cycloneye wrote:12z Best Track latitude is lower than first update.
Location: 9.2°N 23.7°W
Maximum Winds: 20 kt Gusts: N/A
Minimum Central Pressure: 1009 mb
Environmental Pressure: 1010 mb
Radius of Circulation: 120 NM
Radius of Maximum Wind: 80 NM
The fact that this is moving WSW in the eastern Atlantic is often a warning sign that it may not be an easy recurve/fish, especially when it isn't El Nino such as is the case this season. That combined with August geneses having about as high a chance as any time of the season of making it far across the ocean (clearly higher than Sep geneses) is a reason to not assume fish just yet.