ATL: MATTHEW - Models

[LarryWx]

For the last time, Euro did not initialize too south. It might be too slow in the first 24 hr, or it might be capturing Matthew's interaction with Cuba. We don't know yet.

I am seeing a tweet about this turning NE at hr 60. Could be from the weakness created by whatever is offshore NC. Something to watch

It didn't initialize too far south but why is it so slow at hour 24 just N of E Cuba? It will be at Cuba by this evening!

[tolakram]

[JPmia]

I wish we had 6hr positions from the Euro because that gets really close to SE FL too.

[tolakram]

For the last time, Euro did not initialize too south. It might be too slow in the first 24 hr, or it might be capturing Matthew's interaction with Cuba. We don't know yet.

I am seeing a tweet about this turning NE at hr 60. Could be from the weakness created by whatever is offshore NC. Something to watch

It didn't initialize too far south but why is it so slow at hour 24 just N of E Cuba? It will be at Cuba by this evening!

Or it won't and will slow down. It's making a west turn, which usually means it will slow, wobble, turn, then speed up.

[Evil Jeremy]

Another shift west by the Euro and looks similar to the UKMET. Landfall on East-Central Florida coast but not before a swipe on SE Florida.

That's it. I'm making my supplies run NOW.

[gatorcane]

How far off West Palm / Delray / Boca is that? I can't tell from the 12Z Euro 24 hour increment graphics.

[JPmia]

Can anyone with access to the high resolution version confirm the track between 48-72 hrs?

[SFLcane]

Me to!!

[TimeZone]

[]http://i.imgur.com/utUg6zO.png[]

Is that full rez?

[wxmann_91]

For the last time, Euro did not initialize too south. It might be too slow in the first 24 hr, or it might be capturing Matthew's interaction with Cuba. We don't know yet.

I am seeing a tweet about this turning NE at hr 60. Could be from the weakness created by whatever is offshore NC. Something to watch

It didn't initialize too far south but why is it so slow at hour 24 just N of E Cuba? It will be at Cuba by this evening!

Yeah I don't know. My hunch is it's showing some interaction with the Cuban mountains that slows it down.

[1900hurricane]

12Z ECMWF initialization is fine.

[stephen23]

Second landfall Georgia?

[tolakram]

Weathebell hi res. 954mb on approach.

[miamijaaz]

Euro landfall in SFL....

Looks like Central Florida to me. Around Titusville.

[drezee]

That was a surprise...please be wrong...this one time. That would be hurricane force to Orlando and TS to Tampa

[DESTRUCTION5]

Not gonna lie ...Had feeling this was gonna happen with the JMA and Euro Ensembles showing west earlier..

[tolakram]

[]http://i.imgur.com/utUg6zO.png[]

Is that full rez?

Full rez is a paid option only, I posted mb above from the Weatherbell full rez maps.

[ronjon]

Another shift west by the Euro and looks similar to the UKMET. Landfall on East-Central Florida coast but not before a swipe on SE Florida.

Difficult to tell with 24 hour positions but the angle it moved from 48 to 72 hrs suggests its just off shore WPB then moves N-NW to melbourne landfall.

[jdjaguar]

Is that a vero beach landfall at 72?

[tallywx]

Can anyone with access to the high resolution version confirm the track between 48-72 hrs?

Eye touches land at Juno Beach/Jupiter then rides coastline to Cape Canaveral then Daytona Beach.