiding florida on this one.. landfall likely
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#5774 Postby Aric Dunn » Tue Oct 04, 2016 1:13 am

SouthFLTropics wrote:
NDG wrote:0z Euro is a little to the left at 72hr


Just a hair left at 72 from today's 12z. Substantially left from yesterday's 00z. This should be more than enough to get the NHC to pull the trigger on watches.


unless you have full resolution you have to compare to 00z yesterday not 12z today.. .
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#5775 Postby TimeZone » Tue Oct 04, 2016 1:14 am

Aric Dunn wrote:no avoiding florida on this one.. landfall likely


Somebody says this every run, and every run it never makes landfall in Florida.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#5776 Postby SouthFLTropics » Tue Oct 04, 2016 1:14 am

Aric Dunn wrote:
SouthFLTropics wrote:
NDG wrote:0z Euro is a little to the left at 72hr


Just a hair left at 72 from today's 12z. Substantially left from yesterday's 00z. This should be more than enough to get the NHC to pull the trigger on watches.


unless you have full resolution you have to compare to 00z yesterday not 12z today.. .


I'm just going by eyeballing it. It appears to be slightly left.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#5777 Postby Kingarabian » Tue Oct 04, 2016 1:15 am

Close but misses Florida:
Image
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#5778 Postby SunnyThoughts » Tue Oct 04, 2016 1:15 am

and boom...shoots to the north
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#5779 Postby NDG » Tue Oct 04, 2016 1:15 am

No FL landfall but is a little faster and a little closer to the coast than previous runs.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#5780 Postby WHYB630 » Tue Oct 04, 2016 1:16 am

The trough is tilted a bit more negative than yesterday's run
Image
Last edited by WHYB630 on Tue Oct 04, 2016 1:16 am, edited 1 time in total.
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