ATL: MATTHEW - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[AdamFirst]

Looks like the core is beginning to merge over water again. Are we having a reconnaissance mission anytime soon?

[Madpoodle]

Madpoodle, I am an electrical engineer and owner of a generator dealership in Southwest Florida. Been doing this 15 years. Your article has good points but in general is full of half truths and misinformation. Mods, maybe shift this to another thread.

Second this. My wife is an electrician. She says it is illegal in our state (Michigan) to pull your meter. Only the utility can remove/replace them. They put locking tabs on them here.

It is. But I can also tell you from dealing with FPL EVERY day, the lineman will go right past you if they see a generator running and no transfer switch. Pick your poison, so far every time I have pulled the meter the lineman have been appreciative, and I am not in jail..

[SouthFLTropics]

Just about to hit critical mass when the discussion page number passes the model page number 303/322. Then you know people are paying close attention

look we past Hermine discussion here on storm2k i was think that be record

Not even close...go back to the 2004/2005 season!!!

[drewschmaltz]

fox13weather what you seen you think hurr watch will issue south to dade?

"And" time table for TS Warnings for Dade county. Thx

I'll answer this! I honestly believe it is an inappropriate question for a pro met. There's just too many nuances to explain when and what the percentages are. What answer would you be happy with? Yes, it's possible. But you already know that! When? Look at the projected storm timing and the current watches and warnings and extrapolate. But there's a reason they don't do almost watches or likeliness to have a watch. Uncertainty is too high. I apologize in advance for the extra emotion. Oh, and any pro met that wants to give me a special weather outlook for zip 32835, feel free.

[hurricanehunter69]

Check out this Central US water vapor loop........And we can clearly see why some models have shifted east. It's already Fall here in NOLA. Can Fall sweep through Florida before the Hurricane arrives.....? That is the Million dollar question. As for now casting Matts current movement; Did the west turn already occur? (or is it just a wobble?) http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/comp/ceus/flash-wv.html

[Michele B]

From what Im seeing on radar it looks like the eye has faired pretty well with the track across Cuba. I don't think it will take long to clear out once back over water. Looks like it did better then the trip across Haiti. Already looks to be clearing out some

It actually looks quite healthy right now.

[CrazyC83]

This makes me ask - how should I be feeling right now that I am completely missing out? Sad or relieved?

[NDG]

 https://twitter.com/MikeTheiss/status/783488676319801345

[floridasun78]

 https://twitter.com/MikeTheiss/status/783488676319801345

their still got power

[psyclone]

fox13weather what you seen you think hurr watch will issue south to dade?

"And" time table for TS Warnings for Dade county. Thx

Craig Setzer Meteorologist worry dade may get hurr wind if Matthew take more southern track
after leaving cuba

Forget the watch obsession and just pay attention to your wind probs their trends over time. As someone else said..they have to draw the line somewhere. You're close. Watch/warning products need to be reserved for areas with the highest risk otherwise their value is diminished.

[NDG]

 https://twitter.com/MikeTheiss/status/783488676319801345

their still got power

They take care of their tourists $$$

[drewschmaltz]

Check out this Central US water vapor loop........And we can clearly see why some models have shifted east. It's already Fall here in NOLA. Can Fall sweep through Florida before the Hurricane arrives.....? That is the Million dollar question. As for now casting Matts current movement; Did the west turn already occur? (or is it just a wobble?) http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/comp/ceus/flash-wv.html

Levy's video talks of fall as stationary at the moment. I'll vouch for central Florida and say we don't usually get fall until late October.

[stephen23]

Check out this Central US water vapor loop........And we can clearly see why some models have shifted east. It's already Fall here in NOLA. Can Fall sweep through Florida before the Hurricane arrives.....? That is the Million dollar question. As for now casting Matts current movement; Did the west turn already occur? (or is it just a wobble?) http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/comp/ceus/flash-wv.html

It's chilly there? still 82 here in Fort Worth. Actually a pretty warm night when we have been in low 70's for night time temps over past 2 weeks.

[Michele B]

This makes me ask - how should I be feeling right now that I am completely missing out? Sad or relieved?

Hard to say. Where are you in the "deep south?" Could still be coming your way, unless you're in Dade County.

It ain't over till it's over.

[johngaltfla]

I bet ya this storm will end up being a lot like Floyd in 1999. Scare the daylight out of everyone on the east coast of Florida and then never make landfall in the state. Floyd was the third largest evacuation in US history.

Paul, if that's you, I hope you are right!

(also because I might be going to the FSU-Miami game Saturday)

GO CANES!

[Madpoodle]

I bet ya this storm will end up being a lot like Floyd in 1999. Scare the daylight out of everyone on the east coast of Florida and then never make landfall in the state. Floyd was the third largest evacuation in US history.

Paul, if that's you, I hope you are right!

(also because I might be going to the FSU-Miami game Saturday)

GO CANES!

Love Coach Richt's comment tonight: "Ive never seen Kaaya throw a ball in the rain, should be interesting"!!

C A N E S BABY!

[HurrMark]

This makes me ask - how should I be feeling right now that I am completely missing out? Sad or relieved?

Hard to say. Where are you in the "deep south?" Could still be coming your way, unless you're in Dade County.

It ain't over till it's over.

Dade is not out of the woods if there is another southerly trend

[Madpoodle]

This makes me ask - how should I be feeling right now that I am completely missing out? Sad or relieved?

Hard to say. Where are you in the "deep south?" Could still be coming your way, unless you're in Dade County.

It ain't over till it's over.

Dade is not out of the woods if there is another southerly trend

I'll feel better when this lost soul of a storm is somewhere near Greenland..

[sbcc]

Madpoodle, I am an electrical engineer and owner of a generator dealership in Southwest Florida. Been doing this 15 years. Your article has good points but in general is full of half truths and misinformation. Mods, maybe shift this to another thread.

Second this. My wife is an electrician. She says it is illegal in our state (Michigan) to pull your meter. Only the utility can remove/replace them. They put locking tabs on them here.

It is. But I can also tell you from dealing with FPL EVERY day, the lineman will go right past you if they see a generator running and no transfer switch. Pick your poison, so far every time I have pulled the meter the lineman have been appreciative, and I am not in jail..

OK. Maybe you should include that in your article.

[Ptarmigan]

Guantanamo Bay Cuba Radar
http://radar.weather.gov/radar_lite.php ... R&loop=yes